Pisa vs Empoli Prediction

Pisa
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-0AET 0-0PEN 4-3
Empoli
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa·Andrea Zanotti, Italy 17/08/2026
PisaPisa
1-1
After Penalties
EmpoliEmpoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Pisa Rest
9 days
Empoli Rest
8 days

Pisa vs Empoli: the result in context

Pisa beat Empoli on penalties (4-3) after a 1-1 draw in the Coppa Italia on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Andrea Zanotti averages 3.57 cards a game, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%1.84
X
30%3.42
2
43%4.30
Double Chance
1X
57%1.19
X2
73%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.85
No
47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 2.51 = 3.66
Over 1.5
81%1.30
Over 2.5
48%2.06
Over 3.5
27%3.55
Under 1.5
19%3.20
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'E. Biondini
44'T. MarrasAssist: M. Leris
45'G. Yepes
46'E. Biondini INS. Shpendi out
59'S. Monaco ING. Indragoli out
61'E. Saporiti
68'F. Di Stefano INB. Popov out
69'G. Piccinini INT. Esteves out
69'S. Moreo INH. Meister out
69'I. Vural INF. Loyola out
69'L. Tosto INC. Cauz out
70'G. Indragoli
75'M. Tramoni INE. Rao out
77'J. Ceesay INS. Romagnoli out
90+2'G. Leone INI. Ferrah out

Penalty Shootout4 - 3

1L. Magnino(Penalty missed)
1T. Marras(Penalty)
2S. Shpendi(Penalty)
2H. Meister(Penalty)
3B. Popov(Penalty)
3E. Rao(Penalty)
4S. Romagnoli(Penalty)
4F. Loyola(Penalty)
5E. Saporiti(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Pisa
4-3-3Coach: Paolo Bianco
Empoli
3-4-2-1Coach: Guido Pagliuca
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.58
Adrian Šemper7.21A. Šemper
Simone Zanon6.972S. Zanon
Antonio CaraccioloC7.04A. Caracciolo
Simone Canestrelli6.25S. Canestrelli
Mehdi Léris7.37M. Léris
Gabriele Piccinini6.536G. Piccinini
Giuseppe Leone6.955G. Leone
Isak Vural6.621I. Vural
Tommaso Marras8.323T. Marras
Stefano Moreo6.932S. Moreo
Matteo Tramoni7.310M. Tramoni
Jacopo Seghetti7.612J. Seghetti
Luca MagninoC5.68L. Magnino
Marco Curto6.525M. Curto
Lorenzo Tosto6.229L. Tosto
Matteo Egan6.535M. Egan
Edoardo Biondini6.539E. Biondini
Gerard Yepes6.621G. Yepes
Joseph Ceesay5.915J. Ceesay
Edoardo Saporiti8.010E. Saporiti
Filippo Distefano6.220F. Distefano
Salvatore Monaco7.517S. Monaco

Pisa Substitutes

14Felipe Loyola69'for I. Vural6.2
9Henrik Wendel Meister69'for S. Moreo6.2
19Tomás Esteves69'for G. Piccinini6.7
17Emanuele Rao6.3
11Ichem Ferrah90+2'for G. Leone
12Ante Vuković
22Leonardo Loria
27Jeremy Kandje Mbambi
13Andrea Primasso
2Rosen Bozhinov
33Arturo Calabresi
29Jacopo Frosali
16Louis Buffon

Empoli Substitutes

11Stiven Shpendi46'for E. Biondini6.6
28Gabriele Indragoli59'for S. Monaco70'6.3
77Bogdan Popov68'for F. Di Stefano6.5
33Cristian Cauz69'for L. Tosto6.3
6Simone Romagnoli77'for J. Ceesay6.5
13Emiliano Filippis
1Samuele Perisan
16Samuele Tavanti
31Samsondeen Babalola
38Mattia Huqi
44Lapo Deli
57Luca Belardinelli
89Thomas Campaniello
45Andrea Orlandi
9Flavio Bianchi

Match Stats

PisaEmpoli
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
9Fouls15
2Goalkeeper Saves4
466Total Passes314
395Passes Accurate221
85%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

PisaPisa
EmpoliEmpoli
1577Elo Rating 1554
2.03Attack 0.78
1.28Defense 0.98
50%Hit Rate 0%
14.7Shots per Game 11.2
5.2Shots on Target 3.4
6.6Corners per Game 3.9
2.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.65 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PisaPisa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EmpoliEmpoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PisaPisa0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
EmpoliEmpoli1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B20/02/2021
PisaEmpoli
11
Serie B23/10/2020
EmpoliPisa
31

Recent Form

PisaPisa
1W2D7L
08/08/2026
BolognaPisa
11
D
26/07/2026
PisaPRO Vercelli
01
L
25/07/2026
PisaJuventus U23
11
D
19/07/2026
PisaPavia
61
W
23/05/2026
LazioPisa
21
L
17/05/2026
PisaNapoli
03
L
10/05/2026
CremonesePisa
30
L
01/05/2026
PisaLecce
12
L
25/04/2026
ParmaPisa
10
L
19/04/2026
PisaGenoa
12
L
EmpoliEmpoli
3W4D3L
08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
11
D
01/08/2026
EmpoliSpezia
11
D
25/07/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
10
W
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D
01/05/2026
EmpoliAvellino
10
W
25/04/2026
VeneziaEmpoli
20
L
19/04/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
11
D
12/04/2026
PadovaEmpoli
10
L
06/04/2026
SampdoriaEmpoli
10
L
22/03/2026
EmpoliPescara
42
W

Referee Profile

Andrea Zanotti83 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.39Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Zanotti3.57
Other referees4.25

3.57 cards a match, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Pisa vs Empoli forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pisa and Empoli have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.