Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction

Atalanta
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
New Balance Arena, Bergamo·Valerio Crezzini, Italy 23/08/2026
AtalantaAtalanta
2-1
Finished
SassuoloSassuolo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.13
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Atalanta Rest
3 days
Sassuolo Rest
6 days

Atalanta vs Sassuolo: the result in context

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Valerio Crezzini averages 3.75 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.54
X
25%4.22
2
15%6.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
39%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.01 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
26%4.22
Under 2.5
46%2.15
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.57
Over 9.5
46%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.41
Under 8.5
42%2.31
Under 9.5
54%1.83
Under 10.5
66%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.6 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%2.17
Over 4.5
27%3.15
Under 3.5
50%1.65
Under 4.5
73%1.30

Match Events

6'G. RaspadoriAssist: G. Gaetano
55'C. Odenthal
60'M. Pasalic INL. Samardzic out
60'N. Zalewski INC. De Ketelaere out
60'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
64'V. Adzic INK. Thorstvedt out
65'N. Krstovic
71'L. Bernasconi INS. Kolasinac out
74'T. Macchioni INF. Leysen out
74'N. Matic INB. Dominguez out
82'G. Raspadori INE. Elmas out
88'C. Volpato INR. Ciervo out
88'K. Bowie ING. Kulla out

Lineups

Atalanta
4-3-3Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.80
M. Carnesecchi7.629M. Carnesecchi
D. Zappacosta7.077D. Zappacosta
O. Kossounou6.23O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini6.642G. Scalvini
L. Bernasconi6.247L. Bernasconi
M. Pasalic6.38M. Pasalic
G. Gaetano7.270G. Gaetano
EdersonC6.313Ederson
N. Zalewski7.759N. Zalewski
G. Scamacca7.29G. Scamacca
G. Raspadori8.218G. Raspadori
A. Muric6.949A. Muric
S. Cinquegrano6.746S. Cinquegrano
C. Odenthal7.226C. Odenthal
T. Macchioni5.931T. Macchioni
J. Doig7.33J. Doig
V. Adzic6.517V. Adzic
N. MaticC7.018N. Matic
D. Bakola7.350D. Bakola
C. Volpato7.27C. Volpato
K. Bowie6.59K. Bowie
A. Lauriente6.645A. Lauriente

Atalanta Substitutes

57M. Sportiello
95P. Vismara
23S. Kolasinac71'for L. Bernasconi6.9
40R. Obric
16R. Bellanova
99E. Elmas82'for G. Raspadori6.3
6I. Sulemana
15M. De Roon
10L. Samardzic60'for M. Pasalic6.9
17C. De Ketelaere60'for N. Zalewski7.0
49F. Cassa
90N. Krstovic60'for G. Scamacca65'7.3

Sassuolo Substitutes

80S. Turati
21J. Idzes
16F. Leysen74'for T. Macchioni7.0
2F. Missori
23A. Di Bitonto
33R. Obrador
8A. Ghion
35L. Lipani
42K. Thorstvedt64'for V. Adzic6.9
44E. Iannoni
77N. Pierini
25B. Dominguez74'for N. Matic6.2
20R. Ciervo88'for C. Volpato
30P. Nuamah
14G. Kulla88'for K. Bowie

Match Stats

AtalantaSassuolo
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks4
14Total Shots22
7Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots5
9Fouls10
0Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves5
596Total Passes466
544Passes Accurate422
91%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

AtalantaAtalanta
SassuoloSassuolo
1785Elo Rating 1725
1.54Attack 1.24
1.13Defense 0.74
36%Hit Rate 14%
16.2Shots per Game 11.8
4.7Shots on Target 4.3
6.1Corners per Game 3.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AtalantaAtalanta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtalantaAtalanta5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
SassuoloSassuolo4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A01/03/2026
SassuoloAtalanta
21
Serie A09/11/2025
AtalantaSassuolo
03
Serie A17/02/2024
AtalantaSassuolo
30
Coppa Italia03/01/2024
AtalantaSassuolo
31
Serie A20/08/2023
SassuoloAtalanta
02
Serie A04/02/2023
SassuoloAtalanta
10
Serie A15/10/2022
AtalantaSassuolo
21
Serie A10/04/2022
SassuoloAtalanta
21
Serie A21/09/2021
AtalantaSassuolo
21
Serie A02/05/2021
SassuoloAtalanta
11

Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
3W3D4L
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
W
08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
03
W
02/08/2026
FeyenoordAtalanta
21
L
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
17/05/2026
AtalantaBologna
01
L
10/05/2026
AC MilanAtalanta
23
W
02/05/2026
AtalantaGenoa
00
D
27/04/2026
CagliariAtalanta
32
L
22/04/2026
AtalantaLazio
1121
L
SassuoloSassuolo
3W2D5L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
W
26/04/2026
FiorentinaSassuolo
00
D

Referee Profile

Valerio Crezzini91 matches

3.75Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Valerio Crezzini3.75
Other referees4.47

3.75 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Atalanta vs Sassuolo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atalanta and Sassuolo in the Serie A table

Atalanta and Sassuolo are close in the Serie A table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Atalanta 14-15, Sassuolo 14-22. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.