San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

PayPal Park, Stanford·A. Villarreal 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
3 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
3 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy: result, form and history

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Los Angeles Galaxy have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.85
X
25%4.00
2
20%3.60
Double Chance
1X
80%1.27
X2
45%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.40
No
33%2.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.13 = 2.77
Over 1.5
80%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.42
Over 3.5
37%2.06
Under 1.5
20%6.00
Under 2.5
40%2.80
Under 3.5
63%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.36
Over 9.5
44%1.59
Over 10.5
31%1.97
Under 8.5
42%2.85
Under 9.5
56%2.15
Under 10.5
69%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.38
Over 4.5
54%1.89
Under 3.5
29%2.75
Under 4.5
46%1.84

Match Events

13'J. PaintsilAssist: M. Reus
20'J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza INI. Harkes out
43'L. Sanabria
45+3'J. Aude
60'R. Taylor INE. Wynder out
60'J. Aude INJ. Nelson out
62'R. Roberts
73'N. Fernandez INP. Marie out
73'J. Skahan IND. Johnson out
80'B. Leroux
81'I. Harkes
82'L. Sanabria INI. Parente out
90'J. Ricketts
90+5'T. Werner(Penalty missed)
90+7'J. Paintsil
90+7'B. Kikanovic

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruce Arena
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-4-2Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.89
Angus Gunn7.31A. Gunn
Benjamin Kikanović6.328B. Kikanović
Daniel Munie6.35D. Munie
Reid Roberts8.218R. Roberts
Jamar Ricketts6.92J. Ricketts
Jonathan Gonzalez6.740J. Gonzalez
Beau Leroux7.334B. Leroux
Jack Skahan6.016J. Skahan
Nick Fernandez6.920N. Fernandez
Timo WernerC7.011T. Werner
Ousseni Bouda7.37O. Bouda
JT Marcinkowski7.912J. Marcinkowski
Miki Yamane6.22M. Yamane
Maya YoshidaC6.24M. Yoshida
Justin Haak7.315J. Haak
Julián Aude6.33J. Aude
Harbor Miller6.726H. Miller
Edwin Cerrillo7.56E. Cerrillo
Lucas Sanabria7.08L. Sanabria
Robert Taylor6.921R. Taylor
Joseph Paintsil8.328J. Paintsil
Marco Reus7.318M. Reus

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

6Ian Harkes20'for J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza81'7.0
79Darius Johnson73'for J. Skahan6.6
3Paul Marie73'for N. Fernandez6.9
31Francesco Montali
4Dave Romney
25Max Floriani
17Jack Jasinski
21Noel Buck
87Vitor Costa

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

14John Nelson60'for J. Aude6.2
22Elijah Wynder60'for R. Taylor6.3
16Isaiah Parente82'for L. Sanabria6.3
1Novak Mićović
20Chris Rindov
60Sebastian Hernandez
76Troy Elgersma

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots4
14Fouls16
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
453Total Passes336
376Passes Accurate252
83%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1616Elo Rating 1595
1.47Attack 2.31
1.86Defense 0.68
17%Hit Rate 54%
14.3Shots per Game 13.7
4.2Shots on Target 6.8
5.7Corners per Game 4.3
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy6Wins · 60%
3.9Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer29/06/2025
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
11
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
01
Major League Soccer30/06/2024
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
03
Major League Soccer22/04/2024
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
43
Major League Soccer03/03/2024
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
13
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
23
Major League Soccer02/07/2023
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
22
Major League Soccer15/05/2023
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer25/09/2022
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
23
Major League Soccer14/07/2022
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
23

Recent Form

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
3W2D5L
23/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
04
L
04/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
12
L
24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
13
W
21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
20
L
17/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
23
L
14/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
32
L
10/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
02/05/2026
Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes
11
D
29/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC
42
W
26/04/2026
St. Louis CitySan Jose Earthquakes
23
W
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
4W2D4L
23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
13
L
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
L
12/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyClub America
10
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
W
14/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
31
L
10/05/2026
Atlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
12
W
03/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
27/04/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyReal Salt Lake
21
W
23/04/2026
Columbus CrewLos Angeles Galaxy
21
L

Referee Profile

A. Villarreal123 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Villarreal4.50
Other referees4.24

4.50 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th and Los Angeles Galaxy 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: San Jose Earthquakes 52-45, Los Angeles Galaxy 45-54. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.