Castellón vs Almeria Prediction

Castellón
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Almeria
Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon·Luis Bestard Servera, Spain 06/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel36%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Castellón Rest
6 days
Almeria Rest
6 days

Castellón vs Almeria: the result in context

Castellón and Almeria drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 6 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.82
X
26%3.85
2
28%4.00
Double Chance
1X
72%1.22
X2
54%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.55
No
37%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.29 = 3.00
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
38%2.40
Under 1.5
19%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.34
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.8 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
47%1.89
Over 10.5
35%2.40
Under 8.5
42%2.37
Under 9.5
53%1.80
Under 10.5
65%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.4 = 5.8
Over 3.5
87%-
Over 4.5
70%1.34
Under 3.5
13%-
Under 4.5
30%2.92

Match Events

5'J. MorcilloRoughing
24'S. ArribasElbowing
32'M. de la FuenteFoul
37'BarriTripping
41'A. JakobsenUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'F. Brignani
60'Ronaldo INM. Doue out
62'M. de la Fuente INThalys out
62'J. Morcillo INN. Melamed out
66'S. ArribasAssist: A. Embarba
72'P. Santiago INR. Sanchez out
72'A. Jakobsen INI. Suero out
75'A. Embarba INA. Puigmal out
75'D. Chirino INChumi out
83'S. Arribas INLeo Baptistao out
88'L. Alcazar IND. Aurelio out
88'O. Camara INTincho out
90+2'A. MunozTripping

Lineups

Castellón
4-4-2Coach: Pablo Hernandez
Almeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Joan Rubi
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.78
Romain Matthys6.313R. Matthys
Beñat Gerenabarrena6.915B. Gerenabarrena
Fabrizio Brignani7.23F. Brignani
Alberto JiménezC7.25A. Jiménez
Lucas Alcazar7.212L. Alcazar
Pablo Santiago6.518P. Santiago
Ronaldo6.725Ronaldo
Diego Barri6.38D. Barri
Adam Jakobsen6.319A. Jakobsen
Álex Calatrava8.321Á. Calatrava
Ousmane Camara6.59O. Camara
Andrés Fernández7.01A. Fernández
Daijiro Chirino6.322D. Chirino
Rodrigo Ely7.05R. Ely
Federico Bonini7.218F. Bonini
Álex Muñoz6.93Á. Muñoz
Stefan Džodić7.229S. Džodić
Dion Lopy7.317D. Lopy
Adrián EmbarbaC7.523A. Embarba
Sergio Arribas7.311S. Arribas
Jon Morcillo6.37J. Morcillo
Miguel de la Fuente6.224M. de la Fuente

Castellón Substitutes

6Marc-Olivier Doué60'for Ronaldo6.5
10Israel Suero72'for A. Jakobsen6.6
14Raúl Sánchez72'for P. Santiago6.3
1Amir Abedzadeh
2Tincho Conde88'for O. Camara
17Salva Ruiz
4Agustín Sienra
55Michał Willmann
29Tommaso De Nipoti
37Carlos Segura Clausell
11Douglas Aurélio88'for L. Alcazar
23Alvaro Garcia

Almeria Substitutes

10Nicolás Melamed62'for J. Morcillo6.6
9Thalys62'for M. de la Fuente6.2
13Fernando Martínez
20Álex Centelles
21Chumi75'for D. Chirino6.5
4Nélson Monte
16Marcos Luna
14Iddrisu Baba
8Gui
2Arnau Puigmal75'for A. Embarba6.5
12Léo Baptistão83'for S. Arribas6.5
19Patrick Soko

Match Stats

CastellónAlmeria
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box3
2Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots0
15Fouls18
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
427Total Passes291
345Passes Accurate205
81%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

CastellónCastellón
AlmeriaAlmeria
1726Elo Rating 1727
2.04Attack 2.51
2.58Defense 1.84
58%Hit Rate 73%
13.7Shots per Game 12.8
4.8Shots on Target 5.0
4.5Corners per Game 4.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CastellónCastellón
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
AlmeriaAlmeria
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

CastellónCastellón3Wins · 50%
Draws00%
AlmeriaAlmeria3Wins · 50%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División02/04/2026
CastellónAlmeria
20
Segunda División26/10/2025
AlmeriaCastellón
10
Segunda División18/04/2025
CastellónAlmeria
41
Segunda División16/09/2024
AlmeriaCastellón
25
Segunda División30/01/2021
AlmeriaCastellón
31
Segunda División28/10/2020
CastellónAlmeria
12

Recent Form

CastellónCastellón
6W3D1L
31/05/2026
CastellónEibar
21
W
24/05/2026
HuescaCastellón
01
W
15/05/2026
CastellónCadiz
11
D
09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
11
D
02/05/2026
CastellónCordoba
12
L
25/04/2026
MalagaCastellón
23
W
18/04/2026
CastellónBurgos
31
W
12/04/2026
MirandesCastellón
22
D
06/04/2026
CastellónGranada CF
32
W
02/04/2026
CastellónAlmeria
20
W
AlmeriaAlmeria
5W1D4L
31/05/2026
AlmeriaValladolid
10
W
24/05/2026
Sporting GijonAlmeria
31
L
16/05/2026
AlmeriaLas Palmas
12
L
09/05/2026
BurgosAlmeria
00
D
04/05/2026
AlmeriaMirandes
42
W
26/04/2026
Granada CFAlmeria
24
W
19/04/2026
AlmeriaMalaga
32
W
12/04/2026
Racing SantanderAlmeria
51
L
05/04/2026
AlmeriaLeganes
21
W
02/04/2026
CastellónAlmeria
20
L

Referee Profile

Luis Bestard Servera27 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.19Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Bestard Servera5.38
Other referees5.45

5.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.45).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final

League Table

Segunda División 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander422571090:61+2982WDWWW
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna422211965:44+2177LWWWW
3AlmeriaAlmeria422281281:63+1874WLLDW
4MalagaMalaga4221101175:52+2373WDWWW
5Las PalmasLas Palmas422013957:40+1773WDWLW
6CastellónCastellón4220121070:51+1972WWDDL
7BurgosBurgos4220121048:33+1572WWWDD
8EibarEibar4219101352:40+1267LWLWL
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon421871760:54+661WWWLL
10CordobaCordoba4217101557:61-461DLLWW
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4217101551:63-1261WWLDW
12AlbaceteAlbacete4216111556:55+159LWWWW
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4216101662:54+858LLLWL
14Granada CFGranada CF4212121850:56-648LLLLW
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4212111952:61-947DLDWD
16LeganesLeganes4211131843:51-846WLDLL
17ValladolidValladolid4212102044:57-1346LLLWL
18CadizCadiz4211102141:61-2043LWDLD
19MirandesMirandes4210102247:69-2240LWDLL
20HuescaHuesca429112241:63-2238DLDLL
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa429102339:68-2937DLWLD
22ZaragozaZaragoza428122235:59-2436LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander4290:6182
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna4265:4477
3AlmeriaAlmeria4281:6374
4MalagaMalaga4275:5273
5Las PalmasLas Palmas4257:4073
6CastellónCastellón4270:5172
7BurgosBurgos4248:3372
8EibarEibar4252:4067
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon4260:5461
10CordobaCordoba4257:6161
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4251:6361
12AlbaceteAlbacete4256:5559
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4262:5458
14Granada CFGranada CF4250:5648
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4252:6147
16LeganesLeganes4243:5146
17ValladolidValladolid4244:5746
18CadizCadiz4241:6143
19MirandesMirandes4247:6940
20HuescaHuesca4241:6338
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa4239:6837
22ZaragozaZaragoza4235:5936
PromotionRelegation

About the Castellón vs Almeria forecast

As a knockout tie in the Segunda División, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Castellón and Almeria in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Almeria are 3rd and Castellón 6th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Castellón 70-51, Almeria 81-63. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Castellón have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Almeria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.