Bristol Rovers vs Barnet Prediction

Bristol Rovers
1-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Barnet
Memorial Stadium, Bristol 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap-7.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Bristol Rovers Rest
3 days
Barnet Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Barnet: result, form and history

Barnet beat Bristol Rovers 3-1 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barnet had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bristol Rovers.

Barnet have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Barnet tend to win more corners, 7.6 a game to 4.9 for Bristol Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.25
X
27%3.50
2
34%2.90
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
61%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.25 = 2.21
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.60
Under 1.5
26%4.10
Under 2.5
48%2.12
Under 3.5
70%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.37
Over 9.5
47%1.67
Over 10.5
37%2.08
Under 8.5
42%2.73
Under 9.5
53%2.05
Under 10.5
63%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

4'Ellis Harrison
29'Shaqai FordeFoul
31'Idris KanuFoul
59'Romoney Crichlow-Noble INNikola Tavares out
59'Jake Reeves INBrandon Comley out
59'Tom Knowles INDamola Ajayi out
65'Ben PurringtonFoul
65'Steve EvansDissent
73'Idris Kanu INJ Maskell out
79'Adam SeniorAssist: Kabongo Tshimanga
85'Tommy LeighViolent conduct
86'Zac Williams
88'Ellis Harrison INJoe Quigley out
90+2'Charlie Lakin INMyles Kenlock out
90+5'Daniele CollingeFoul
90+5'Kabongo TshimangaAssist: Damola Ajayi

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Evans
Barnet
4-2-3-1Coach: Dean Brennan
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating6.69
Brad Young5.31B. Young
T. James6.92T. James
K. Balmer5.94K. Balmer
C. Kelly6.517C. Kelly
B. Purrington5.314B. Purrington
Keenan Gough6.422K. Gough
C. Mola6.36C. Mola
S. Forde5.77S. Forde
T. Leigh5.024T. Leigh
E. Harrison7.619E. Harrison
F. Cavegn6.529F. Cavegn
M. Cox6.613M. Cox
A. Senior7.25A. Senior
D. Collinge6.14D. Collinge
Z. Williams7.16Z. Williams
R. Crichlow-Noble6.43R. Crichlow-Noble
J. Reeves6.823J. Reeves
O. Gallagher6.122O. Gallagher
C. Lakin6.78C. Lakin
I. Kanu6.211I. Kanu
T. Knowles6.27T. Knowles
K. Tshimanga8.620K. Tshimanga

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

8R. Russell-Denny
9J. Quigley88'for Ellis Harrison6.3
5A. Kilgour
32Charlie Binns
28A. Appiah
21R. Smallwood
3J. Sparkes

Barnet Substitutes

17D. Ajayi59'for Tom Knowles6.9
14B. Comley59'for Jake Reeves6.6
30M. Kenlock90+2'for Charlie Lakin
36Anthony Haralambous
25N. Tavares59'for Romoney Crichlow-Noble6.4
37Aaron Liwala-Lukizalamu
9J. Maskell73'for Idris Kanu6.5

Match Stats

Bristol RoversBarnet
40%Ball Possession60%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
18Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box7
8Blocked Shots8
16Fouls9
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
234Total Passes356
130Passes Accurate248
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
BarnetBarnet
1484Elo Rating 1650
0.54Attack 1.99
1.29Defense 1.61
0%Hit Rate 58%
15.7Shots per Game 16.2
5.1Shots on Target 5.1
4.9Corners per Game 7.6
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BarnetBarnet
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
BarnetBarnet3Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two29/12/2025
Bristol RoversBarnet
02
League Two09/12/2025
BarnetBristol Rovers
40
FA Cup21/11/2018
Bristol RoversBarnet
12
FA Cup11/11/2018
BarnetBristol Rovers
11

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
5W0D5L
06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
41
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
W
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
W
25/08/2026
Bristol RoversChelsea U21
2242
L
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
W
BarnetBarnet
6W3D1L
06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
7080
W
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
W
12/09/2026
BarnetAccrington ST
21
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D
22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
13
W
18/08/2026
BarnetArsenal U21
51
W
15/08/2026
BarnetSalford City
31
W
08/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedBarnet
21
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
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About the Bristol Rovers vs Barnet forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Barnet in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Barnet are 2nd and Bristol Rovers 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 17-23, Barnet 28-18. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.