Cagliari vs Arezzo Prediction

Cagliari
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Arezzo
Unipol Domus, Cagliari 14/08/2026
CagliariCagliari
1-0
Finished
ArezzoArezzo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Cagliari Rest
5 days
Arezzo Rest
4 days

Cagliari vs Arezzo: the result in context

Cagliari beat Arezzo 1-0 in the Coppa Italia on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%1.56
X
28%4.00
2
34%5.68
Double Chance
1X
66%1.11
X2
62%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.92
No
47%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.06 = 2.90
Over 1.5
81%1.28
Over 2.5
46%1.87
Over 3.5
26%3.23
Under 1.5
19%3.45
Under 2.5
54%1.87
Under 3.5
74%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'S. Righetti
23'A. Deiola(Penalty)
46'P. Mendy ING. Borrelli out
52'M. Gilli INM. Coppolaro out
54'A. Deiola INR. Kofler out
54'Y. Trepy IND. Maldini out
60'S. Righetti INA. Cagnano out
60'L. Chierico ING. Iaccarino out
66'G. Iaccarino
67'J. Fazzini INM. Felici out
74'M. Sala INS. M. Eklu out
74'A. Arena ING. Cipriani out
80'H. Winks INM. Prati out
84'M. Prati
90+8'F. Pisacane
90+8'D. Maldini

Lineups

Cagliari
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Arezzo
4-3-3Coach: Cristian Bucchi
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.72
Elia Caprile7.21E. Caprile
Zé Pedro6.62Z. Pedro
Alessandro DeiolaC8.014A. Deiola
Juan Rodríguez7.515J. Rodríguez
Adam Obert7.333A. Obert
Alessandro Romano7.24A. Romano
Harry Winks7.26H. Winks
Michel Adopo6.38M. Adopo
Yael Trepy6.319Y. Trepy
Jacopo Fazzini6.610J. Fazzini
Paul Mendy6.331P. Mendy
Alessandro Nunziante6.914A. Nunziante
Alessandro Renzi6.36A. Renzi
Matteo Gilli6.613M. Gilli
Julián Illanes7.35J. Illanes
Samuele Righetti6.537S. Righetti
Mattia Sala7.016M. Sala
Luca Chierico6.324L. Chierico
Artur IonițăC6.917A. Ioniță
Alessandro Arena7.330A. Arena
Muhamed Varela Djamanca5.711M. Varela Djamanca
Camillo Tavernelli6.621C. Tavernelli

Cagliari Substitutes

29Gennaro Borrelli46'for P. Mendy6.3
22Raphael Kofler54'for A. Deiola6.6
70Daniel Maldini54'for Y. Trepy90+8'6.9
17Mattia Felici67'for J. Fazzini6.6
16Matteo Prati80'for H. Winks84'6.6
23Boris Radunović
12Alen Sherri
28Gabriele Zappa
36Nicola Grandu
24Giuseppe Aurelio
21Nicolò Cavuoti
32Ivan Sulev
27Joseph Liteta
30Demi Akarakiri
18Kingstone Mutandwa

Arezzo Substitutes

4Mauro Coppolaro52'for M. Gilli7.3
32Andrea Cagnano60'for S. Righetti6.9
78Gennaro Iaccarino60'for L. Chierico66'6.6
8Eklu Shaka Mawuli74'for M. Sala6.9
29Gianmarco Cipriani74'for A. Arena6.5
90Andrea Seculin
22Francesco Șerban
2Marlon Mena
19Marco Chiosa
72Matteo Cortesi
23Mattia Viviani
7Kevin Leone
10Emiliano Pattarello

Match Stats

CagliariArezzo
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
16Fouls9
3Goalkeeper Saves2
341Total Passes462
292Passes Accurate393
86%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

CagliariCagliari
ArezzoArezzo
1692Elo Rating 1571
0.64Attack 0.76
1.21Defense 1.30
31%Hit Rate 37%
7.1Shots per Game 12.9
2.8Shots on Target 3.1
2.5Corners per Game 4.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ArezzoArezzo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

CagliariCagliari
4W4D2L
08/08/2026
CagliariNice
0000
D
02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
22
D
28/07/2026
CagliariModena
10
W
23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
00
D
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
W
09/05/2026
CagliariUdinese
02
L
03/05/2026
BolognaCagliari
00
D
27/04/2026
CagliariAtalanta
32
W
17/04/2026
InterCagliari
30
L
11/04/2026
CagliariCremonese
10
W
ArezzoArezzo
5W3D2L
09/08/2026
ArezzoUnion Brescia
20
W
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D
29/07/2026
ArezzoAlbinoleffe
13
L
25/07/2026
ArezzoFolgore Caratese
11
D
22/07/2026
NapoliArezzo
13
W
26/04/2026
ArezzoTorres
31
W
18/04/2026
PinetoArezzo
14
W
12/04/2026
ArezzoLivorno
20
W
04/04/2026
SambenedetteseArezzo
00
D
30/03/2026
ArezzoAscoli
12
L

About the Cagliari vs Arezzo forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cagliari and Arezzo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.