Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Allianz Field, Saint Paul·L. Hernandez 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseHighGap+11.2%
Minnesota United FC Rest
3 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
3 days

Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the result in context

Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 0-0 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. Vancouver Whitecaps had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Minnesota United FC.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.36
X
26%3.80
2
41%2.00
Double Chance
1X
59%1.80
X2
67%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.50
No
29%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.38 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.98
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
67%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.1
Over 8.5
54%1.42
Over 9.5
43%1.70
Over 10.5
29%2.15
Under 8.5
46%2.75
Under 9.5
57%2.05
Under 10.5
71%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%1.48
Over 4.5
54%2.08
Under 3.5
28%2.42
Under 4.5
46%1.69

Match Events

11'R. Veselinovic INM. Gherasimencov out
17'M. Dieng
24'J. Badwal
46'O. Larraz INR. Gauld out
46'C. Sabaly INN. Djordjevic out
57'J. Diaz INC. Harvey out
68'W. Trapp INP. Stroud out
68'K. Yeboah INT. Chancalay out
69'B. White INR. Elloumi out
81'A. Markanich IND. Padelford out
81'K. Duncan INB. Hlongwane out
87'M. Boxall
90'T. Johnson INS. Adekugbe out

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
5-3-2Coach: Cameron Knowles
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: Jesper Sorensen
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.87
Drake Callender8.012D. Callender
Kyle Duncan7.33K. Duncan
Jefferson Díaz7.228J. Díaz
Michael BoxallC7.215M. Boxall
Morris Duggan6.923M. Duggan
Anthony Markanich6.913A. Markanich
Joaquín Pereyra7.726J. Pereyra
Owen Gene6.930O. Gene
Wil Trapp6.720W. Trapp
Kelvin Yeboah6.29K. Yeboah
Mamadou  Dieng8.029M. Dieng
Yohei Takaoka8.31Y. Takaoka
Mathías Laborda6.92M. Laborda
Ranko Veselinović6.74R. Veselinović
Tristan Blackmon7.533T. Blackmon
Tate Johnson7.728T. Johnson
Oliver Larraz7.08O. Larraz
Andrés Cubas7.620A. Cubas
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly6.37C. Tidiane Sabaly
Thomas MüllerC6.513T. Müller
Jeevan Badwal6.759J. Badwal
Brian White5.924B. White

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

67Carlos Harvey57'for J. Diaz6.6
6Peter Stroud68'for W. Trapp6.6
8Tomás Chancalay68'for K. Yeboah6.2
2Devin Padelford81'for A. Markanich6.7
21Bongokuhle Hlongwane81'for K. Duncan6.3
1Alec Smir
24Julian Gressel
18Mauricio González
22Marcus Caldeira

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

29Mihail Gherasimencov11'for R. Veselinovic6.3
41Nikola Djordjevic46'for C. Sabaly6.9
25Ryan Gauld46'for O. Larraz6.5
19Rayan Elloumi69'for B. White6.2
3Sam Adekugbe90'for T. Johnson
32Isaac Boehmer
30Adrian Zendejas
26Jean-Claude Ngando
63Johnny Selemani

Match Stats

Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots1
7Fouls13
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
340Total Passes617
251Passes Accurate542
74%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
1556Elo Rating 1669
2.10Attack 1.32
0.69Defense 1.62
27%Hit Rate 27%
17.2Shots per Game 13.1
5.6Shots on Target 3.0
4.8Corners per Game 6.6
1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
60
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
00
Major League Soccer27/04/2025
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
13
Major League Soccer06/10/2024
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
01
Major League Soccer04/07/2024
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
13
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
32
Major League Soccer26/03/2023
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
11
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
20
Major League Soccer09/07/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
13
Major League Soccer28/10/2021
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC
21

Recent Form

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
3W2D5L
23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
L
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
L
14/05/2026
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
01
L
11/05/2026
Minnesota United FCAustin
22
D
03/05/2026
Columbus CrewMinnesota United FC
23
W
29/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC
42
L
25/04/2026
Minnesota United FCLos Angeles FC
01
L
23/04/2026
FC DallasMinnesota United FC
01
W
19/04/2026
Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers
20
W
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
5W3D2L
23/07/2026
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
43
L
14/07/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
09/07/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsCavalry FC
41
W
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
W
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
L
14/05/2026
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
23
W
10/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
03/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11
D
26/04/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsColorado Rapids
31
W
18/04/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City
30
W

Referee Profile

L. Hernandez95 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. Hernandez4.62
Other referees4.31

4.62 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC sit 12th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Minnesota United FC 50-56, Vancouver Whitecaps 63-32. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.