Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 17
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.55
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+11.2%
Philadelphia Union Rest
3 days
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days
Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders: the result in context
Philadelphia Union beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%1.91
X34%3.75
223%3.69
Double Chance
1X77%1.27
X257%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes71%1.55
No29%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.3 = 2.86
Over 1.580%1.18
Over 2.560%1.61
Over 3.537%2.50
Under 1.520%4.60
Under 2.540%2.28
Under 3.563%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.551%1.37
Over 9.539%1.68
Over 10.529%2.04
Under 8.549%2.82
Under 9.561%2.08
Under 10.571%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.1 = 4.7
Over 3.571%1.41
Over 4.554%2.02
Under 3.529%2.63
Under 4.546%1.75
Match Events
12'H. Dotson
31'M. IloskiAssist: F. Westfield
59'A. Lopez ING. Sandnes out
60'K. Kossa-Rienzi INP. Kingston out
60'P. Arriola INJ. Ferreira out
65'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
65'B. Damiani INE. Alladoh out
80'O. De Rosario IND. Musovski out
80'D. Jean Jacques INJ. Bueno out
80'H. Dotson INS. Gomez out
89'C. Sullivan INA. Bedoya out
Lineups
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian SchmetzerAvg ratingAvg rating
C18A. Blake
39F. Westfield
44N. Pierre
26N. Harriel
27K. Wagner
6C. Sullivan
21D. Jean Jacques
4J. Lukić
19I. Vassilev
10M. Iloski
9B. Damiani
26A. Thomas
85K. Kossa-Rienzi
39S. Hawkins
35A. Lopez
C5N. Tolo
31H. Dotson
37S. Brunell
17P. Arriola
11A. Rusnák
14P. Rothrock
95O. De RosarioPhiladelphia Union Substitutes
33Quinn Sullivan65'for I. Vassilev
23Ezekiel Alladoh65'for B. Damiani
8Jesus Bueno80'for D. Jean Jacques
11Alejandro Bedoya89'for C. Sullivan
76Andrew Rick
5Japhet Sery Larsen
2Geiner Martínez
28Agustin Anello
16Ben Bender
Seattle Sounders Substitutes
53Gallatin Sandnes59'for A. Lopez
45Peter Kingston60'for K. Kossa-Rienzi
9Jesús Ferreira60'for P. Arriola
90Sebastian Gomez80'for H. Dotson
19Daniel Musovski80'for O. De Rosario
50Max Anchor
24Stefan Frei
28Yeimar Gómez
Match Stats
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders 44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
348Total Passes451
249Passes Accurate350
72%Pass Accuracy78%
Team Comparison
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders1745Elo Rating 1619
2.84Attack 1.61
1.28Defense 2.19
73%Hit Rate 50%
17.6Shots per Game 15.8
6.8Shots on Target 6.2
6.0Corners per Game 7.4
2.1Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Philadelphia Union- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Seattle Sounders- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Philadelphia Union0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Seattle Sounders1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
01/05/2024Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders23
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union2W4D4L
23/07/2026Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls31
W25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union64
L17/05/2026Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew11
D14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union43
L10/05/2026
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union21
L03/05/2026Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia UnionNashville SC00
D26/04/2026Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union20
L23/04/2026
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union33
D19/04/2026Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia UnionDC United00
D11/04/2026
CF MontrealPhiladelphia Union
CF MontrealPhiladelphia Union12
WSeattle Sounders4W2D4L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
AustinSeattle Sounders31
L17/07/2026Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers15
L25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders10
L17/05/2026Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy02
L14/05/2026Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes32
W10/05/2026Seattle Sounders
San Diego
Seattle SoundersSan Diego11
D02/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders11
D26/04/2026Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas21
W19/04/2026Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Seattle SoundersSt. Louis City41
W16/04/2026Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Seattle SoundersTigres UANL31
WReferee Profile
3.96Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.96 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:39 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:41 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 63:32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 52:45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 42:41 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC 23/07/26
- Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas 23/07/26
- New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte 26/07/26
- Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati 26/07/26
- CF Montreal vs Inter Miami 26/07/26
- Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC 26/07/26
- New York City FC vs Chicago Fire 26/07/26
- DC United vs Toronto FC 26/07/26
About the Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.