Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction

Sassuolo
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Cesena
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia·Niccolo Turrini, Italy 17/08/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
3-0
Finished
CesenaCesena

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Sassuolo Rest
9 days
Cesena Rest
8 days

Sassuolo vs Cesena: result, form and history

Sassuolo beat Cesena 3-0 in the Coppa Italia on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Niccolo Turrini averages 3.24 cards a game, 1.14 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.46
X
27%4.50
2
27%6.20
Double Chance
1X
74%1.11
X2
54%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.67
No
47%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 2.83 = 4.42
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
29%2.38
Under 1.5
18%4.75
Under 2.5
50%2.35
Under 3.5
71%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'M. Piacentini INM. Ilic out
13'C. VolpatoAssist: S. Cinquegrano
45+2'V. AdzicAssist: J. Doig
46'M. Caprini INA. Fiori out
64'A. David
66'K. Bowie INA. Ghion out
66'N. Matic INB. Dominguez out
68'R. Pagano INM. Francesconi out
68'M. Guidi INL. Schirone out
72'L. Schirone
72'V. Adzic INL. Lipani out
75'L. LipaniAssist: D. Bakola
82'S. Cinquegrano INF. Missori out
82'T. Macchioni INA. Di Bitonto out
83'C. Shpendi INA. Debenedetti out

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Cesena
4-3-3Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.41
Arijanet Murić8.649A. Murić
Simone Cinquegrano7.046S. Cinquegrano
Cas Odenthal7.226C. Odenthal
Tommaso Macchioni7.231T. Macchioni
Josh Doig7.63J. Doig
Vasilije Adžić7.917V. Adžić
Nemanja MatićC6.918N. Matić
Darryl Bakola7.950D. Bakola
Cristian Volpato8.37C. Volpato
Kieron Bowie6.39K. Bowie
Armand Laurienté7.945A. Laurienté
Alessandro Siano6.61A. Siano
Andrea CiofiC6.515A. Ciofi
Matteo Piacentini26M. Piacentini
Massimiliano Mangraviti6.324M. Mangraviti
Antonio David6.33A. David
Dimitri Bisoli6.725D. Bisoli
Riccardo Pagano6.910R. Pagano
Matteo Guidi6.218M. Guidi
Xavello Druiventak6.314X. Druiventak
Cristian Shpendi6.09C. Shpendi
Maat Daniel Caprini6.911M. Daniel Caprini

Sassuolo Substitutes

8Andrea Ghion66'for K. Bowie6.6
25Benjamín Domínguez66'for N. Matic6.9
35Luca Lipani72'for V. Adzic75'7.7
23Alessandro Di Bitonto82'for T. Macchioni6.3
2Filippo Missori82'for S. Cinquegrano6.9
80Stefano Turati
22Lorenzo Nyarko
21Jay Idzes
33Rafael Obrador
44Edoardo Iannoni
20Riccardo Ciervo
30Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
77Nicholas Pierini
24Luca Moro
14Gabriel Kulla

Cesena Substitutes

6Mihajlo Ilić5'for M. Piacentini6.2
80Antonio Fiori46'for M. Caprini6.2
8Matteo Francesconi68'for R. Pagano6.5
5Luca Schirone68'replaced by M. Guidi72'6.3
91Alessandro Debenedetti83'for C. Shpendi6.3
90Tommaso Mazzi
39Niccolo Fontana
23Vittorio Magni
2Mark Natta
20Matteo Casadei
76Enea Casadei
43Filippo Bertaccini

Match Stats

SassuoloCesena
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls11
5Goalkeeper Saves5
517Total Passes374
460Passes Accurate322
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
CesenaCesena
1725Elo Rating 1520
1.24Attack 0.68
0.74Defense 1.13
14%Hit Rate 0%
11.8Shots per Game 11.5
4.3Shots on Target 2.6
3.8Corners per Game 3.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+205 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4.43 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CesenaCesena
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CesenaCesena0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B25/04/2025
CesenaSassuolo
02
Serie B24/08/2024
SassuoloCesena
21

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
3W2D5L
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
W
26/04/2026
FiorentinaSassuolo
00
D
17/04/2026
SassuoloComo
21
W
CesenaCesena
3W4D3L
08/08/2026
ForliCesena
00
D
05/08/2026
CesenaVis Pesaro
30
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
W
08/05/2026
CesenaPadova
34
L
01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
00
D
25/04/2026
CesenaSampdoria
00
D
18/04/2026
PalermoCesena
20
L
11/04/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
20
L
06/04/2026
CesenaSudtirol
11
D
21/03/2026
CesenaCatanzaro
31
W

Referee Profile

Niccolo Turrini86 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.05Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Niccolo Turrini3.24
Other referees4.38

3.24 cards a match, 1.14 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Sassuolo vs Cesena forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sassuolo and Cesena have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.