Bury vs Harrogate Town Prediction
England · Qualifying Round 4
Gigg Lane, Bury 17/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-16.0%
Bury Rest
6 days
Harrogate Town Rest
6 days
Bury vs Harrogate Town: the result in context
Bury and Harrogate Town drew 1-1 in the FA Cup on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%3.43
X23%3.70
242%1.83
Double Chance
1X58%1.77
X265%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goals
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
40'
41'
Match Stats
BuryHarrogate Town 
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Offsides0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
BuryHarrogate Town1649Elo Rating 1598
1.73Attack 2.28
1.65Defense 2.31
44%Hit Rate 81%
7.4Shots per Game 17.4
5.0Shots on Target 5.2
6.1Corners per Game 6.5
1.4Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Bury- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Harrogate Town- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Bury7W0D3L
10/10/2026
Alfreton TownBury
06/10/2026Alfreton TownBury23
W
Stockton TownBury10
L03/10/2026Bury
Bromsgrove Sporting21
W26/09/2026Bury
Gainsborough Trinity
BuryGainsborough Trinity4433
W19/09/2026Bury
Workington
BuryWorkington51
W12/09/2026Bury
AFC Emley
BuryAFC Emley40
W05/09/2026Bury
Wythenshawe Amateurs
BuryWythenshawe Amateurs80
W31/08/2026
Hyde UnitedBury
Hyde UnitedBury21
L29/08/2026Bury
Ilkeston Town
BuryIlkeston Town70
W25/08/2026Bury
Lancaster City
BuryLancaster City01
LHarrogate Town7W0D3L
10/10/2026
WokingHarrogate TownHarrogate Town
AFC Hornchurch
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
Boreham WoodHarrogate Town
WokingHarrogate Town01
W03/10/2026Harrogate TownAFC Hornchurch30
W29/09/2026HartlepoolHarrogate Town01
W26/09/2026Harrogate Town
Eastleigh
19/09/2026Harrogate TownEastleigh41
WBoreham WoodHarrogate Town41
L15/09/2026Harrogate Town
AFC Fylde
Harrogate TownAFC Fylde12
L12/09/2026Harrogate Town
Tamworth
Harrogate TownTamworth31
W05/09/2026
ScunthorpeHarrogate Town
ScunthorpeHarrogate Town02
W31/08/2026Harrogate Town
Gateshead
Harrogate TownGateshead21
W28/08/2026
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town31
LBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Qualifying Round 4
Quorn2
Shepshed Dynamo1
Aveley4
Cheshunt2
Flackwell Heath0
Hanwell Town1
Three Bridges0
Kingstonian1
Curzon Ashton1
Bradford (Park Avenue)2
Bamber Bridge1
Trafford3
Hendon7
Hullbridge Sports3
Leatherhead3
Croydon Athletic0Alfreton Town0
Stratford Town2
Dulwich Hamlet4
East Grinstead Town0
Broadfields United1
Chichester City4
Halesowen Town3
Basford United1
Rylands3Hyde United1
Wells City0
Hungerford Town4
Cambridge City6
Maldon & Tiptree1
SE Dons2
Erith Town0
Witham Town3
Stotfold2
AFC Portchester2
Portland United1
Stamford0
Mickleover Sports1
Sileby Rangers0
Anstey Nomads4
Peterborough Sports4
Ipswich Wanderers0
Baffins Milton Rovers1
Slimbridge4
Hayes & Yeading United2
Camberley Town1
London Lions2
Bury Town4
Whitby Town2
Ashton United5Workington3
Marske United0
Harleston Town3
Romford1
Avro0
Witton Albion2
Gosport Borough1
Plymouth Parkway3
Egham Town0
Chatham Town4
Lye Town1
Racing Club Warwick5
Falmouth Town2
Frome Town4
Margate1
Snodland3
Northwich Victoria2
Atherton Collieries3
Brantham Athletic0
Waltham Abbey7
Whitehawk2
Eastbourne Borough4
Real Bedford4
Royston Town1
Hanworth Villa4
Whitstable Town1
Redcar Athletic1
Stocksbridge Park Steels0
Sporting Khalsa0
Leek Town5
Cleethorpes Town1
Newcastle Town2
Garforth Town1
United of Manchester5
Alvechurch2
Wolverhampton City0
Thame United3
Reading City2
Stafford Rangers3
Northampton ON Chenecks0
Holmesdale1
Windsor5
Belper Town0
Evesham United3
Mulbarton Wanderers3
Cornard United0
Uxbridge3
Haywards Heath Town0
Bishop's Stortford2
Berkhamsted3
Hanley Town2
Abbey Hulton1
St. Blazey1
Tiverton Town2
Redhill1
Sheppey United2
Leamington3Ilkeston Town1
Taunton Town4
Millbrook0
Lower Breck5
Thornaby1
Brixham2
Dorchester Town3
Sittingbourne3
Greenwich Borough4
Coventry United2
Bedworth United1
Heaton Stannington1
Knaresborough Town0
Ramsgate1
Bracknell Town0
AFC Dunstable1
Woodford Town3
Bath City0
Weymouth2
Bishop's Cleeve2
Poole Town1
Yate Town3
Devizes Town0Bromsgrove Sporting2
Nuneaton Town0Bury8Wythenshawe Amateurs0
Vauxhall Motors0
Dunston UTS2
Frenford0
Enfield Town4
Sherwood Colliery2Gainsborough Trinity4
Sholing2
Andover New Street0
Leighton Town1
Gorleston4
Desborough Town0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds3
Fleetlands0
Cirencester Town3
Redcar Town1
Blyth Spartans0
Prescot Cables2
Horbury Town0
Tadley Calleva3
Laverstock & Ford1
Stourbridge1
Rushall Olympic3
Southall2
Cobham1Harrogate Town
Wealdstone
WorthingAFC FyldeAFC Hornchurch
Yeovil Town
Sutton Utd
Southend
Kidderminster Harriers
Solihull MoorsBoreham WoodWoking
BarrowAldershot TownGatesheadHartlepool
FC Halifax TownEastleigh
Forest Green
CarlisleTamworth
Boston UnitedScunthorpe
Altrincham
Darlington 1883
Braintree
Torquay
Chorley
Macclesfield
Bedford Town
King's Lynn Town
Brackley Town
Buxton
Merthyr Town
Truro City
Walton & Hersham
Horsham
Maidstone Utd
Weston-super-Mare
Spennymoor Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
AFC Totton
Chesham United
Dover
Folkestone Invicta
Salisbury
Scarborough Athletic
AFC Telford United
Worksop Town
Farnborough
Hebburn Town
Slough Town
Chelmsford City
Hereford
Hednesford Town
Billericay Town
Morecambe
Southport
Oxford City
Harborough Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Maidenhead
Ebbsfleet United
South Shields
Chester
Farnham Town
Tonbridge Angels
Spalding United
Hampton & Richmond
Marine
Radcliffe
Dorking Wanderers
Worcester City2Stratford Town1Redcar Town2Darlington 18834Alvechurch3Racing Club Warwick1Torquay6
AFC Stoneham1
Redditch United3Evesham United0Rylands0Chorley1Redcar Athletic1Macclesfield2Bedford Town2King's Lynn Town1Brackley Town1AFC Portchester0Bury5Workington1Buxton1Ashton United0United of Manchester4
Ossett United1Walton & Hersham0Horsham3
Kettering Town2Quorn0AFC Emley0Spennymoor Town4Gorleston3Bury Town4Chichester City2SE Dons3AFC Totton0
Gloucester City2Cambridge City3
Buckhurst Hill1Chesham United7
Ware2Atherton Collieries2Prescot Cables0Frome Town0Plymouth Parkway2Dover4Folkestone Invicta2Salisbury4Taunton Town1AFC Rushden & Diamonds3Peterborough Sports1Dunston UTS0Scarborough Athletic2
Barton Town Old Boys3
Boldmere St. Michaels1
Pagham0Hanworth Villa6Tiverton Town0Sholing1Berkhamsted4Hendon1Hebburn Town1
Guiseley AFC4Slough Town0Chatham Town1
Canvey Island0Chelmsford City1Bradford (Park Avenue)1Lancaster City0
Chertsey Town3Greenwich Borough2Stafford Rangers3Hereford2Hanwell Town2
Burgess Hill Town1Aveley2
Brentwood Town3Hednesford Town0Coventry United1
Warrington Town3
South Liverpool0Billericay Town1Enfield Town3Dulwich Hamlet4
Welling United1Bishop's Cleeve0Tadley Calleva1Halesowen Town2Mickleover Sports0Morecambe2Southport0
Swindon Supermarine1Weymouth3Heaton Stannington1Trafford2Witham Town0
St Albans City3Dorchester Town0Oxford City2Harborough Town1Rushall Olympic0Maidenhead1Ebbsfleet United3Slimbridge1Hungerford Town3South Shields7Witton Albion0Kingstonian0Leatherhead1Snodland0Sheppey United1Eastbourne Borough3Windsor0
Hitchin Town1
Leiston2Lower Breck1Chester2Harleston Town1Real Bedford2Tonbridge Angels2Ramsgate1Spalding United2Hanley Town0Anstey Nomads2Newcastle Town1Woodford Town1Mulbarton Wanderers2Bromsgrove Sporting2Leek Town1
Dartford4Hayes & Yeading United2Marine3Radcliffe2Harrogate TownWealdstoneWorthingAFC FyldeAFC HornchurchYeovil TownSutton UtdSouthendKidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsBoreham WoodWokingBarrowAldershot TownGatesheadHartlepoolFC Halifax TownEastleighForest GreenCarlisleTamworthBoston UnitedScunthorpeAltrinchamLeatherhead1Hanworth Villa0
Crowborough Athletic1
Wimborne Town2Brackley Town0Chelmsford City2Truro City4Cirencester Town0
Tadley Calleva2Dartford1Buxton0South Shields2Chesham United4Real Bedford3Hanwell Town1Dover2Spennymoor Town4Chester1Sheppey United0Chertsey Town2Tonbridge Angels0Torquay1Plymouth Parkway2Horsham1Redditch United0Berkhamsted2Harrogate TownWealdstoneWorthingAFC FyldeAFC HornchurchYeovil TownSutton UtdSouthendKidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsBoreham WoodWokingBarrowAldershot TownGatesheadHartlepoolFC Halifax TownEastleighForest GreenCarlisleTamworthBoston UnitedScunthorpeAltrinchamWealdstone3Worthing0AFC Fylde5Atherton Collieries0Harborough Town3Spennymoor Town1FC Halifax Town3South Shields2Eastleigh3Brentwood Town2Boston United1Scunthorpe3Wealdstone3Worthing0AFC Fylde5Atherton Collieries0Harborough Town3Spennymoor Town1FC Halifax Town3South Shields2Eastleigh3Brentwood Town2Boston United1Scunthorpe3Explore more predictions
This match
More FA Cup matches
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Anstey Nomads 03/10/26
- Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town 03/10/26
- Worksop Town vs United of Manchester 03/10/26
- Thame United vs Eastbourne Borough 03/10/26
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe 17/10/26
- Altrincham vs United of Manchester 17/10/26
- Barrow vs Gloucester City 17/10/26
- Boreham Wood vs Woking 17/10/26
About the Bury vs Harrogate Town forecast
This is a FA Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About FA Cup
More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Harrogate Town have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Bury and Harrogate Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.