FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+13.7%
FC Cincinnati Rest
12 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
8 days
FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the result in context
FC Cincinnati beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%3.77
X29%4.15
233%1.80
Double Chance
1X67%1.96
X262%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.37
No37%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.24 = 2.76
Over 1.580%1.11
Over 2.562%1.38
Over 3.537%1.97
Under 1.520%6.45
Under 2.538%2.98
Under 3.563%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.3 = 8.3
Over 8.551%1.46
Over 9.537%1.75
Over 10.528%2.18
Under 8.549%2.50
Under 9.563%1.95
Under 10.572%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.3 = 5
Over 3.572%1.40
Over 4.555%1.93
Under 3.528%2.77
Under 4.545%1.86
Match Events
2'T. Blackmon
9'P. BuchaAssist: S. Gidi
12'J. BadwalAssist: B. Caicedo
17'M. Laborda
25'R. GauldAssist: O. Larraz
28'K. DenkeyAssist: E. Echenique
36'EvanderAssist: G. Valenzuela
41'P. Bucha
44'B. Caicedo INC. Sabaly out
48'E. Ocampo
56'P. BuchaAssist: Evander
58'R. GauldAssist: J. Badwal
59'A. Cubas
62'J. Badwal INJ. Ngando out
63'R. Gauld INN. Djordjevic out
64'E. Echenique INB. J. Ramirez Leon out
64'K. Mboma INT. Barlow out
64'M. Robinson INK. Smith out
78'B. White
84'E. Ocampo INR. Veselinovic out
84'A. Cubas INR. Elloumi out
89'K. Denkey INA. Jabbari out
89'S. Gidi INT. Hadebe out
Lineups
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: Jesper SorensenAvg ratingAvg rating
18R. Celentano
12M. Robinson
21M. Miazga
11S. Gidi
20P. Bucha
22G. Valenzuela
5O. Nwobodo
66E. Echenique
17K. Mboma Dem
C10Evander
9K. Denkey
1Y. Takaoka
18É. Ocampo
33T. Blackmon
2M. Laborda
28T. Johnson
8O. Larraz
20A. Cubas
59J. Badwal
C25R. Gauld
14B. Quiñonez
24B. WhiteFC Cincinnati Substitutes
24Kyle Smith64'for M. Robinson
29Bryan Ramirez64'for E. Echenique
16Tom Barlow64'for K. Mboma
15Teenage Hadebe89'for S. Gidi
99Ayoub Jabbari89'for K. Denkey
13Evan Louro
2Alvas Powell
4Nick Hagglund
27Tah Anunga
Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes
7Cheick Tidiane Sabaly44'for B. Caicedo
26Jean-Claude Ngando62'for J. Badwal
41Nikola Djordjevic63'for R. Gauld
4Ranko Veselinović84'for E. Ocampo
19Rayan Elloumi84'for A. Cubas
32Isaac Boehmer
3Sam Adekugbe
29Mihail Gherasimencov
13Thomas Müller
Match Stats
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps 38%Ball Possession62%
1Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards5
10Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots6
12Fouls13
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
396Total Passes630
331Passes Accurate566
84%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps1592Elo Rating 1669
1.57Attack 1.32
1.10Defense 1.62
44%Hit Rate 27%
18.1Shots per Game 13.1
6.2Shots on Target 3.0
5.9Corners per Game 6.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Vancouver Whitecaps- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
FC Cincinnati0Wins · 0%Draws2100%
Vancouver Whitecaps0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
11/06/2023Vancouver WhitecapsFC Cincinnati11
14/07/2022FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps22
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati4W5D1L
11/07/2026FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC CincinnatiBurnley31
W24/05/2026FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC62
W17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
San DiegoFC Cincinnati33
D14/05/2026FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC CincinnatiInter Miami35
L10/05/2026
CharlotteFC Cincinnati
CharlotteFC Cincinnati22
D03/05/2026
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati23
W26/04/2026FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls20
W23/04/2026
New York City FCFC Cincinnati
New York City FCFC Cincinnati44
D19/04/2026FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire33
D11/04/2026
Toronto FCFC Cincinnati
Toronto FCFC Cincinnati11
DVancouver Whitecaps6W3D1L
14/07/2026
Cavalry FCVancouver Whitecaps
Cavalry FCVancouver Whitecaps11
D09/07/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCavalry FC
Vancouver WhitecapsCavalry FC41
W24/05/2026San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps24
W17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps10
L14/05/2026
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps23
W10/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps11
D03/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps11
D26/04/2026Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver WhitecapsColorado Rapids31
W18/04/2026Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City30
W12/04/2026Vancouver WhitecapsNew York City FC
Vancouver WhitecapsNew York City FC20
WReferee Profile
4.67Cards per match
4.48Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.67 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).
Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | +31 | 55 | LWDDL |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | +7 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:39 | +2 | 43 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:41 | +1 | 42 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | -3 | 35 | DDDLD |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 63:32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 52:45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 42:41 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 31 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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This match
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- St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City 17/07/26
- Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers 17/07/26
- Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC 18/07/26
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC 18/07/26
- Columbus Crew vs New York City FC 23/07/26
- Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls 23/07/26
- New England Revolution vs Toronto FC 23/07/26
- Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC 23/07/26
About the FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.