Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
Columbus Crew Rest
10 days
New York City FC Rest
59 days
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC: result, form and history
New York City FC beat Columbus Crew 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%1.96
X28%3.65
227%3.60
Double Chance
1X73%1.28
X255%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.65
No40%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.13 = 2.51
Over 1.571%1.23
Over 2.548%1.77
Over 3.530%2.94
Under 1.529%4.00
Under 2.552%2.05
Under 3.570%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.561%1.48
Over 9.550%1.77
Over 10.536%2.20
Under 8.539%2.45
Under 9.550%1.92
Under 10.564%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.572%1.46
Over 4.555%1.87
Under 3.528%2.58
Under 4.545%1.83
Match Events
28'N. Mercau(Penalty)
40'T. Gray
55'M. Jones INTalles Magno out
55'B. Traore INH. Wolf out
57'J. Thiare
60'M. Arfsten
63'T. Karumanchi INH. Picard out
64'M. Amundsen INS. Moreira out
70'A. OjedaAssist: Talles Magno
74'S. Bangoura IND. Chambost out
75'J. Thiare IND. Gazdag out
77'J. Shore INK. Pierre out
82'T. Habroune
83'N. Cavallo INM. Carrizo out
83'N. Akhundzade INC. Adams out
90+3'D. Gazdag(Penalty)
90+5'J. Sands
Lineups
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
4-1-4-1Coach: Pascal JansenAvg ratingAvg rating
28P. Schulte
23M. Farsi
C25S. Zawadzki
4R. Camacho
18M. Amundsen
90N. Akhundzade
50T. Karumanchi
17S. Tidiany Bangoura
27M. Arfsten
19J. Thiaré
16T. Habroune
49M. Freese
24T. Gray
C13T. Martins
6J. Sands
2N. Cavallo
32J. Shore
26A. Ojeda
7N. Fernández
8A. Perea
88M. Jones
9B. TraoréColumbus Crew Substitutes
30Hugo Picard63'for T. Karumanchi
31Steven Moreira64'for M. Amundsen
7Dylan Chambost74'for S. Bangoura
8Dániel Gazdag75'for J. Thiare90+3'
46Chase Adams
1Nicholas Hagen
12Cesar Ruvalcaba
45Owen Presthus
14Amar Sejdic
New York City FC Substitutes
17Hannes Wolf55'for B. Traore
11Talles Magno55'for M. Jones
15Kevin Pierre77'for J. Shore
29Máximo Carrizo83'for N. Cavallo
30Tomás Romero
35Mitja Ilenič
23Max Murray
87Arnau Farnos
99Seymour Garfield-Reid
Match Stats
Columbus CrewNew York City FC 59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal2
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots1
7Fouls11
3Goalkeeper Saves3
584Total Passes411
519Passes Accurate344
89%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Columbus CrewNew York City FC1660Elo Rating 1571
2.25Attack 0.80
1.87Defense 1.41
63%Hit Rate 0%
16.3Shots per Game 12.8
8.4Shots on Target 4.2
6.1Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Columbus Crew- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York City FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Columbus Crew4Wins · 40%Draws330%
New York City FC3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
21/05/2026Columbus CrewNew York City FC10
10/05/2026New York City FCColumbus Crew30
18/09/2025New York City FCColumbus Crew32
23/03/2025Columbus CrewNew York City FC00
01/09/2024Columbus CrewNew York City FC42
15/06/2024New York City FCColumbus Crew23
09/07/2023Columbus CrewNew York City FC11
17/06/2023New York City FCColumbus Crew11
07/08/2022Columbus CrewNew York City FC32
15/05/2022New York City FCColumbus Crew20
Recent Form
Columbus Crew5W2D3L
12/07/2026Columbus Crew
Burnley
Columbus CrewBurnley11
D24/05/2026Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC20
W21/05/2026Columbus CrewNew York City FC
Columbus CrewNew York City FC10
W17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew11
D14/05/2026
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew32
L10/05/2026New York City FCColumbus Crew
New York City FCColumbus Crew30
L03/05/2026Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus CrewMinnesota United FC23
L30/04/2026Columbus Crew
One Knoxville
Columbus CrewOne Knoxville41
W26/04/2026Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union20
W23/04/2026Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus CrewLos Angeles Galaxy21
WNew York City FC3W2D5L
24/05/2026
Nashville SCNew York City FC
Nashville SCNew York City FC21
L21/05/2026Columbus CrewNew York City FC
Columbus CrewNew York City FC10
L17/05/2026New York Red BullsNew York City FC
New York Red BullsNew York City FC11
D14/05/2026
CharlotteNew York City FC
CharlotteNew York City FC01
W10/05/2026New York City FCColumbus Crew
New York City FCColumbus Crew30
W03/05/2026New York City FC
DC United
New York City FCDC United02
L30/04/2026New York Red BullsNew York City FC
New York Red BullsNew York City FC13
W25/04/2026
CF MontrealNew York City FC
CF MontrealNew York City FC10
L23/04/2026New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FCFC Cincinnati44
D19/04/2026New York City FCCharlotte
New York City FCCharlotte12
LReferee Profile
4.62Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.62 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).
Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City 17/07/26
- Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers 17/07/26
- Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC 18/07/26
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC 18/07/26
- FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps 23/07/26
- Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls 23/07/26
- New England Revolution vs Toronto FC 23/07/26
- Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC 23/07/26
About the Columbus Crew vs New York City FC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Columbus Crew and New York City FC in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Columbus Crew are 9th and New York City FC 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Columbus Crew 52-49, New York City FC 47-44. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.