Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Providence Park, Portland·E. Arreguin 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.46
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.50
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+14.3%
Portland Timbers Rest
3 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake: the result in context

Portland Timbers beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Real Salt Lake had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Portland Timbers.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.40
X
25%3.75
2
25%2.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.46
X2
50%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.38
No
29%2.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.24 = 2.87
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.43
Over 3.5
38%2.07
Under 1.5
19%6.10
Under 2.5
40%2.80
Under 3.5
62%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.41
Over 9.5
41%1.70
Over 10.5
29%2.12
Under 8.5
48%2.66
Under 9.5
59%2.03
Under 10.5
71%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%1.40
Over 4.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
29%2.65
Under 4.5
46%1.83

Match Events

10'C. Bassett
18'J. SanabriaAssist: M. Guilavogui
34'M. Guilavogui
41'D. Chara
55'S. Solans
56'F. MoraAssist: A. Lassiter
57'A. Lassiter INAntony out
58'D. Yedlin INS. Junqua out
67'F. MoraAssist: K. Velde
72'D. Chara INJ. Caicedo out
72'F. Mora INA. Aravena out
74'D. Luna INS. Lobjanidze out
74'S. Solans INV. Olatunji out
74'L. Engel INJ. J. Arias out
85'J. Sanabria INA. Katranis out
86'C. Bassett INJ. Ortiz out

Lineups

Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1Coach: Jack Cassidy
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.74
James Pantemis6.641J. Pantemis
Brandon Bye7.05B. Bye
Finn Surman7.020F. Surman
Kamal Miller7.74K. Miller
Jímer Fory6.627J. Fory
Diego CharáC7.221D. Chará
Ariel Lassiter7.37A. Lassiter
Cole Bassett5.917C. Bassett
David Pereira Da Costa7.210D. Pereira Da Costa
Kristoffer Velde8.399K. Velde
Felipe Mora8.29F. Mora
Rafael CabralC7.61R. Cabral
DeAndre Yedlin7.02D. Yedlin
Philip Quinton7.226P. Quinton
Lukas Engel6.54L. Engel
Zavier Gozo6.372Z. Gozo
Stijn Spierings6.96S. Spierings
Noel Caliskan7.292N. Caliskan
Juan Sanabria7.98J. Sanabria
Diego Luna6.910D. Luna
Sergi Solans6.222S. Solans
Morgan Guilavogui5.79M. Guilavogui

Portland Timbers Substitutes

11Antony Alves57'for A. Lassiter6.7
30José Caicedo72'for D. Chara6.9
28Alexander Aravena72'for F. Mora6.7
80Joao Ortíz86'for C. Bassett6.3
25Trey Muse
23Ian Smith
6Alex Bonetig
15Eric Miller
53Sawyer Jura

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

29Sam Junqua58'for D. Yedlin6.7
21Juan Jose Arias74'for L. Engel6.7
12Saba Lobzhanidze74'for D. Luna6.2
17Victor Olatunji74'for S. Solans6.3
98Alexandros Katranis85'for J. Sanabria6.6
31Mason Stajduhar
23Zach Booth
27Griffin Dillon
7Pablo Ruíz

Match Stats

Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
61%Ball Possession39%
14Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots0
12Fouls13
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total Passes340
465Passes Accurate264
88%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1548Elo Rating 1556
0.75Attack 1.73
1.32Defense 1.83
0%Hit Rate 44%
13.1Shots per Game 13.9
4.2Shots on Target 6.0
3.8Corners per Game 4.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer02/05/2026
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
20
Major League Soccer23/10/2025
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
31
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
01
Major League Soccer15/05/2025
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
00
Major League Soccer22/09/2024
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
33
Major League Soccer14/07/2024
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
30
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
21
Major League Soccer18/05/2023
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
00
US Open Cup11/05/2023
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
34
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
31

Recent Form

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
4W2D4L
23/07/2026
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
22
D
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
W
24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
13
L
18/05/2026
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
20
L
14/05/2026
CF MontrealPortland Timbers
22
D
10/05/2026
Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City
60
W
02/05/2026
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
20
L
26/04/2026
San DiegoPortland Timbers
12
W
19/04/2026
Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers
20
L
11/04/2026
Portland TimbersLos Angeles FC
21
W
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
5W1D4L
23/07/2026
Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
31
L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
W
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
W
10/05/2026
FC DallasReal Salt Lake
31
L
02/05/2026
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
20
W
27/04/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyReal Salt Lake
21
L
23/04/2026
Real Salt LakeInter Miami
02
L
19/04/2026
Real Salt LakeSan Diego
42
W

Referee Profile

E. Arreguin108 matches

4.37Cards per match
4.21Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

E. Arreguin4.37
Other referees4.24

4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Real Salt Lake are 8th and Portland Timbers 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers 57-60, Real Salt Lake 50-49. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.