Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC Prediction

Exploria Stadium, Orlando·R. Touchan 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.47
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseHighGap+11.6%
Orlando City SC Rest
2 days
Nashville SC Rest
2 days

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC: result, form and history

Orlando City SC beat Nashville SC 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Nashville SC had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Orlando City SC.

Orlando City SC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee R. Touchan averages 5.29 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.91
X
27%3.75
2
44%2.22
Double Chance
1X
56%1.65
X2
71%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%1.47
No
25%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.33 = 2.89
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.53
Over 3.5
37%2.37
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.45
Under 3.5
63%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.48
Over 9.5
43%1.81
Over 10.5
29%2.25
Under 8.5
44%2.48
Under 9.5
57%1.90
Under 10.5
71%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.2 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.36
Over 4.5
54%2.15
Under 3.5
29%2.76
Under 4.5
46%1.65

Match Events

20'Tiago
46'A. Muyl INA. Qasem out
53'Tiago INT. Spicer out
65'B. Acosta INE. Tagseth out
65'S. Mohammed INJ. Knight out
70'B. Rhein INA. Gomez out
70'D. Brekalo INIago Teodoro out
72'T. SpicerAssist: J. Ellis
76'A. Najar IND. Lovitz out
85'J. Ellis INH. Sarajian out
85'Luis Otavio INW. Cartagena out
90+5'M. Corcoran INW. Pacius out

Lineups

Orlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: Oscar Pareja
Nashville SC
4-3-3Coach: Brian Callaghan
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.79
Maxime Crépeau6.571M. Crépeau
Griffin Dorsey6.624G. Dorsey
David Brekalo6.94D. Brekalo
Robin Jansson6.76R. Jansson
Bernardo Rhein44B. Rhein
Iván Angulo6.877I. Angulo
Luis Otávio6.75L. Otávio
Braian Ojeda6.48B. Ojeda
Tiago Souza6.411T. Souza
Antoine Griezmann7.27A. Griezmann
Justin Ellis6.222J. Ellis
Brian Schwake7.499B. Schwake
Josh Bauer6.622J. Bauer
Maxwell Woledzi7.03M. Woledzi
Jack Maher7.25J. Maher
Andy Najar7.131A. Najar
Bryan Acosta7.06B. Acosta
Matthew Corcoran6.816M. Corcoran
Alex Muyl6.719A. Muyl
Shakur Mohammed6.514S. Mohammed
Sam Surridge6.29S. Surridge
Hany Mukhtar6.510H. Mukhtar

Orlando City SC Substitutes

12Javier Otero
3Adrián Marín
19Zakaria Taifi
57Iago Silva70'for D. Brekalo
29Tahir Reid-Brown
65Gustavo Caraballo
23Harvey Sarajian85'for J. Ellis
16Wilder Cartagena85'for Luis Otavio
14Tyrese Spicer53'for Tiago72'6.5

Nashville SC Substitutes

13Xavier Valdez
4Jeisson Palacios
23Jordan Knight65'for S. Mohammed
21Thomas Williams
2Daniel Lovitz76'for A. Najar
12Charles-Emile Brunet
37Ahmed Qasem46'for A. Muyl6.4
20Edvard Tagseth65'for B. Acosta
17Woobens Pacius90+5'for M. Corcoran

Match Stats

Orlando City SCNashville SC
52%Ball Possession48%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots3
3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
5Fouls8
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
339Total Passes323
308Passes Accurate291
7Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
Nashville SCNashville SC
1631Elo Rating 1791
2.70Attack 1.88
1.03Defense 2.66
34%Hit Rate 54%
12.2Shots per Game 11.8
5.6Shots on Target 5.3
2.8Corners per Game 3.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Nashville SCNashville SC4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer21/03/2026
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
50
Major League Soccer21/09/2025
Orlando City SCNashville SC
32
Major League Soccer24/08/2025
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
51
US Open Cup22/05/2025
Orlando City SCNashville SC
23
Major League Soccer01/09/2024
Orlando City SCNashville SC
30
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
03
Major League Soccer08/11/2023
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
01
Major League Soccer31/10/2023
Orlando City SCNashville SC
10
Major League Soccer05/10/2023
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
01
Major League Soccer02/04/2023
Orlando City SCNashville SC
02

Recent Form

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
6W1D3L
23/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
04
W
24/05/2026
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
62
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
W
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D
14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
43
W
09/05/2026
CF MontrealOrlando City SC
20
L
03/05/2026
Inter MiamiOrlando City SC
34
W
30/04/2026
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
34
W
26/04/2026
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
32
L
23/04/2026
Orlando City SCCharlotte
41
W
Nashville SCNashville SC
6W2D2L
23/07/2026
Nashville SCCF Montreal
10
W
18/07/2026
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
10
W
24/05/2026
Nashville SCNew York City FC
21
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
W
14/05/2026
New England RevolutionNashville SC
03
W
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
L
03/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionNashville SC
00
D
29/04/2026
Nashville SCTigres UANL
01
L
26/04/2026
Nashville SCCharlotte
42
W

Referee Profile

R. Touchan88 matches

5.29Cards per match
5.06Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Touchan5.29
Other referees4.33

5.29 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami331611677:56+2159WDLWW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution331841155:46+958LWWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3377:5659
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3355:4658
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
Promotion

About the Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orlando City SC and Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Nashville SC are 1st and Orlando City SC 9th, 31 points apart. League goal record so far: Orlando City SC 62-78, Nashville SC 69-25. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.