Parma vs Catania Prediction

Parma
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Catania
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma 14/08/2026
ParmaParma
2-0
Finished
CataniaCatania

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel34%SurpriseHighGap+7.5%
Parma Rest
4 days
Catania Rest
5 days

Parma vs Catania: the result in context

Parma beat Catania 2-0 in the Coppa Italia on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.36
X
24%4.57
2
33%8.00
Double Chance
1X
67%1.06
X2
57%2.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.00
No
47%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.31 = 2.96
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
46%1.75
Over 3.5
26%2.81
Under 1.5
19%3.90
Under 2.5
54%2.05
Under 3.5
74%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'S. Lontani
33'A. Quaini
35'S. LontaniAssist: E. B. Toure
45+2'S. Leonardi
46'A. Corbari INM. Liguori out
46'D. Donnarumma INA. Raimo out
63'A. Quaini INF. Di Tacchio out
63'S. Leonardi INS. Caturano out
66'A. Konate INM. Keita out
66'A. Bernabe INO. Sorensen out
67'E. B. Toure INM. Frigan out
77'S. Lontani INO. Diallo out
82'A. Allegretto INM. Perrotta out
83'S. Britschgi INF. Carboni out
90+4'F. Carboni

Lineups

Parma
4-3-3Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Catania
4-3-3Coach: Domenico Toscano
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.66
Edoardo Corvi7.040E. Corvi
Enrico DelpratoC7.015E. Delprato
Mariano Troilo6.937M. Troilo
Alessandro Circati6.939A. Circati
Emanuele Valeri7.514E. Valeri
Adrián Bernabé6.210A. Bernabé
Christian Ordoñez6.932C. Ordoñez
Abdou-Salam Konate7.347A. Konate
Sascha Britschgi6.627S. Britschgi
El Bilal Touré7.619E. Bilal Touré
Simone Lontani8.576S. Lontani
Filippo Rinaldi7.222F. Rinaldi
Gabriele Pagliai5.92G. Pagliai
Mario Ierardi6.768M. Ierardi
Andrea Allegretto6.26A. Allegretto
Daniele Donnarumma6.720D. Donnarumma
Andrea Corbari6.030A. Corbari
Alessandro Quaini7.516A. Quaini
Kaleb Jiménez6.38K. Jiménez
Giovanni Bruzzaniti6.57G. Bruzzaniti
Simone Leonardi6.577S. Leonardi
Emanuele CicerelliC7.010E. Cicerelli

Parma Substitutes

16Mandela Keita66'for A. Konate6.2
24Oliver Sørensen66'for A. Bernabe6.3
20Matija Frigan67'for E. B. Toure6.5
75Alessandro Mazzocchi
30Giovanni Daffara
72Dominik Drobnic
3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
5Lautaro Valenti
80Rachid Kouda
29Franco Carboni83'for S. Britschgi90+4'6.5
11Pontus Almqvist
21Aymen Zouin
7Ousmane Diallo6.6

Catania Substitutes

19Alessandro Raimo46'for D. Donnarumma6.9
21Michael Liguori46'for A. Corbari6.9
14Francesco Di Tacchio63'for A. Quaini6.9
9Salvatore Caturano63'for S. Leonardi6.5
66Cristian De Falco
1Antonio Vitali
57Andrea Dini
5Marco Perrotta82'for A. Allegretto6.9
76Catello Amendola
23Gabriel Lunetta
70Nicolò Catania
11Alex Rolfini

Match Stats

ParmaCatania
35%Ball Possession65%
3Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
19Fouls8
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
340Total Passes635
300Passes Accurate571
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

ParmaParma
CataniaCatania
1634Elo Rating 1541
0.74Attack 1.68
0.74Defense 2.10
17%Hit Rate 59%
13.0Shots per Game -
4.5Shots on Target -
3.3Corners per Game -
1.5Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ParmaParma
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
CataniaCatania
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

ParmaParma
3W3D4L
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
L
02/08/2026
ParmaIraklis 1908
11
D
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
W
17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
L
10/05/2026
ParmaAS Roma
23
L
03/05/2026
InterParma
20
L
25/04/2026
ParmaPisa
10
W
18/04/2026
UdineseParma
01
W
12/04/2026
ParmaNapoli
11
D
CataniaCatania
3W4D3L
08/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatania
3141
W
27/05/2026
CataniaAscoli
21
W
24/05/2026
AscoliCatania
40
L
20/05/2026
CataniaLecco
33
D
17/05/2026
LeccoCatania
00
D
26/04/2026
Atalanta IICatania
11
D
19/04/2026
CataniaPotenza
11
D
13/04/2026
CrotoneCatania
20
L
06/04/2026
CataniaAZ Picerno
12
L
28/03/2026
LatinaCatania
01
W

About the Parma vs Catania forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Parma and Catania have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.