Brisbane Roar vs Auckland Prediction

Brisbane Roar
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Auckland
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane·Lachlan Keevers, Australia 30/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Brisbane Roar Rest
7 days
Auckland Rest
6 days

Brisbane Roar vs Auckland: the result in context

Brisbane Roar and Auckland drew 1-1 in the A-League on 30 Oct 2026. Brisbane Roar had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Auckland.

Auckland have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Brisbane Roar tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 3.2 for Auckland.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.65
X
27%3.42
2
42%2.55
Double Chance
1X
58%1.47
X2
69%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.66
No
39%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.7 = 3.11
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
54%1.90
Over 3.5
33%3.20
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
46%1.93
Under 3.5
67%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.46
Over 9.5
48%1.80
Over 10.5
36%2.28
Under 8.5
40%2.46
Under 9.5
52%1.95
Under 10.5
64%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.63
Over 4.5
45%2.25
Under 3.5
36%2.20
Under 4.5
55%1.60

Match Events

12'H. Sakai
21'J. VidicDiving
53'S. James NgorFoul
58'V. Postolachi INM. Ilic out
72'L. Brook INC. Elliot out
72'J. Bidois INI. Prins out
75'M. Stajic INE. Durakovic out
76'S. James Ngor INN. Amanatidis out
78'F. De VriesFoul
82'T. Francois INJ. Lauton out
89'J. Brimmer IND. Normann out
90+3'L. Bayliss INV. Fitzharris out
90+5'T. Aldred

Lineups

Brisbane Roar
3-5-2
Auckland
4-4-2
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.86
George Plusnin6.540G. Plusnin
Milorad Stajić7.277M. Stajić
Tom AldredC7.05T. Aldred
Joel King8.216J. King
Tate Russell6.513T. Russell
Tae Hee Nam6.610T. Hee Nam
Noah Maieroni7.96N. Maieroni
Tyrese Francois6.78T. Francois
Sabit James Ngor6.319S. James Ngor
Justin Vidic6.317J. Vidic
Virgiliu Postolachi6.39V. Postolachi
Michael Woud6.61M. Woud
Hiroki SakaiC8.62H. Sakai
Ronan Wynne7.023R. Wynne
Nando Pijnaker7.34N. Pijnaker
Francis De Vries7.015F. De Vries
Lachlan Brook6.577L. Brook
Felipe Gallegos6.98F. Gallegos
Jake Brimmer6.522J. Brimmer
Logan Rogerson6.327L. Rogerson
Jonty Bidois6.735J. Bidois
Lachlan Bayliss6.710L. Bayliss

Brisbane Roar Substitutes

11Marko Ilic58'for V. Postolachi6.5
1Dean Bouzanis
15Hosine Bility
2Jacob Nasso
14Emin Durakovic75'for M. Stajic6.7
44Jordan Lauton82'for T. Francois
22Nathan Amanatidis76'for S. James Ngor6.9

Auckland Substitutes

30Joseph James Knowles
25Luka Vicelich
17Callan Elliot72'for L. Brook6.6
16Daniel Normann89'for J. Brimmer
57Van Fitzharris90+3'for L. Bayliss
18Marley Leuluai
21Isa Prins72'for J. Bidois6.5

Match Stats

Brisbane RoarAuckland
69%Ball Possession31%
12Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots4
10Fouls8
2Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves3
611Total Passes274
530Passes Accurate207
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
AucklandAuckland
1463Elo Rating 1595
1.76Attack 1.45
1.44Defense 1.22
39%Hit Rate 34%
13.5Shots per Game 9.2
3.7Shots on Target 2.7
7.3Corners per Game 3.2
2.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AucklandAuckland
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
AucklandAuckland3Wins · 75%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

A-League09/01/2026
Brisbane RoarAuckland
02
A-League23/11/2025
AucklandBrisbane Roar
11
A-League30/03/2025
Brisbane RoarAuckland
02
A-League19/10/2024
AucklandBrisbane Roar
20

Recent Form

Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
3W3D4L
23/10/2026
Brisbane RoarPerth Glory
21
W
04/09/2026
OlympicBrisbane Roar
34
W
09/08/2026
Brisbane RoarSydney
24
L
30/07/2026
Sydney OlympicBrisbane Roar
03
W
25/04/2026
Perth GloryBrisbane Roar
21
L
18/04/2026
Brisbane RoarMelbourne City
23
L
10/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersBrisbane Roar
22
D
02/04/2026
Brisbane RoarSydney
00
D
21/03/2026
Brisbane RoarWellington Phoenix
12
L
13/03/2026
Brisbane RoarWestern Sydney Wanderers
22
D
AucklandAuckland
4W2D4L
24/10/2026
Western Sydney WanderersAuckland
52
L
17/10/2026
AucklandMelbourne City
31
W
19/09/2026
AucklandWestern Sydney Wanderers
13
L
26/08/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAuckland
10
L
26/07/2026
AucklandTottenham
02
L
23/05/2026
AucklandSydney
10
W
15/05/2026
Adelaide UnitedAuckland
03
W
09/05/2026
AucklandAdelaide United
11
D
02/05/2026
AucklandMelbourne City
7161
W
26/04/2026
SydneyAuckland
22
D

Referee Profile

Lachlan Keevers96 matches

4.24Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lachlan Keevers4.24
Other referees3.98

4.24 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 49 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix33007:1+69WWW
2Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers31205:2+35WWD
3MacarthurMacarthur31203:2+15LDW
4Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar21103:2+14DW
5SydneySydney31113:304LWD
6AucklandAuckland31116:7-14DLW
7Melbourne CityMelbourne City31114:5-14WDL
8Perth GloryPerth Glory31026:4+23WLL
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory30213:4-12DDL
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners30213:5-22DLD
11Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets30213:6-32LDD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United20021:6-50LL
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About the Brisbane Roar vs Auckland forecast

The forecasts for this A-League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About A-League

More A-League fixtures and forecasts are on the A-League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.