CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

Saputo Stadium, Montréal·Lorenzo Hernandez, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseHighGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseHighGap+13.6%
CF Montreal Rest
3 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
2 days

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy: the result in context

CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.00
X
28%3.70
2
29%3.40
Double Chance
1X
71%1.29
X2
57%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.50
No
37%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.17 = 2.74
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.59
Over 3.5
35%2.46
Under 1.5
23%4.78
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
65%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
56%1.36
Over 9.5
44%1.65
Over 10.5
32%2.02
Under 8.5
44%2.80
Under 9.5
56%2.12
Under 10.5
68%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.40
Over 4.5
43%1.89
Under 3.5
34%2.68
Under 4.5
57%1.85

Match Events

16'D. Rios
19'R. Ramos
46'B. Vera INB. Craig out
48'M. YoshidaAssist: J. Paintsil
61'D. Bugaj INB. Ceballos out
62'N. Streit INF. Herbers out
62'D. Pereira INA. Sanchez out
62'J. Paintsil INH. Lozano out
62'R. Ramos INE. Thommy out
67'B. Craig
68'J. Marcinkowski
72'J. Nelson INN. Micovic out
72'I. Parente INJ. Aude out
79'P. OwusuAssist: L. Petrasso
81'J. Neal INO. Escobar out
82'R. Taylor INC. Garces out
90+1'B. Ceballos

Lineups

CF Montreal
4-3-3Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-3-3Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.80
T. Gillier6.231T. Gillier
D. Bugaj6.327D. Bugaj
J. Neal6.92J. Neal
B. Vera6.74B. Vera
L. Petrasso6.513L. Petrasso
M. Longstaff7.38M. Longstaff
D. Pereira7.27D. Pereira
V. Loturi6.922V. Loturi
N. Streit23N. Streit
P. OwusuC8.29P. Owusu
D. Rios6.914D. Rios
J. Marcinkowski7.212J. Marcinkowski
H. Miller6.726H. Miller
J. Glesnes6.95J. Glesnes
M. YoshidaC7.94M. Yoshida
J. Nelson6.214J. Nelson
R. Ramos7.024R. Ramos
I. Parente6.916I. Parente
J. Haak6.615J. Haak
J. Paintsil6.728J. Paintsil
K. Furuhashi6.57K. Furuhashi
R. Taylor7.021R. Taylor

CF Montreal Substitutes

1S. Breza
3B. Ceballos61'for D. Bugaj90+1'7.0
5B. Craig46'for B. Vera67'6.5
26I. Losenko
29O. Escobar81'for J. Neal6.7
6S. Piette
10A. Sanchez62'for D. Pereira6.6
21F. Herbers62'for N. Streit6.6
35O. Graham-Roache

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

1N. Micovic72'for J. Nelson6.9
3J. Aude72'for I. Parente6.3
25C. Garces82'for R. Taylor7.2
20C. Rindov
27E. Thommy62'for R. Ramos6.5
88M. Vanney
90B. Phan
76T. Elgersma
11H. Lozano62'for J. Paintsil6.3

Match Stats

CF MontrealLos Angeles Galaxy
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots2
9Fouls8
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
546Total Passes417
476Passes Accurate341
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

CF MontrealCF Montreal
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1473Elo Rating 1595
0.56Attack 2.31
1.26Defense 0.68
0%Hit Rate 54%
10.6Shots per Game 13.7
4.3Shots on Target 6.8
5.2Corners per Game 4.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CF MontrealCF Montreal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CF MontrealCF Montreal0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy1Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer05/07/2022
Los Angeles GalaxyCF Montreal
40

Recent Form

CF MontrealCF Montreal
3W4D3L
20/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
12
W
16/08/2026
CF MontrealDC United
11
D
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
L
23/07/2026
Nashville SCCF Montreal
10
L
17/07/2026
CF MontrealToronto FC
00
D
13/07/2026
CF MontrealVancouver FC
21
W
09/07/2026
Vancouver FCCF Montreal
12
W
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D
16/05/2026
CF MontrealChicago Fire
02
L
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
3W3D4L
20/08/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
10
W
16/08/2026
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
10
L
02/08/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas
00
D
26/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
11
D
23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
13
L
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
L
12/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyClub America
10
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
W
14/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
31
L

Referee Profile

Lorenzo Hernandez95 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lorenzo Hernandez4.62
Other referees4.31

4.62 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
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About the CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.