Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Geodis Park, Nashville·F. Dujic 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Nashville SC Rest
54 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
54 days

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC: result, form and history

Nashville SC beat Atlanta United FC 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nashville SC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Atlanta United FC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.53
X
16%4.35
2
19%5.74
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
35%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.75
No
41%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 0.86 = 2.85
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.66
Over 3.5
35%2.65
Under 1.5
16%4.33
Under 2.5
39%2.18
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.86
Over 10.5
36%2.37
Under 8.5
39%2.38
Under 9.5
50%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.5 = 3.9
Over 3.5
60%1.62
Over 4.5
42%2.27
Under 3.5
40%2.23
Under 4.5
58%1.59

Match Events

11'A. Fortune INW. Reilly out
62'M. Edwards INR. Hernandez out
63'E. Tagseth INB. Acosta out
63'J. Bauer INA. Najar out
73'A. Qasem INA. Muyl out
73'J. Maher INJ. Palacios out
79'S. MohammedAssist: A. Muyl
83'L. Brennan INF. Picault out
83'C. Sanchez INE. Latte Lath out
85'S. Mohammed
90+5'S. Mohammed INJ. Knight out
90+10'E. Mihaj

Lineups

Nashville SC
4-4-2Coach: Brian Callaghan
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: Gerardo Martino
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.65
Brian Schwake9.099B. Schwake
Josh Bauer6.922J. Bauer
Jack Maher7.05J. Maher
Maxwell Woledzi7.63M. Woledzi
Daniel Lovitz7.02D. Lovitz
Shakur Mohammed8.014S. Mohammed
Matthew Corcoran7.216M. Corcoran
Edvard Tagseth7.020E. Tagseth
Ahmed Qasem6.937A. Qasem
Hany MukhtarC7.310H. Mukhtar
Sam Surridge6.79S. Surridge
Lucas Hoyos6.71L. Hoyos
Matthew Edwards6.247M. Edwards
Tomás Jacob6.955T. Jacob
Enea Mihaj7.04E. Mihaj
Elías Báez6.23E. Báez
Cooper Sanchez6.348C. Sanchez
Tristan Muyumba6.78T. Muyumba
Ajani Fortune6.635A. Fortune
Luke Brennan6.920L. Brennan
Aleksey Miranchuk6.959A. Miranchuk
Miguel AlmirónC7.310M. Almirón

Nashville SC Substitutes

31Andy Najar63'for J. Bauer7.0
6Bryan Acosta63'for E. Tagseth6.7
4Jeisson Palacios73'for J. Maher7.3
19Alex Muyl73'for A. Qasem6.9
23Jordan Knight90+5'for S. Mohammed
1Joe Willis
21Thomas Williams
12Charles-Emile Brunet
17Woobens Pacius

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

28William Reilly11'for A. Fortune6.9
2Ronald Hernández62'for M. Edwards6.3
9Emmanuel Latte Lath83'for C. Sanchez6.3
22Fafà Picault83'for L. Brennan6.5
42Jayden Hibbert
18Pedro Amador
16Adrian Gill
56Ignacio Suarez-Couri
30Cayman Togashi

Match Stats

Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots5
10Fouls13
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total Passes480
371Passes Accurate415
85%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Nashville SCNashville SC
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1791Elo Rating 1497
1.88Attack 1.56
2.66Defense 0.77
54%Hit Rate 17%
11.8Shots per Game 16.3
5.3Shots on Target 4.7
3.7Corners per Game 4.4
1.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+294 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nashville SCNashville SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nashville SCNashville SC4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer19/04/2026
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
02
Major League Soccer31/08/2025
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
01
Major League Soccer03/05/2025
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
11
Major League Soccer15/09/2024
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
02
Major League Soccer18/05/2024
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
11
Major League Soccer27/08/2023
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
40
Major League Soccer29/04/2023
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
31
Major League Soccer22/05/2022
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
22
US Open Cup12/05/2022
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
3222
Major League Soccer28/08/2021
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
02

Recent Form

Nashville SCNashville SC
6W2D2L
24/05/2026
Nashville SCNew York City FC
21
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
W
14/05/2026
New England RevolutionNashville SC
03
W
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
L
03/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionNashville SC
00
D
29/04/2026
Nashville SCTigres UANL
01
L
26/04/2026
Nashville SCCharlotte
42
W
19/04/2026
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
02
W
15/04/2026
Club AmericaNashville SC
01
W
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
4W1D5L
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
L
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D
10/05/2026
Atlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
12
L
03/05/2026
Atlanta United FCCF Montreal
31
W
29/04/2026
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
02
W
25/04/2026
Toronto FCAtlanta United FC
12
W
23/04/2026
Atlanta United FCNew England Revolution
12
L
19/04/2026
Atlanta United FCNashville SC
02
L
16/04/2026
ChattanoogaAtlanta United FC
13
W

Referee Profile

F. Dujic122 matches

4.03Cards per match
3.77Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Dujic4.03
Other referees4.33

4.03 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 93 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami331611677:56+2159WDLWW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution331841155:46+958LWWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3377:5659
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3355:4658
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
Promotion

About the Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Nashville SC are 1st in the Major League Soccer, while Atlanta United FC sit 13th, 41 points behind. League goal record so far: Nashville SC 69-25, Atlanta United FC 43-57. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nashville SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.