FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa Prediction

FK Liepaja
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Grobiņa
Daugavas stadions 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
FK Liepaja Rest
12 days
Grobiņa Rest
4 days

FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa: result, form and history

FK Liepaja beat Grobiņa 3-1 in the Virsliga on 21 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FK Liepaja had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Grobiņa.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 4.7 for Grobiņa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.60
X
17%3.80
2
17%4.78
Double Chance
1X
83%1.13
X2
34%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.63
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.06
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'E. OlokoAssist: A. Ogunniyi
25'E. OlokoFoul
43'B. StraalmanFoul
46'A. Baydal INA. Aruna out
49'E. Oloko(Penalty)
58'M. Sidorovs INI. Tyshchenko out
65'A. Ogunniyi INA. Leite out
65'A. Korobenko INK. Iljins out
65'E. Rodolphe INI. Mushindi out
75'D. Patijcuks INK. Leidsman out
78'DodoAssist: I. Tyshchenko
80'A. Haidara INB. Melnis out
84'K. LeidsmanAssist: E. Oloko
88'A. Puzirevskis IND. Dobrecovs out
90+1'D. DruzininsFoul
90+3'A. ArunaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1499Elo Rating 1374
1.36Attack 1.59
2.13Defense 0.64
23%Hit Rate 23%
24.0Shots per Game 11.3
6.0Shots on Target 3.8
9.0Corners per Game 4.7
1.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+125 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
GrobiņaGrobiņa4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
Virsliga21/09/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga30/06/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga10/05/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
20
Virsliga16/03/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
41
Virsliga26/10/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
13
Virsliga03/08/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
01
Virsliga29/05/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
30
Virsliga18/04/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
32

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
5W0D5L
GrobiņaGrobiņa
3W1D6L
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
L
10/08/2026
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
61
L
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D
20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
W
05/07/2026
GrobiņaTukums
31
W
29/06/2026
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
20
L
25/06/2026
GrobiņaAuda
10
W
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Grobiņa 8th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 46-46, Grobiņa 27-61. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.