Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction

Felix Capriles, Cochabamba 10/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Aurora Rest
6 days
Universitario de Vinto Rest
8 days

Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto: result, form and history

Aurora and Universitario de Vinto drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 10 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Universitario de Vinto tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.5 for Aurora.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.82
X
21%3.62
2
23%3.60
Double Chance
1X
77%1.21
X2
44%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.50
No
41%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.31 + 1.11 = 3.42
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
63%1.51
Over 3.5
42%2.29
Under 1.5
18%4.50
Under 2.5
37%2.27
Under 3.5
58%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'I. VidaurreFoul
36'Ivan Huayhuata INAlan Miguel Terrazas Castro out
45'Oswaldo Blanco INFelipe Pasadore out
45'I. Vidaurre INAriel Flores out
47'Henry VacaFoul
54'Ruben Cordano JustinianoDissent
55'José Antonio Pinto QuirozFoul
56'Felipe PasadoreFoul
58'José Antonio Pinto Quiroz INH. Rodríguez out
58'Richard Dorrego INRodrigo Andrés Llano Montes out
66'Ariel FloresFoul
67'Felipe Pasadore
69'Rodrigo Andrés Llano MontesAssist: Joel Calicho
71'leandro barro INMichael Rangel out
81'Jair Torrico INMiguel Aguada Aguada Tirina out
86'Guilder Cuellar INÁlvaro Cuestas Salazar out
90+2'M. Gómez INDidi Torrico out
90+10'Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro(Penalty)

Lineups

Aurora
4-2-3-1Coach: David Díaz
Universitario de Vinto
4-3-3Coach: Thiago Leitao
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.57
R. Cordano6.212R. Cordano
D. Barro7.116D. Barro
J. Velázquez6.822J. Velázquez
I. Vidaurre6.04I. Vidaurre
M. Ortiz6.621M. Ortiz
I. Huayhuata6.323I. Huayhuata
A. Amarilla6.55A. Amarilla
H. Vaca6.87H. Vaca
R. Ramallo6.910R. Ramallo
J. Torrico7.270J. Torrico
88L. Viviani
J. Careaga7.512J. Careaga
E. Mendoza6.176E. Mendoza
D. Vargas6.750D. Vargas
A. Jara6.434A. Jara
J. Pinto6.128J. Pinto
J. Calicho7.222J. Calicho
Marco Gomez6.76M. Gomez
H. Dorrego6.97H. Dorrego
G. Cuellar6.221G. Cuellar
O. Blanco6.679O. Blanco
Julio Lazarte6.470J. Lazarte

Aurora Substitutes

2Miguel Aguada Aguada Tirina81'replaced by Jair Torrico
51Cristhian Abastoflor
32S. Altamirano
6S. Carrasco
18S. Rojas
27A. Flores45'for I. Vidaurre66'6.5
9M. Rangel71'for leandro barro6.6
25Alvaro Rios
30S. Suarez
69A. Terrazas36'for Ivan Huayhuata90+10'7.2
1J. Terrazas
28O. Vaca

Universitario de Vinto Substitutes

9A. Llano58'for Richard Dorrego69'7.7
27B. Calderon
66A. Cuestas86'for Guilder Cuellar6.3
30M. Cuadiay Fernandez
32F. Pasadore45'for Oswaldo Blanco56'67'5.6
15P. Postigo
1B. Poveda
24H. Rodríguez58'for José Antonio Pinto Quiroz6.3
17Didí Torrico90+2'for M. Gómez
19J. Veizaga
2Gustavo Alexis Visalla Condori
90D. Saavedra

Match Stats

AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots10
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
7Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves7
352Total Passes273
298Passes Accurate205
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
1506Elo Rating 1358
1.23Attack 1.05
1.43Defense 0.76
46%Hit Rate 19%
10.6Shots per Game 16.9
3.5Shots on Target 5.5
4.5Corners per Game 7.7
3.3Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.42 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional19/09/2026
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
42
Copa de la División Profesional02/09/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
11
Primera División02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
Torneo Amistoso de Verano08/02/2026
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
21
Torneo Amistoso de Verano31/01/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
22
Primera División08/12/2025
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
20
Primera División06/07/2025
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
Primera División23/10/2024
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
12
Primera División25/05/2024
Universitario de VintoAurora
22
Primera División30/07/2023
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
01

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
4W4D2L
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
3W1D6L
02/11/2026
Universitario de VintoAlways Ready
13
L
27/10/2026
BolívarUniversitario de Vinto
21
L
17/10/2026
Universitario de VintoSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
21
W
10/10/2026
Universitario de VintoReal Oruro
13
L
08/10/2026
Oriente PetroleroUniversitario de Vinto
20
L
04/10/2026
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
52
L
29/09/2026
Universitario de VintoGuabirá
31
W
27/09/2026
Universitario de VintoOriente Petrolero
30
W
19/09/2026
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
42
L
17/09/2026
BloomingUniversitario de Vinto
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Aurora and Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Aurora are 6th and Universitario de Vinto 14th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Aurora 36-32, Universitario de Vinto 32-49. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.