Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 17
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers: the result in context
Portland Timbers beat Seattle Sounders 5-1 in the Major League Soccer on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee R. Mendoza averages 4.80 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Seattle Sounders
Avg ratingAvg rating
26A. Thomas
85K. Kossa-Rienzi
35A. Lopez
25J. Ragen
C5N. Tolo
37S. Brunell
31H. Dotson
9J. Ferreira
11A. Rusnák
14P. Rothrock
13J. Morris
41J. Pantemis
5B. Bye
20F. Surman
4K. Miller
27J. Fory
C21D. Chará
7A. Lassiter
17C. Bassett
10D. Pereira Da Costa
11A. Alves
19K. KelsySeattle Sounders Substitutes
Portland Timbers Substitutes
Match Stats
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers Team Comparison
Seattle SoundersPortland TimbersAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Seattle Sounders- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
Portland Timbers- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Seattle Sounders2Wins · 20%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
05/10/2025Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers18/05/2025Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders20/10/2024Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers01/09/2024Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders12/05/2024Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders03/09/2023Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers03/06/2023Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers16/04/2023Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders27/08/2022Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders09/07/2022Seattle SoundersPortland TimbersRecent Form
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FCSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders
San Jose EarthquakesSeattle Sounders
San Diego
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
St. Louis CitySeattle Sounders
Tigres UANLTigres UANLSeattle Sounders
Houston DynamoSeattle SoundersPortland TimbersPortland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
CF MontrealPortland TimbersPortland TimbersSporting Kansas City
Real Salt LakePortland TimbersSan DiegoPortland Timbers
Minnesota United FCPortland TimbersPortland TimbersLos Angeles FC
Vancouver WhitecapsPortland TimbersPortland TimbersLos Angeles GalaxyReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.80 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).
Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72:34 | +38 | 61 | WWLWD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | +9 | 55 | DLWDW |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:48 | +8 | 52 | WDLDD |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | +10 | 51 | LLLLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:42 | +1 | 51 | LWDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51:38 | +13 | 47 | LDDWD |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | -6 | 44 | WDDWL |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60:61 | -1 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 | LDWDD |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 43 | LLDDL |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51:51 | 0 | 42 | LWWWD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53:57 | -4 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | -5 | 38 | WLDDD |
| 14 |  Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42:63 | -21 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | -42 | 23 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 72:34 | 61 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56:48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 43:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 51:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 49:55 | 44 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 60:61 | 43 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 51:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 53:57 | 41 |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 42:63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 39:81 | 23 |
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This match
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- FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps 23/07/26
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About the Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers forecast
As a derby, this Major League Soccer meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders (10th) and Portland Timbers (8th) are level on 43 points. League goal record so far: Seattle Sounders 42-45, Portland Timbers 60-61. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Portland Timbers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.