De Treffers vs Heracles Prediction

De Treffers
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Heracles
Sportpark Zuid, Groesbeek·R. Sturm 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
52%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.44
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-17.7%
De Treffers Rest
5 days
Heracles Rest
6 days

De Treffers vs Heracles: result, form and history

De Treffers beat Heracles 1-0 in the KNVB Beker on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee R. Sturm averages 2.80 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%5.80
X
21%4.60
2
59%1.44
Double Chance
1X
40%2.62
X2
80%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.93 + 1.36 = 3.29
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.39
Over 3.5
43%2.02
Under 1.5
18%5.53
Under 2.5
37%2.67
Under 3.5
57%1.70
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'M. BoracFoul
35'M. ZellerUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'T. Bruns IND. van Kaam out
50'T. van GilstDiving
52'R. van StrienFoul
55'M. BoracHandling
55'M. BoracHandling
60'D. Tomic INF. Fofana out
60'T. van Gilst INM. Benita out
60'J. Reine-Adelaide IND. Mirani out
61'S. van BakelAssist: K. Keizer
64'S. van der HeijdenFoul
68'K. KeizerFoul
74'K. Keizer INR. Ippel out
75'S. BultmanFoul
76'D. Vicente INC. Abbas out
76'V. Poppler INJ. N'djoli out
83'W. den Dekker INJ. Fernandes out
84'B. Brussaard INJ. van der Logt out
89'S. van Bakel ING. Vlijter out
90+3'T. Waterink INJ. Hekkert out

Lineups

De Treffers
3-4-3
Heracles
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.58
Joey Kesting6.523J. Kesting
Jorn van Hedel7.212J. van Hedel
Jari van Ginkel7.04J. van Ginkel
Migiel Zeller6.92M. Zeller
Bas Brussaard7.77B. Brussaard
Kane Keizer8.224K. Keizer
Steven van der HeijdenC6.38S. van der Heijden
Ruben van Strien6.95R. van Strien
Willem den Dekker6.710W. den Dekker
Tim Waterink7.39T. Waterink
Sebastiaan van Bakel7.717S. van Bakel
Timo Jansink7.316T. Jansink
David Vicente6.615D. Vicente
Mike te WierikC7.023M. te Wierik
Mario Borac6.23M. Borac
Max Hauswirth6.718M. Hauswirth
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde6.311J. Reine-Adélaïde
Stijn Bultman6.935S. Bultman
Tristan van Gilst6.317T. van Gilst
Thomas Bruns7.010T. Bruns
David Tomić6.76D. Tomić
Vincent Poppler6.39V. Poppler

De Treffers Substitutes

31Daequone Toussaint
28Artem Mashtaliruk
22Jim van der Logt84'for B. Brussaard
21Dave Neijenhuis
6Ricardo Ippel74'replaced by K. Keizer
18Jorn Hekkert
29Kürşad Sürmeli
19Jelani Coffie
11Gavin Vlijter89'for S. van Bakel
14Stijn Kwantes

Heracles Substitutes

26Daniel Van Kaam46'for T. Bruns6.6
2Mimeirhel Benita60'for T. van Gilst6.2
4Damon Mirani60'for J. Reine-Adelaide6.3
80Fodé Fofana60'for D. Tomic6.3
33Leco Zeevalkink
1Fabian De Keijzer
5Djevencio van der Kust
32Sem Scheperman
25Manny Rodríguez
30Diego van Oorschot
27Jean-Paul N'Djoli76'for V. Poppler
7Chafik Abbas76'for D. Vicente

Match Stats

De TreffersHeracles
36%Ball Possession64%
6Corner Kicks10
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots18
10Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots9
13Fouls13
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves9
247Total Passes445
157Passes Accurate338
64%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

De TreffersDe Treffers
HeraclesHeracles
1685Elo Rating 1621
2.34Attack 1.98
1.50Defense 2.02
63%Hit Rate 36%
17.0Shots per Game 19.7
10.0Shots on Target 6.7
6.0Corners per Game 8.6
4.0Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

De TreffersDe Treffers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HeraclesHeracles
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

De TreffersDe Treffers
5W4D1L
HeraclesHeracles
7W2D1L
23/10/2026
NAC BredaHeracles
11
D
18/10/2026
MVVHeracles
15
W
09/10/2026
HeraclesWaalwijk
30
W
02/10/2026
Helmond SportHeracles
22
D
26/09/2026
HeraclesVitesse
20
W
18/09/2026
Almere City FCHeracles
10
L
11/09/2026
HeraclesJong AZ
32
W
04/09/2026
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50
W
30/08/2026
FC EindhovenHeracles
13
W
24/08/2026
Jong UtrechtHeracles
16
W

Referee Profile

R. Sturm73 matches

2.80Cards per match
2.73Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Sturm2.80
Other referees3.56

2.80 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.56).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the De Treffers vs Heracles forecast

As a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About KNVB Beker

More KNVB Beker fixtures and forecasts are on the KNVB Beker Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

De Treffers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. De Treffers and Heracles have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.