Monza vs Avellino Prediction

Monza
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Avellino
14/08/2026
MonzaMonza
3-0
Finished
AvellinoAvellino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Monza Rest
7 days
Avellino Rest
6 days

Monza vs Avellino: the result in context

Monza beat Avellino 3-0 in the Coppa Italia on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.67
X
29%3.72
2
27%4.90
Double Chance
1X
73%1.14
X2
56%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.25 = 3.01
Over 1.5
81%1.30
Over 2.5
46%1.96
Over 3.5
26%3.45
Under 1.5
19%3.30
Under 2.5
54%1.80
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'G. Varela
45'G. VarelaAssist: P. Cutrone
47'B. Moruzzi
51'O. ForsonAssist: P. Cutrone
55'D. Fila INL. Pandolfi out
55'T. Biasci INA. Favilli out
59'M. Palumbo INL. Di Maggio out
59'L. Palmiero IND. Sounas out
70'R. Mangas INA. Bakoune out
70'O. Forson INA. Colpani out
73'L. Simic INM. Venturi out
81'G. Varela INA. Petagna out
81'S. Birindelli INL. Lucchesi out
85'M. Mout INN. Galazzi out
90+1'D. Sounas

Lineups

Monza
3-4-2-1Coach: Ivan Juric
Avellino
4-3-1-2Coach: Alessandro Nesta
Avg rating7.35
Avg rating6.30
Demba Thiam6.720D. Thiam
Eddy Kouadio7.260E. Kouadio
Filippo Delli Carri7.315F. Delli Carri
Andrea Carboni6.744A. Carboni
Samuele BirindelliC7.219S. Birindelli
Manga Foe Ondoa7.28M. Foe Ondoa
Mathis Mout7.280M. Mout
Ricardo Mangas6.67R. Mangas
Omari Forson8.211O. Forson
Patrick Cutrone8.510P. Cutrone
Gustavo Varela8.09G. Varela
Tommaso Martinelli6.750T. Martinelli
Tommaso Cancellotti5.929T. Cancellotti
Armando Izzo6.24A. Izzo
Lorenco Šimić7.044L. Šimić
Brando Moruzzi6.027B. Moruzzi
Martin Palumbo6.020M. Palumbo
Luca PalmieroC6.66L. Palmiero
Michele Besaggio6.239M. Besaggio
Raffaele Russo6.210R. Russo
Daniel Fila6.211D. Fila
Tommaso Biasci6.314T. Biasci

Monza Substitutes

13Semuel Pizzignacco
43Aljaz Strajnar
2Arvid Brorsson
6Valentin Antov
24Adam Bakoune70'for R. Mangas
3Lorenzo Lucchesi81'for S. Birindelli
23Nicolas Galazzi85'for M. Mout
22Solomon Loubao
28Andrea Colpani70'for O. Forson
46Jay Robinson
47Dany Mota
37Andrea Petagna81'for G. Varela

Avellino Substitutes

7Luca Pandolfi55'for D. Fila
99Andrea Favilli55'for T. Biasci
8Luca Di Maggio59'for M. Palumbo
24Dimitrios Sounas59'for L. Palmiero90+1'
1Antony Iannarilli
22Jacopo Sassi
56Patrick Enrici
63Alessandro Fontanarosa
23Michael Venturi73'for L. Simic
28Francesco Maisto
16Giacomo Faticanti
3Marco Sala

Match Stats

MonzaAvellino
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots1
12Fouls15
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
526Total Passes410
463Passes Accurate358
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

MonzaMonza
AvellinoAvellino
1698Elo Rating 1568
2.26Attack 1.31
1.02Defense 1.67
39%Hit Rate 19%
13.0Shots per Game 18.0
5.9Shots on Target 4.8
4.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+130 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

MonzaMonza
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
AvellinoAvellino
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MonzaMonza1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
AvellinoAvellino1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B08/02/2026
MonzaAvellino
21
Serie B12/09/2025
AvellinoMonza
21

Recent Form

MonzaMonza
4W3D3L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
W
18/07/2026
MonzaPRO Vercelli
43
W
29/05/2026
MonzaCatanzaro
02
L
24/05/2026
CatanzaroMonza
02
W
19/05/2026
MonzaJuve Stabia
21
W
16/05/2026
Juve StabiaMonza
22
D
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D
01/05/2026
MantovaMonza
32
L
AvellinoAvellino
5W1D4L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
L
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
L
26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
05
W
22/07/2026
AvellinoScafatese
31
W
12/05/2026
CatanzaroAvellino
30
L
08/05/2026
AvellinoModena
10
W
01/05/2026
EmpoliAvellino
10
L
24/04/2026
AvellinoBari
20
W
18/04/2026
MantovaAvellino
02
W
11/04/2026
AvellinoCatanzaro
11
D

About the Monza vs Avellino forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monza and Avellino have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.