Catanzaro vs Sudtirol Prediction

Catanzaro
2-2
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 3-4
Sudtirol
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro·Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy 15/08/2026
CatanzaroCatanzaro
2-2
After Penalties
SudtirolSudtirol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Catanzaro Rest
10 days
Sudtirol Rest
8 days

Catanzaro vs Sudtirol: result, form and history

Sudtirol beat Catanzaro on penalties (4-3) after a 2-2 draw in the Coppa Italia on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Catanzaro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sudtirol.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.10
X
31%3.23
2
28%3.60
Double Chance
1X
72%1.26
X2
59%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.83
No
47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.15 = 2.83
Over 1.5
81%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.12
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
19%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.69
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'N. Pyyhtia
27'S. PafundiAssist: M. D'Alessandro
40'F. Davi
46'F. Davi INS. Molina out
53'P. Iemmello
63'M. D'Alessandro INM. Dorval out
68'R. Burnete INS. Davi out
68'B. Bjarkason INK. Mixtur out
69'Matias Antonini
73'B. Verrengia INR. Frosinini out
73'S. Pafundi INN. Buso out
80'A. Vasic IND. Casiraghi out
81'M. Ruggero INE. Bashi out
81'P. Iemmello ING. Arditi out
85'K. MixturAssist: S. Tronchin
88'V. Lopes
90+1'G. Alesi

Penalty Shootout3 - 4

1R. Stivanello(Penalty missed)
1J. Petriccione(Penalty)
2V. Lopes(Penalty)
2N. Buso(Penalty)
3D. Casiraghi(Penalty)
3R. Frosinini(Penalty missed)
4S. Molina(Penalty)
4G. Arditi(Penalty)
5S. Davi(Penalty)
5M. Dorval(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

CatanzaroCatanzaro
SudtirolSudtirol
1558Elo Rating 1577
1.23Attack 0.93
0.01Defense 1.74
14%Hit Rate 17%
13.1Shots per Game 9.8
4.3Shots on Target 2.9
3.4Corners per Game 3.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CatanzaroCatanzaro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SudtirolSudtirol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

CatanzaroCatanzaro2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
SudtirolSudtirol1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B31/01/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
21
Serie B24/08/2025
CatanzaroSudtirol
11
Serie B12/01/2025
SudtirolCatanzaro
11
Serie B27/10/2024
CatanzaroSudtirol
30
Serie B17/02/2024
CatanzaroSudtirol
22
Serie B07/10/2023
SudtirolCatanzaro
01

Recent Form

CatanzaroCatanzaro
6W0D4L
05/08/2026
CatanzaroGiugliano
30
W
29/07/2026
CatanzaroParadiso
31
W
29/05/2026
MonzaCatanzaro
02
W
24/05/2026
CatanzaroMonza
02
L
20/05/2026
PalermoCatanzaro
20
L
17/05/2026
CatanzaroPalermo
30
W
12/05/2026
CatanzaroAvellino
30
W
08/05/2026
CatanzaroBari
23
L
01/05/2026
PalermoCatanzaro
32
L
25/04/2026
CatanzaroSpezia
42
W
SudtirolSudtirol
1W6D3L
07/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Verona
10
W
25/07/2026
Sudtirol1. FC Kaiserslautern
00
D
22/05/2026
SudtirolBari
00
D
15/05/2026
BariSudtirol
00
D
08/05/2026
SudtirolJuve Stabia
11
D
01/05/2026
SampdoriaSudtirol
10
L
25/04/2026
SudtirolMantova
03
L
18/04/2026
SpeziaSudtirol
61
L
11/04/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
06/04/2026
CesenaSudtirol
11
D

Referee Profile

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta50 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta4.10
Other referees4.48

4.10 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.48).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Catanzaro vs Sudtirol forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.