Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Bologna
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lazio
Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna·Fabio Maresca, Italy 24/08/2026
BolognaBologna
0-1
Finished
LazioLazio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Bologna Rest
9 days
Lazio Rest
7 days

Bologna vs Lazio: result, form and history

Lazio beat Bologna 1-0 in the Serie A on 24 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lazio had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Bologna.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Fabio Maresca averages 5.58 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.29
X
48%3.10
2
22%3.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.30
X2
70%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.88
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.07 = 2.54
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.21
Over 3.5
16%4.05
Under 1.5
28%2.90
Under 2.5
58%1.66
Under 3.5
84%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.85
Over 9.5
46%2.39
Over 10.5
34%3.12
Under 8.5
42%1.87
Under 9.5
54%1.52
Under 10.5
66%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.3 = 5.7
Over 3.5
84%1.39
Over 4.5
64%1.79
Under 3.5
16%2.79
Under 4.5
36%2.00

Match Events

19'A. Marusic INR. Floriani out
22'R. FlorianiTripping
34'B. DiaUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'O. El AzzouziUnsportsmanlike conduct
41'N. CambiaghiFoul
44'M. CancellieriTripping
46'M. Cancellieri ING. Isaksen out
54'F. Dele-Bashiru IND. Frattesi out
59'D. FrattesiAssist: B. Dia
60'R. Orsolini INF. Bernardeschi out
60'R. Piccoli INA. Dovbyk out
60'N. Cambiaghi INJ. Rowe out
69'N. Zortea INE. Holm out
78'A. Pedraza INN. Tavares out
79'B. Dia INT. Noslin out
79'O. El Azzouzi INM. Amondarain out
83'J. OdgaardTripping
83'T. HeggemFoul
90+3'O. ProvstgaardFoul

Lineups

Bologna
4-2-3-1Coach: Domenico Tedesco
Lazio
4-3-3Coach: Gennaro Gattuso
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.98
Łukasz Skorupski6.01Ł. Skorupski
Nadir Zortea6.720N. Zortea
Eivind Helland6.65E. Helland
Torbjørn Heggem6.914T. Heggem
Juan Miranda6.633J. Miranda
Oussama El Azzouzi6.917O. El Azzouzi
Lewis Ferguson7.719L. Ferguson
Riccardo OrsoliniC6.97R. Orsolini
Jens Odgaard6.521J. Odgaard
Nicolò Cambiaghi6.528N. Cambiaghi
Roberto Piccoli6.991R. Piccoli
Christos Mandas8.635C. Mandas
Adam Marušić6.777A. Marušić
Danilho Doekhi7.05D. Doekhi
Oliver Provstgaard6.925O. Provstgaard
Alfonso Pedraza6.323A. Pedraza
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru6.67F. Dele-Bashiru
Nicolò Rovella7.36N. Rovella
Kenneth Taylor6.924K. Taylor
Matteo Cancellieri6.222M. Cancellieri
Boulaye Dia6.719B. Dia
Mattia ZaccagniC6.610M. Zaccagni

Bologna Substitutes

10Federico Bernardeschi60'for R. Orsolini7.5
11Jonathan Rowe60'for N. Cambiaghi6.9
9Artem Dovbyk60'for R. Piccoli6.2
2Emil Holm69'for N. Zortea6.9
8Mikel Amondarain79'for O. El Azzouzi6.2
25Massimo Pessina
72Ukko Happonen
29Lorenzo De Silvestri
23Abdel Rahim
41Martin Vitík
18Marco Libra
4Tommaso Pobega
6Nikola Moro

Lazio Substitutes

15Romano Floriani Mussolini19'for A. Marusic22'7.7
11Gustav Isaksen46'for M. Cancellieri6.3
16Davide Frattesi54'for F. Dele-Bashiru59'8.5
17Nuno Tavares78'for A. Pedraza6.9
14Tijjani Noslin79'for B. Dia6.5
40Edoardo Motta
47Davide Renzetti
33Ricardo Bordon
13Alessio Romagnoli
29Manuel Lazzari
28Adrian Przyborek
21Reda Belahyane
71Valerio Farcomeni
20Petar Ratkov

Match Stats

BolognaLazio
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
18Fouls19
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
447Total Passes315
402Passes Accurate264
90%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

BolognaBologna
LazioLazio
1759Elo Rating 1871
1.32Attack 2.42
1.81Defense 2.25
46%Hit Rate 86%
9.7Shots per Game 14.2
3.7Shots on Target 4.3
2.8Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BolognaBologna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LazioLazio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BolognaBologna3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
LazioLazio4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A22/03/2026
BolognaLazio
02
Coppa Italia11/02/2026
BolognaLazio
1141
Serie A07/12/2025
LazioBologna
11
Serie A16/03/2025
BolognaLazio
50
Serie A24/11/2024
LazioBologna
30
Serie A18/02/2024
LazioBologna
12
Serie A03/11/2023
BolognaLazio
10
Serie A11/03/2023
BolognaLazio
00
Coppa Italia19/01/2023
LazioBologna
10
Serie A14/08/2022
LazioBologna
21

Recent Form

BolognaBologna
4W4D2L
15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
10
L
08/08/2026
BolognaPisa
11
D
01/08/2026
BolognaCambuur
31
W
25/07/2026
BolognaIraklis 1908
20
W
22/07/2026
Bologna1. FC Heidenheim
11
D
18/07/2026
BolognaArminia Bielefeld
04
L
23/05/2026
BolognaInter
33
D
17/05/2026
AtalantaBologna
01
W
11/05/2026
NapoliBologna
23
W
03/05/2026
BolognaCagliari
00
D
LazioLazio
6W0D4L
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
L
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
W
05/08/2026
LazioOstia Mare
40
W
02/08/2026
AscoliLazio
12
W
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
W
26/07/2026
LazioFlaminia
60
W
23/05/2026
LazioPisa
21
W
17/05/2026
AS RomaLazio
20
L
13/05/2026
LazioInter
02
L
09/05/2026
LazioInter
03
L

Referee Profile

Fabio Maresca139 matches

5.57Cards per match
5.33Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fabio Maresca5.58
Other referees4.60

5.58 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bologna vs Lazio forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bologna and Lazio in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Lazio are 2nd and Bologna 11th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Bologna 12-12, Lazio 22-7. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lazio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.