Genoa vs Napoli Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Genoa Rest
6 days
Napoli Rest
9 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%4.22
X28%3.19
246%2.04
Double Chance
1X54%1.81
X274%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes42%2.05
No58%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.49 = 2.50
Over 1.572%1.44
Over 2.542%2.44
Over 3.515%4.55
Under 1.528%2.70
Under 2.558%1.56
Under 3.585%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.2
Over 8.558%1.95
Over 9.546%2.48
Over 10.534%3.46
Under 8.542%1.81
Under 9.554%1.46
Under 10.566%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.556%2.25
Over 4.533%3.25
Under 3.544%1.58
Under 4.567%1.29
Match Events
54'M. PolitanoFoul
66'L. Ostigard INS. Otoa out
66'T. Baldanzi INJunior Messias out
66'Alisson Santos INN. Lang out
67'M. Politano INA. Vergara out
67'F. Anguissa INK. De Bruyne out
74'L. Colombo INF. Meichtry out
75'Amorim IND. Sow out
78'R. Hojlund INL. Lucca out
81'R. Marin INM. Olivera out
82'K. De BruyneAssist: A. Vergara
85'L. Ostigard
85'S. Sabelli
87'A. VergaraAssist: K. De Bruyne
87'J. Vasquez INA. Zulevic out
Lineups
GenoaNapoli
4-3-3Coach: Massimiliano AllegriAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Bijlow
27A. Marcandalli
5L. Østigård
C22J. Vásquez
15B. Norton-Cuffy
32M. Frendrup
4A. Amorim
77M. Ellertsson
8T. Baldanzi
9Vitinha
29L. Colombo
1A. Meret
C22G. Di Lorenzo
13A. Rrahmani
16R. Marín
37L. Spinazzola
99F. Anguissa
68S. Lobotka
8S. McTominay
21M. Politano
19R. Højlund
27A. SantosGenoa Substitutes
39Daniele Sommariva
99Franz Stolz
74Mamedi Doucoure
34Sebastian Otoa66'for L. Ostigard
31David Puczka
2Mario Mitaj
97Djibril Sow75'for Amorim
11Franz-Ethan Meichtry74'for L. Colombo
71Samuel Wiafe
3Aarón Martín
20Stefano Sabelli85'
80Adam Zulevic
10Junior Messias66'for T. Baldanzi
Napoli Substitutes
32Vanja Milinković-Savić
14Nikita Contini
47Christian Garofalo
31Sam Beukema
17Mathías Olivera81'for R. Marin
2Costantino Favasuli
11Kevin De Bruyne67'for F. Anguissa82'
6Billy Gilmour
23Giovane
26Antonio Vergara67'for M. Politano87'
20Lorenzo Lucca78'for R. Hojlund
70Noa Lang66'for Alisson Santos
7David Neres
Match Stats
GenoaNapoli 46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots5
10Fouls8
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
431Total Passes507
378Passes Accurate453
88%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
GenoaNapoli1691Elo Rating 1831
0.96Attack 2.31
1.70Defense 0.81
39%Hit Rate 37%
13.9Shots per Game 18.1
3.9Shots on Target 7.8
5.3Corners per Game 4.8
3.1Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Genoa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Napoli- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Genoa1Wins · 10%Draws330%
Napoli6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10
Previous meetings
07/02/2026GenoaNapoli23
05/10/2025NapoliGenoa21
11/05/2025NapoliGenoa22
21/12/2024GenoaNapoli12
17/02/2024NapoliGenoa11
16/09/2023GenoaNapoli22
15/05/2022NapoliGenoa30
29/08/2021GenoaNapoli12
06/02/2021GenoaNapoli21
27/09/2020NapoliGenoa60
Recent Form
Genoa3W3D4L
16/08/2026Genoa
Ascoli
GenoaAscoli41
W08/08/2026Genoa
Deportivo La Coruna
GenoaDeportivo La Coruna01
L04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
BournemouthGenoa101
L01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
LeicesterGenoa01
W25/07/2026Genoa
Vicenza Virtus
GenoaVicenza Virtus22
D19/07/2026Genoa
Trento
GenoaTrento21
W17/05/2026Genoa
AC Milan
GenoaAC Milan12
L10/05/2026
FiorentinaGenoa
FiorentinaGenoa00
D02/05/2026
AtalantaGenoa
AtalantaGenoa00
D26/04/2026Genoa
Como
GenoaComo02
LNapoli6W2D2L
12/08/2026Napoli
Aris Thessalonikis
NapoliAris Thessalonikis62
W08/08/2026Napoli
Celta Vigo
NapoliCelta Vigo11
D05/08/2026Napoli
Osasuna
NapoliOsasuna21
W26/07/2026Napoli
Carrarese
NapoliCarrarese20
W22/07/2026Napoli
Arezzo
NapoliArezzo13
L24/05/2026Napoli
Udinese
NapoliUdinese10
W17/05/2026
PisaNapoli
PisaNapoli03
W11/05/2026Napoli
Bologna
NapoliBologna23
L02/05/2026ComoNapoli
ComoNapoli00
D24/04/2026Napoli
Cremonese
NapoliCremonese40
WReferee Profile
4.34Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.34 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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About the Genoa vs Napoli forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Genoa and Napoli in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Napoli are 7th and Genoa 13th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Genoa 8-13, Napoli 17-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.