Cremonese vs Sampdoria Prediction

Cremonese
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sampdoria
Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano·D. Perenzoni 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+13.1%
Cremonese Rest
16 days
Sampdoria Rest
8 days

Cremonese vs Sampdoria: the result in context

Cremonese beat Sampdoria 2-0 in the Coppa Italia on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Sampdoria tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.9 for Cremonese.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%2.02
X
45%3.23
2
32%3.85
Double Chance
1X
68%1.23
X2
77%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.21 = 2.63
Over 1.5
81%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.17
Over 3.5
25%3.90
Under 1.5
19%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'David StücklerAssist: Michele Collocolo
52'Jari VandeputteArgument
54'David Stückler INManuel De Luca out
61'Giuseppe Forte INBjorn Meijer out
61'Tobias Lauritsen INGennaro Tutino out
62'Alessandro Vogliacco INFrancesco Folino out
62'Federico Bonazzoli INTommaso Berti out
69'Fabio GerliFoul
71'Giuseppe PezzellaArgument
71'Liam HendersonArgument
77'Salvatore Esposito(Penalty missed)
82'Simone Pontisso INDachi Lordkipanidze out
82'Michele Collocolo INMarco Nasti out
85'Danel Sinani INLorenzo Paratici out
85'Mattia Viti INAlex Ferrari out
90+3'Tommaso Berti

Lineups

Cremonese
Coach: Marco Giampaolo
Sampdoria
Coach: Bernardo Corradi

Cremonese Starting XI

1Andrea Fulignati8.2
38Alessandro Vogliacco62'replaced by Francesco Folino6.9
15Matteo BianchettiC7.0
5Sebastiano Luperto6.9
3Giuseppe Pezzella71'6.6
16Fabio Gerli69'6.9
20Simone Pontisso82'replaced by Dachi Lordkipanidze7.3
18Michele Collocolo82'replaced by Marco Nasti6.3
90Federico Bonazzoli62'replaced by Tommaso Berti6.3
27Jari Vandeputte52'7.0
7David Stückler23'54'replaced by Manuel De Luca7.3
Avg rating6.94

Sampdoria Starting XI

1Peter Vindahl6.9
29Alessandro Di Pardo6.2
3Stefan Gartenmann6.9
2Mattia Viti85'replaced by Alex Ferrari7.0
7Manuel Cicconi6.7
6Liam HendersonC71'6.0
94Salvatore Esposito6.3
14Alessandro Bellemo6.9
20Danel Sinani85'replaced by Lorenzo Paratici6.3
9Tobias Lauritsen61'replaced by Gennaro Tutino6.9
21Giuseppe Forte61'replaced by Bjorn Meijer6.3
Avg rating6.53

Cremonese Substitutes

9Manuel De Luca54'for David Stückler6.3
23Francesco Folino62'for Alessandro Vogliacco6.9
14Tommaso Berti62'for Federico Bonazzoli90+3'7.9
25Dachi Lordkipanidze82'for Simone Pontisso6.7
19Marco Nasti82'for Michele Collocolo6.5
12Marco Festa
22Federico Agazzi
13Fellipe Jack
21Yuri Rocchetti
33Alberto Grassi
8Simone Lottici Tessadri
11Milan Đurić

Sampdoria Substitutes

5Bjorn Meijer61'for Giuseppe Forte6.2
99Gennaro Tutino61'for Tobias Lauritsen6.6
25Alex Ferrari85'for Mattia Viti6.3
17Lorenzo Paratici85'for Danel Sinani6.5
12Andrey Krastev
31Simone Ghidotti
38Karim Diop
4Alessandro Pio Riccio
37Stefan Amarandei
35Leo Rodella

Match Stats

CremoneseSampdoria
51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
17Fouls9
0Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
534Total Passes500
484Passes Accurate451
91%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

CremoneseCremonese
SampdoriaSampdoria
1601Elo Rating 1511
0.51Attack 1.02
1.76Defense 1.05
0%Hit Rate 17%
12.8Shots per Game 14.7
4.4Shots on Target 3.8
3.9Corners per Game 6.2
1.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CremoneseCremonese
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
SampdoriaSampdoria
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

CremoneseCremonese2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
SampdoriaSampdoria1Wins · 17%
2.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B01/05/2025
SampdoriaCremonese
00
Serie B22/12/2024
CremoneseSampdoria
11
Serie B27/02/2024
SampdoriaCremonese
12
Serie B03/09/2023
CremoneseSampdoria
11
Serie A08/04/2023
SampdoriaCremonese
23
Serie A24/10/2022
CremoneseSampdoria
01

Recent Form

CremoneseCremonese
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
CremoneseLumezzane
00
D
29/07/2026
CremoneseCittadella
11
D
24/07/2026
CremoneseGiana Erminio
40
W
17/05/2026
UdineseCremonese
01
W
10/05/2026
CremonesePisa
30
W
04/05/2026
CremoneseLazio
12
L
24/04/2026
NapoliCremonese
40
L
19/04/2026
CremoneseTorino
00
D
11/04/2026
CagliariCremonese
10
L
05/04/2026
CremoneseBologna
12
L
SampdoriaSampdoria
5W2D3L
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
W
01/08/2026
SampdoriaNovara
12
L
23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
00
D
18/07/2026
SampdoriaTaverne
20
W
08/05/2026
ReggianaSampdoria
10
L
01/05/2026
SampdoriaSudtirol
10
W
25/04/2026
CesenaSampdoria
00
D
17/04/2026
SampdoriaMonza
03
L
11/04/2026
PescaraSampdoria
12
W
06/04/2026
SampdoriaEmpoli
10
W

Referee Profile

D. Perenzoni110 matches

4.84Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Perenzoni4.84
Other referees4.86

4.84 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Cremonese vs Sampdoria forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.