San Diego vs FC Dallas Prediction

San Diego
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego·V. Rivas 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.97
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
San Diego Rest
3 days
FC Dallas Rest
2 days

San Diego vs FC Dallas: result, form and history

San Diego beat FC Dallas 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: FC Dallas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for San Diego.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 5.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.25
X
30%3.88
2
24%2.75
Double Chance
1X
76%1.42
X2
54%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%1.36
No
25%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.3 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
38%2.02
Under 1.5
19%6.10
Under 2.5
40%2.88
Under 3.5
62%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.50
Over 9.5
55%1.82
Over 10.5
39%2.28
Under 8.5
36%2.35
Under 9.5
45%1.89
Under 10.5
61%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.38
Over 4.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
29%2.76
Under 4.5
46%1.85

Match Events

19'Daniel INJ. Sirois out
46'J. Valiente INB. Kamungo out
50'A. Alvarado JrAssist: M. Duah
61'P. Delgado INS. Moreno out
61'R. Binyamin INA. A. Julio Santos out
73'A. Alvarado Jr INA. Godoy out
73'M. Ingvartsen IND. Vazquez out
79'S. Ibeagha INL. Farrington out
81'B. Kamungo
86'K. Sargeant INL. Bombino out
87'O. Valakari INL. Morgan out
88'A. A. Julio Santos

Lineups

San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
FC Dallas
4-2-3-1Coach: Eric Quill
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.70
CJ Dos Santos7.01C. Dos Santos
Oscar Verhoeven6.933O. Verhoeven
Christopher McVey7.297C. McVey
Manu Duah7.626M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant7.95K. Sargeant
Alejandro Alvarado Jr8.770A. Alvarado Jr
Jeppe TverskovC8.26J. Tverskov
Onni Valakari6.98O. Valakari
Anders Dreyer7.510A. Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen6.77M. Ingvartsen
Alex Mighten6.077A. Mighten
Daniel7.642Daniel
Shaq MooreC6.618S. Moore
Osaze Urhoghide7.23O. Urhoghide
Sebastien Ibeagha7.325S. Ibeagha
Nolan Norris6.232N. Norris
Kaick6.555Kaick
Christian Cappis6.312C. Cappis
Joaquín Valiente6.221J. Valiente
Patrickson Delgado6.38P. Delgado
Ran Binyamin6.96R. Binyamin
Petar Musa6.99P. Musa

San Diego Substitutes

20Aníbal Godoy73'for A. Alvarado Jr6.9
19David Vazquez73'for M. Ingvartsen7.0
27Luca Bombino86'replaced by K. Sargeant6.9
9Lewis Morgan87'for O. Valakari6.7
18Duran Ferree
32Ian Murphy
15Pedro Soma
3Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
14Bryan Zamblé

FC Dallas Substitutes

40Jonathan Sirois19'for Daniel7.0
77Bernard Kamungo46'for J. Valiente81'6.7
10Santiago Moreno61'for P. Delgado6.7
11Anderson Julio61'for R. Binyamin88'6.2
23Logan Farrington79'for S. Ibeagha6.6
5Lalas Abubakar
14Herman Johansson
27Caleb Swann
28Sam Sarver

Match Stats

San DiegoFC Dallas
74%Ball Possession26%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots3
10Fouls10
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
853Total Passes283
774Passes Accurate212
91%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

San DiegoSan Diego
FC DallasFC Dallas
1554Elo Rating 1680
1.76Attack 1.52
0.01Defense 1.65
0%Hit Rate 39%
16.1Shots per Game 15.0
5.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.2Corners per Game 6.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

San DiegoSan Diego2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
FC DallasFC Dallas0Wins · 0%
5.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
FC DallasSan Diego
33
Major League Soccer29/06/2025
FC DallasSan Diego
23
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
San DiegoFC Dallas
50

Recent Form

San DiegoSan Diego
1W3D6L
23/07/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Diego
10
L
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
L
17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
33
D
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
W
10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
D
03/05/2026
San DiegoLos Angeles FC
22
D
26/04/2026
San DiegoPortland Timbers
12
L
23/04/2026
Houston DynamoSan Diego
10
L
19/04/2026
Real Salt LakeSan Diego
42
L
12/04/2026
San DiegoMinnesota United FC
12
L
FC DallasFC Dallas
4W3D3L
23/07/2026
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
22
D
24/05/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Dallas
12
W
17/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
23
W
14/05/2026
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
23
L
10/05/2026
FC DallasReal Salt Lake
31
W
03/05/2026
New York Red BullsFC Dallas
02
W
26/04/2026
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
21
L
23/04/2026
FC DallasMinnesota United FC
01
L
19/04/2026
FC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
22
D
12/04/2026
FC DallasSt. Louis City
11
D

Referee Profile

V. Rivas142 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

V. Rivas4.78
Other referees4.30

4.78 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo331491043:42+151LWDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3312111051:38+1347LDDWD
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers331271460:61-143WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3310111253:57-441WWDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3343:4251
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3351:3847
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3360:6143
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3353:5741
13San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
Promotion

About the San Diego vs FC Dallas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Diego and FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Dallas are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego sit 13th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: San Diego 57-62, FC Dallas 59-50. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.