Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
8 days
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima: result, form and history
Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Lima drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Alianza Lima have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. Referee Augusto Menendez averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
125%3.60
X28%2.96
247%2.15
Double Chance
1X53%1.65
X275%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.10
No47%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.17 = 2.20
Over 1.569%1.49
Over 2.541%2.50
Over 3.525%4.67
Under 1.531%2.50
Under 2.559%1.50
Under 3.575%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 4.8 = 8.4
Over 8.553%1.84
Over 9.538%2.34
Over 10.529%3.29
Under 8.547%1.84
Under 9.562%1.51
Under 10.571%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.8 = 5.6
Over 3.579%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.521%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
6'F. GirottiFoul
16'E. CastilloAssist: R. Garces
38'G. ChavezFoul
40'F. GaiborUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+2'M. SenAssist: M. P. Carpio Ferro
50'J. HerreraAssist: R. Vilca
59'G. Chavez INA. Cantero out
60'R. GarcesFoul
66'M. P. Carpio Ferro INO. Pinto out
66'E. Castillo
79'J. Velez INC. Neira out
79'J. Herrera INW. Ayovi out
79'J. Parodi INA. Rodriguez out
90'A. Arias INJ. Olivares out
90+4'F. Girotti ING. Motta out
90+8'W. AyoviFoul
90+8'F. RojasFoul
Lineups
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima
5-3-2Coach: Pablo GuedeAvg ratingAvg rating
17M. Córdova
16F. Rojas
30P. Guzmán
6J. Rodríguez
15A. Cossio
20J. Parodi
4A. Arias
11J. Herrera
10M. Carpio
25R. Vilca
C9M. Sen
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
4G. Chávez
C6R. Garcés
3M. Antoni
13M. Huamán
7F. Gaibor
5E. Pavez
20J. Vélez
99F. Girotti
8E. CastilloComerciantes Unidos Substitutes
99José Charún
40Flavio Alcedo
19Daniel Lino
18Agustín Rodriguez79'for J. Parodi
14Thiago Salinas
28Óscar Pinto66'for M. P. Carpio Ferro
8Wilter Ayoví79'replaced by J. Herrera90+8'
50Jean Carlo Olivares
13Maximiliano Pérez
Alianza Lima Substitutes
12Ángel de la Cruz
32Jonathan García
2Nicolás Díaz
22Christian Neira79'for J. Velez
29Jean Pierre Archimbaud
15Jesús Castillo
30Geray Motta90+4'for F. Girotti
25Gaspar Gentile
11Alan Cantero59'for G. Chavez
Match Stats
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima 64%Ball Possession36%
1Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots3
17Fouls12
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
485Total Passes273
421Passes Accurate197
87%Pass Accuracy72%
Team Comparison
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima1503Elo Rating 1715
1.24Attack 1.96
0.86Defense 2.03
0%Hit Rate 69%
14.0Shots per Game 17.3
4.9Shots on Target 4.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Comerciantes Unidos0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Alianza Lima5Wins · 100%
5Wins · 100%3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
09/02/2026Alianza LimaComerciantes Unidos21
22/09/2025Alianza LimaComerciantes Unidos40
19/06/2025Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima01
03/08/2024Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima13
25/02/2024Alianza LimaComerciantes Unidos51
Recent Form
Comerciantes Unidos2W4D4L
18/07/2026
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
D11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos20
L31/05/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos10
L25/05/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso00
D17/05/2026
ADTComerciantes Unidos
ADTComerciantes Unidos20
L10/05/2026Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar11
D03/05/2026
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos10
L25/04/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal10
W22/04/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico10
WAlianza Lima5W3D2L
20/07/2026Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
L21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima31
L14/06/2026
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima00
D31/05/2026
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza LimaClub Deportivo Los Chankas30
W17/05/2026CiencianoAlianza Lima
CiencianoAlianza Lima01
W10/05/2026Alianza LimaSporting Cristal
Alianza LimaSporting Cristal11
D03/05/2026Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua21
W26/04/2026
Atletico GrauAlianza Lima
Atletico GrauAlianza Lima01
WReferee Profile
5.86Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.86 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau 25/07/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano 25/07/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal 26/07/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua 26/07/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca 27/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos 31/07/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo 01/08/26
- Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys 01/08/26
About the Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Lima in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Lima are 1st and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 42-45, Alianza Lima 52-23. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.