Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor Prediction

Bunyodkor
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Pakhtakor
Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Bunyodkor Rest
5 days
Pakhtakor Rest
5 days

Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor: the result in context

Pakhtakor beat Bunyodkor 1-0 in the Super League on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.63
X
25%3.72
2
51%1.60
Double Chance
1X
49%2.13
X2
76%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.68
No
56%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.70
Over 3.5
19%2.64
Under 1.5
37%3.82
Under 2.5
61%2.04
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

49'D. Khamdamov
57'I. Anvarov INM. Khakimov out
71'K. Alizhonov INK. Erkinov out
71'D. Khamdamov INO. Bozorov out
71'R. Turdimurodov IND. Saitov out
71'D. Pletnev INS. Nematjonov out
71'M. Olimzhonov INA. Bobomurodov out
81'S. Sobirkhuzhaev INA. Buriev out
85'S. Rakhmanov INS. Abdunabiev out
87'N. Normurodov
89'S. Nasrullaev
90+1'S. Chinedu INR. Turdimurodov out

Lineups

Bunyodkor
3-4-2-1Coach: Ilyas Zeytullaev
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1Coach: Kamoliddin Tadzhiev
A. Abdujalilov1A. Abdujalilov
S. Rakhmanov3S. Rakhmanov
B. Toshmirzaev77B. Toshmirzaev
A. Tulkunbekov66A. Tulkunbekov
D. Pletnev8D. Pletnev
A. Turakulov10A. Turakulov
M. Olimjonov17M. Olimjonov
S. Kuvvatov35S. Kuvvatov
K. Alijonov7K. Alijonov
M. Abdumajidov55M. Abdumajidov
Zayed Tahseen4Z. Tahseen
S. Nasrullayev34S. Nasrullayev
A. Mozgovoy10A. Mozgovoy
D. Khamdamov17D. Khamdamov
Flamarion50Flamarion
B. Resan21B. Resan
S. Chinedu90S. Chinedu

Bunyodkor Substitutes

11S. Abdunabiyev85'for S. Rakhmanov
16F. Botti
14S. Nematjonov71'for D. Pletnev

Pakhtakor Substitutes

9I. Ibragimov
5M. Khamraliev
12V. Nazarov
8D. Saitov71'replaced by R. Turdimurodov
14R. Turdimurodov71'for D. Saitov90+1'for S. Chinedu
11H. Erkinov71'for K. Alizhonov
23Abdurauf Bo'riyev81'replaced by S. Sobirkhuzhaev
77O. Bozorov71'for D. Khamdamov
20D. Abdullayev

Team Comparison

BunyodkorBunyodkor
PakhtakorPakhtakor
1416Elo Rating 1680
1.29Attack 1.47
1.61Defense 1.46
44%Hit Rate 31%
-Shots per Game 19.0
-Shots on Target 4.0
-Corners per Game 5.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

BunyodkorBunyodkor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BunyodkorBunyodkor4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
PakhtakorPakhtakor5Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League03/11/2025
PakhtakorBunyodkor
42
Super League14/06/2025
BunyodkorPakhtakor
11
Super League30/11/2024
BunyodkorPakhtakor
20
Cup15/08/2024
BunyodkorPakhtakor
01
Super League27/06/2024
PakhtakorBunyodkor
10
Super League01/12/2023
PakhtakorBunyodkor
23
Super League25/06/2023
BunyodkorPakhtakor
12
Super League12/11/2022
BunyodkorPakhtakor
02
Super League29/06/2022
PakhtakorBunyodkor
23
Super League27/11/2021
BunyodkorPakhtakor
32

Recent Form

BunyodkorBunyodkor
5W0D5L
21/07/2026
BuxoroBunyodkor
10
L
16/07/2026
BunyodkorNasaf
13
L
03/05/2026
Kokand-1912Bunyodkor
10
L
29/04/2026
BunyodkorNavbahor
21
W
24/04/2026
BunyodkorAndijan
13
L
19/04/2026
SogdianaBunyodkor
23
W
14/04/2026
BunyodkorNeftchi
01
L
07/04/2026
Mash'alBunyodkor
01
W
02/04/2026
BunyodkorLokomotiv
20
W
18/03/2026
XorazmBunyodkor
12
W
PakhtakorPakhtakor
7W3D0L
21/07/2026
PakhtakorXorazm
21
W
17/07/2026
PakhtakorLokomotiv
11
D
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
PakhtakorNasaf
22
D
22/04/2026
BuxoroPakhtakor
01
W
18/04/2026
PakhtakorDinamo Samarqand
42
W
13/04/2026
PakhtakorMash'al
21
W
09/04/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
01
W
04/04/2026
PakhtakorOlmaliq
31
W
20/03/2026
SogdianaPakhtakor
24
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bunyodkor and Pakhtakor in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Pakhtakor are 2nd in the Super League, while Bunyodkor sit 13th, 27 points behind. League goal record so far: Bunyodkor 26-41, Pakhtakor 44-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pakhtakor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.