Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction

Sassuolo
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 4-3
Frosinone
A. Calzavara 02/09/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
1-1
After Penalties
FrosinoneFrosinone

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Sassuolo Rest
3 days
Frosinone Rest
3 days

Sassuolo vs Frosinone: result, form and history

Sassuolo beat Frosinone on penalties (4-3) after a 1-1 draw in the Coppa Italia on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Frosinone tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.4 for Sassuolo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.80
X
21%3.80
2
32%4.10
Double Chance
1X
68%1.22
X2
54%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.64
No
49%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.25 = 2.72
Over 1.5
83%1.21
Over 2.5
49%1.68
Over 3.5
28%2.69
Under 1.5
17%4.20
Under 2.5
51%2.18
Under 3.5
72%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'Massimiliano AlviniDissent
36'Benjamin Dominguez
45'Florian Grillitsch INMatteo Cichella out
45+2'Aleksa TerzićAssist: Luis Hasa
55'Cristian Volpato INDomenico Berardi out
55'Benjamin Dominguez INArmand Lauriente out
55'Rafael Obrador INIgnace Van der Brempt out
60'Kevin AkpogumaFoul
62'Kevin Akpoguma INOmar Fayed Abdelwahab El Rakhawy out
62'Aleksa Terzić INGiorgio Cittadini out
63'Daniel Birligea INTomas Bobcek out
65'Luca Lipani INSebastiano Esposito out
68'Simone CinquegranoFoul
73'Stefano TuratiDissent
75'Goal cancelledMatteo Cichella
80'Kieron Bowie INDarryl Bakola out
80'Anouar El Azzouzi INPatrizio Masini out
90'Patrizio MasiniFoul

Penalty Shootout4 - 3

1Tomas Bobcek(Penalty)
1Domenico Berardi(Penalty)
2Omar Fayed Abdelwahab El Rakhawy(Penalty)
2Sebastiano Esposito(Penalty)
3Alessio Zerbin(Penalty)
3Kristian Thorstvedt(Penalty)
4Wisdom Amey(Penalty missed)
4Darryl Bakola(Penalty)
5Luis Hasa(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Aquilani
Frosinone
4-3-3Coach: M. Alvini
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.69
S. Turati7.980S. Turati
S. Cinquegrano6.346S. Cinquegrano
C. Odenthal6.426C. Odenthal
F. Leysen6.616F. Leysen
Rafael Obrador6.433R. Obrador
A. Ghion6.38A. Ghion
L. Lipani6.635L. Lipani
C. Volpato7.07C. Volpato
K. Thorstvedt6.242K. Thorstvedt
B. Domínguez7.625B. Domínguez
K. Bowie6.29K. Bowie
S. Desplanches7.191S. Desplanches
E. Tchato6.290E. Tchato
K. Akpoguma6.725K. Akpoguma
55W. Amey
A. Terzić7.971A. Terzić
L. Hasa7.770L. Hasa
F. Grillitsch7.027F. Grillitsch
A. El Azzouzi6.834A. El Azzouzi
S. Fini6.540S. Fini
D. Bîrligea5.911D. Bîrligea
A. Zerbin6.224A. Zerbin

Sassuolo Substitutes

10D. Berardi55'for Cristian Volpato6.9
15D. Ćaleta-Car
20I. Van der Brempt55'for Rafael Obrador6.5
3J. Doig
94S. Esposito65'for Luca Lipani6.5
21J. Idzes
14G. Kulla
45A. Laurienté55'for Benjamin Dominguez6.7
18N. Matić
49A. Murić
12G. Satalino
55I. Sulemana
50D. Bakola80'for Kieron Bowie6.0
17Vasilije Adžić
19L. Skjellerup

Frosinone Substitutes

9A. Raimondo
12Matteo Pisseri
22L. Palmisani
2G. Cittadini62'for Aleksa Terzić6.4
20A. Oyono
30I. Monterisi
73P. Masini80'for Anouar El Azzouzi90'6.0
17G. Kvernadze
74Omar Fayed62'for Kevin Akpoguma6.4
16Matteo Cichella45'for Florian Grillitsch6.3
3G. Calvani
14G. Calò
79Gabriele Bracaglia
89T. Bobček63'for Daniel Birligea7.2

Match Stats

SassuoloFrosinone
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls19
0Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves2
348Total Passes379
274Passes Accurate318
79%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
FrosinoneFrosinone
1703Elo Rating 1819
1.24Attack 3.33
0.00Defense 0.93
0%Hit Rate 61%
11.2Shots per Game 22.5
3.2Shots on Target 7.7
3.4Corners per Game 7.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
FrosinoneFrosinone2Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B13/05/2025
SassuoloFrosinone
01
Serie B14/12/2024
FrosinoneSassuolo
12
Serie A09/03/2024
SassuoloFrosinone
10
Serie A17/09/2023
FrosinoneSassuolo
42

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
3W1D6L
29/08/2026
SassuoloTorino
21
W
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
L
FrosinoneFrosinone
6W2D2L
29/08/2026
FiorentinaFrosinone
03
W
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
L
16/08/2026
FrosinoneJuve Stabia
41
W
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
L
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
29/07/2026
FrosinoneSambenedettese
11
D
26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
10
W
22/07/2026
FrosinoneFrosinone U20
10
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
W
01/05/2026
Juve StabiaFrosinone
01
W

Referee Profile

A. Calzavara98 matches

4.15Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
29.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Calzavara4.15
Other referees4.24

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded

About the Sassuolo vs Frosinone forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Frosinone have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.