Sassuolo vs Torino Prediction

Sassuolo
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Torino
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia·Davide Di Marco, Italy 29/08/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
2-1
Finished
TorinoTorino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseHighGap+6.1%
Sassuolo Rest
5 days
Torino Rest
5 days

Sassuolo vs Torino: the result in context

Sassuolo beat Torino 2-1 in the Serie A on 29 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Torino had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sassuolo.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Davide Di Marco averages 4.17 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.30
X
27%3.26
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.33
X2
53%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.76
No
43%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1 = 2.60
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.05
Over 3.5
22%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.80
Under 3.5
78%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.1 = 8.7
Over 8.5
58%1.70
Over 9.5
41%2.15
Over 10.5
29%2.85
Under 8.5
42%2.05
Under 9.5
59%1.64
Under 10.5
71%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%2.12
Over 4.5
40%3.34
Under 3.5
38%1.67
Under 4.5
60%1.30

Match Events

23'Gvidas GineitisFoul
32'Cristian VolpatoAssist: Vasilije Adzic
40'Nemanja MatićFoul
45+2'Pietro ComuzzoAssist: Alessio Cacciamani
47'Cristian VolpatoFoul
60'Vasilije Adzic INKristian Thorstvedt out
60'Cristian Volpato INBenjamin Dominguez out
61'Josh Doig INRafael Obrador out
67'Gvidas Gineitis INEmirhan İlkhan out
67'Eray Cömert INArdian Ismajli out
70'Armand LaurienteFoul
72'Kieron Bowie INDomenico Berardi out
73'Giovanni Simeone INSandro Kulenović out
73'Niccolo Fortini INZakaria Aboukhlal out
78'Domenico BerardiAssist: Fedde Leysen
83'Che Adams INDuván Zapata out
90'Nemanja Matić INLuca Lipani out

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Torino
5-3-2Coach: Ignazio Abate
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.59
A. Murić6.749A. Murić
S. Cinquegrano6.946S. Cinquegrano
J. Idzes6.521J. Idzes
F. Leysen7.116F. Leysen
J. Doig6.43J. Doig
Vasilije Adžić7.717V. Adžić
N. Matić6.718N. Matić
D. Bakola6.950D. Bakola
C. Volpato8.27C. Volpato
K. Bowie6.39K. Bowie
A. Laurienté6.845A. Laurienté
D. Mascardi7.226D. Mascardi
N. Fortini6.629N. Fortini
P. Comuzzo7.815P. Comuzzo
Saúl Coco6.623S. Coco
E. Cömert6.55E. Cömert
A. Cacciamani7.277A. Cacciamani
G. Gineitis6.066G. Gineitis
K. Fitz-Jim6.828K. Fitz-Jim
N. Vlašić6.810N. Vlašić
G. Simeone6.418G. Simeone
C. Adams6.519C. Adams

Sassuolo Substitutes

8A. Ghion
80S. Turati
42K. Thorstvedt60'for Vasilije Adzic6.8
12G. Satalino
77N. Pierini
26C. Odenthal
33Rafael Obrador61'for Josh Doig7.2
10D. Berardi72'for Kieron Bowie78'8.2
25B. Domínguez60'for Cristian Volpato6.1
14G. Kulla
35L. Lipani90'for Nemanja Matić
2F. Missori

Torino Substitutes

6E. İlkhan67'for Gvidas Gineitis6.0
44A. Ismajli67'for Eray Cömert6.1
17S. Kulenović73'for Giovanni Simeone6.3
79A. Luongo
92A. Njie
11G. Oristanio
1A. Paleari
25M. Pellini
76L. Siviero
21A. Dembélé
14F. Anjorin
7Z. Aboukhlal73'for Niccolo Fortini6.4
91D. Zapata83'for Che Adams6.3

Match Stats

SassuoloTorino
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
12Fouls9
5Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
436Total Passes527
385Passes Accurate475
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
TorinoTorino
1725Elo Rating 1752
1.24Attack 2.05
0.74Defense 1.82
14%Hit Rate 69%
11.8Shots per Game 12.4
4.3Shots on Target 4.3
3.8Corners per Game 3.2
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TorinoTorino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
TorinoTorino5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
Serie A21/12/2025
SassuoloTorino
01
Serie A10/02/2024
SassuoloTorino
11
Serie A06/11/2023
TorinoSassuolo
21
Serie A03/04/2023
SassuoloTorino
11
Serie A17/09/2022
TorinoSassuolo
01
Serie A23/01/2022
TorinoSassuolo
11
Serie A17/09/2021
SassuoloTorino
01
Serie A17/03/2021
TorinoSassuolo
32
Serie A23/10/2020
SassuoloTorino
33

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
3W1D6L
23/08/2026
AtalantaSassuolo
21
L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
W
TorinoTorino
5W1D4L
23/08/2026
TorinoAC Milan
12
L
15/08/2026
TorinoCarrarese
10
W
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
W
25/07/2026
TorinoCittadella
01
L
22/07/2026
TorinoAlcione
10
W
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
W
02/05/2026
UdineseTorino
20
L
26/04/2026
TorinoInter
22
D

Referee Profile

Davide Di Marco95 matches

4.17Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Davide Di Marco4.17
Other referees4.69

4.17 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Sassuolo vs Torino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sassuolo and Torino in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Torino are 8th and Sassuolo 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Sassuolo 14-22, Torino 14-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.