UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseHighGap+12.0%
UTC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
UCV Moquegua Rest
8 days
UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua: the result in context
UTC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua drew 0-0 in the Primera División on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez averages 4.83 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.62
X22%3.80
222%5.10
Double Chance
1X78%1.15
X243%2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.81
No39%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.24 = 2.88
Over 1.580%1.25
Over 2.562%1.85
Over 3.537%3.05
Under 1.520%3.46
Under 2.538%1.90
Under 3.563%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.554%1.62
Over 9.543%2.00
Over 10.529%2.63
Under 8.546%2.15
Under 9.557%1.71
Under 10.571%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 2.9 = 6.1
Over 3.581%-
Over 4.574%-
Under 3.519%-
Under 4.526%-
Match Events
32'A. FigueraFoul
43'Y. ZapataFoul
46'A. Lecaros INK. Ruiz out
57'A. Arroyo INL. Arce out
57'J. Cantt IND. Dioses out
63'A. Davila INC. Ramirez out
72'J. Collazos INBryan Angulo out
72'C. Mejia INN. Chavez out
72'A. Munoz INM. de Jesus out
73'L. ArceUnsportsmanlike conduct
86'D. Caro INJ. Huerto out
86'D. Camacho INS. Galvez out
88'J. HuertoUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
4-4-2Coach: Jaime SernaAvg ratingAvg rating
C29I. Barrios
35G. Paredes
3M. Ganoza
2B. Duarte
13D. Caro
16A. Figuera
11A. Arroyo
15J. Cantt
10M. Lliuya
19A. Muñoz
22D. Camacho
1C. Grados
22E. Montenegro
C13J. Diego Lojas
3C. Enciso
4A. Perleche
16A. Davila
25R. Chipao
8C. Mejia
24A. Lecaros
17Y. Zapata
90J. CollazosUTC Cajamarca Substitutes
21Ricardo Bettocchi
6Francesco Cavagna
5Carlos Junior Huerto86'for D. Caro88'
8David Dioses57'for J. Cantt
88Luis Arce57'for A. Arroyo73'
7Jhosep Nuñez
18Santiago Gálvez86'for D. Camacho
9Marlon de Jesús72'for A. Munoz
UCV Moquegua Substitutes
29Renzo Figueroa
30Jose Granda
6Jimmy Jiménez
14Claudio Ramírez
88Róger Torres
77Kevin Ruiz46'for A. Lecaros
20Diego Ramírez
10Nicolas Chavez
11Bryan Angulo72'for J. Collazos
Match Stats
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua 70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls15
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
616Total Passes276
544Passes Accurate194
88%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua1434Elo Rating 1440
1.32Attack 0.19
1.49Defense 1.34
27%Hit Rate 19%
13.5Shots per Game 7.7
5.6Shots on Target 1.4
3.2Corners per Game 3.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
UTC Cajamarca- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
UCV Moquegua- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
UTC Cajamarca1Wins · 100%Draws00%
UCV Moquegua0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
06/02/2026UCV MoqueguaUTC Cajamarca23
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca2W4D4L
18/07/2026
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
L12/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
Deportiva Agropecuaria
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria41
W26/06/2026UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
15/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
WDeportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca22
D31/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca22
D23/05/2026UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys00
D17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca20
L08/05/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca12
L04/05/2026
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca20
L26/04/2026UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC CajamarcaCienciano22
DUCV Moquegua3W4D3L
18/07/2026UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes UnidosFBC MelgarUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Bentín Tacna Heroica
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
29/06/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
WFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D21/06/2026UCV MoqueguaBentín Tacna Heroica32
W29/05/2026Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua10
L23/05/2026UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
D17/05/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasUCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUCV Moquegua10
L09/05/2026UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV MoqueguaADT22
D03/05/2026
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua21
L25/04/2026UCV MoqueguaFC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaFC Cajamarca21
WReferee Profile
4.83Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.83 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Sport Boys vs ADT 25/07/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau 25/07/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano 25/07/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal 26/07/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima 26/07/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca 27/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos 31/07/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo 01/08/26
About the UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UTC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua in the Primera División table
UCV Moquegua and UTC Cajamarca are close in the Primera División table, 17th and 18th, with 10 points between them. League goal record so far: UTC Cajamarca 36-55, UCV Moquegua 25-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
UTC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.