Cheltenham vs Salford City Prediction

Cheltenham
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Salford City
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.23
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Cheltenham Rest
7 days
Salford City Rest
3 days

Cheltenham vs Salford City: the result in context

Salford City beat Cheltenham 2-0 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.85
X
26%3.75
2
47%1.83
Double Chance
1X
53%1.88
X2
73%1.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.63 = 2.89
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.15
Under 2.5
45%2.12
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.44
Over 9.5
55%1.77
Over 10.5
45%2.23
Under 8.5
33%2.50
Under 9.5
45%1.92
Under 10.5
55%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

6'Freddie willcoxFoul
20'Jake EvansFoul
45'Ryan Graydon INKallum Cesay out
49'Abraham Odoh
56'Luke MolyneuxArgument
57'Jonathan TomkinsonArgument
64'Jordan ShipleyDissent
71'Will AimsonFoul
76'Abraham Odoh INLuke Garbutt out
78'Ben Stevenson
84'Jorge Grant
85'Andreas WeimannDissent
85'Ryan Broom INGeorge Miller out
87'Luke Molyneux INNathan Asiimwe out
87'Jake Evans INGeorge Nurse out
90+2'Jordan Shipley INK. Otchere out
90+3'Jorge GrantAssist: Kallum Cesay
90+5'Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu INMatt·Butcher out
90+5'Macaulay Langstaff INDaniel Udoh out
90+7'Luke GarbuttNot retreating

Lineups

Cheltenham
4-1-4-1Coach: S. Cotterill
Salford City
3-5-2Coach: P. Cklamovski
Avg rating6.16
Avg rating6.82
W. Stanway5.723W. Stanway
J. Wilson6.26J. Wilson
R. Cundy6.95R. Cundy
P. Sweeney6.525P. Sweeney
J. Tomkinson5.83J. Tomkinson
B. Stevenson5.67B. Stevenson
J. Evans6.319J. Evans
F. Willcox6.633F. Willcox
J. Shipley5.326J. Shipley
R. Broom6.814R. Broom
A. Weimann5.718A. Weimann
W. Norris6.21W. Norris
W. Aimson6.94W. Aimson
D. Scarr6.917D. Scarr
T. Allen7.224T. Allen
L. Molyneux6.143L. Molyneux
E. Bonds6.616E. Bonds
J. Grant9.08J. Grant
B. Sarpong-Wiredu6.744B. Sarpong-Wiredu
A. Odoh6.614A. Odoh
R. Graydon6.519R. Graydon
M. Langstaff6.39M. Langstaff

Cheltenham Substitutes

10G. Miller85'for Ryan Broom6.3
31M. Diallo
1J. Day
11J. Bickerstaff
21G. Nurse87'for Jake Evans6.5
9K. Otchere90+2'for Jordan Shipley

Salford City Substitutes

2N. Asiimwe87'for Luke Molyneux7.0
26L. Burge
18M. Butcher90+5'for Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu
21K. Cesay45'for Ryan Graydon6.8
29L. Garbutt76'for Abraham Odoh90+7'6.7
22A. Oluwo
23D. Udoh90+5'for Macaulay Langstaff

Match Stats

CheltenhamSalford City
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots12
0Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal6
2Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls11
4Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
415Total Passes421
305Passes Accurate310
9Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

CheltenhamCheltenham
Salford CitySalford City
1501Elo Rating 1625
1.71Attack 2.40
1.15Defense 1.90
50%Hit Rate 86%
8.9Shots per Game 15.4
3.0Shots on Target 5.8
4.3Corners per Game 4.2
2.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CheltenhamCheltenham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Salford CitySalford City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

CheltenhamCheltenham3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
Salford CitySalford City2Wins · 28%
2.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

League Two21/02/2026
CheltenhamSalford City
32
League Two29/08/2025
Salford CityCheltenham
11
League Two25/01/2025
CheltenhamSalford City
21
FA Cup30/11/2024
Salford CityCheltenham
20
League Two14/09/2024
Salford CityCheltenham
21
League Two20/03/2021
CheltenhamSalford City
20
League Two12/12/2020
Salford CityCheltenham
00

Recent Form

CheltenhamCheltenham
5W3D2L
03/10/2026
Accrington STCheltenham
20
L
26/09/2026
CheltenhamChesterfield
21
W
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
W
19/09/2026
ColchesterCheltenham
11
D
12/09/2026
Crawley TownCheltenham
13
W
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
CheltenhamYork
32
W
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D
22/08/2026
Swindon TownCheltenham
21
L
15/08/2026
CheltenhamRotherham
21
W
Salford CitySalford City
5W1D4L
06/10/2026
Accrington STSalford City
5141
L
03/10/2026
Salford CityFleetwood Town
10
W
26/09/2026
OldhamSalford City
14
W
22/09/2026
Salford CitySheffield Wednesday
12
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
W
12/09/2026
RotherhamSalford City
33
D
05/09/2026
Salford CityPort Vale
10
W
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
W
29/08/2026
ShrewsburySalford City
10
L
22/08/2026
Salford CityChesterfield
01
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Cheltenham vs Salford City forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cheltenham and Salford City in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Salford City are 1st and Cheltenham 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Cheltenham 23-25, Salford City 25-15. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cheltenham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Salford City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.