Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes Prediction

Deportivo Maipu
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Quilmes
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Deportivo Maipu Rest
7 days
Quilmes Rest
7 days

Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes: the result in context

Deportivo Maipu beat Quilmes 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.34
X
30%2.88
2
21%3.25
Double Chance
1X
79%1.28
X2
51%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.05
No
59%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.79 = 2.03
Over 1.5
59%1.47
Over 2.5
31%2.44
Over 3.5
16%4.67
Under 1.5
41%2.50
Under 2.5
69%1.50
Under 3.5
84%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'A. Kippes
42'L. Romeo
44'R. Martinez
50'L. CabreraAssist: F. Saccone
53'A. Ortega
55'L. Romeo INJ. Novillo out
55'R. Martinez INA. Lavezzi out
63'J. Gobetto
65'L. Cabrera INJ. Giacone out
66'G. Vega INT. Ortega out
76'U. Vera INN. Colazo out
76'A. Spetale INP. Bonacci out
80'N. Colazo
82'M. Bonfigli INA. Vera out
82'T. Silva INN. Fernandez out
87'P. Bonacci
89'J. Gobetto INT. Ferreyra out

Team Comparison

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
QuilmesQuilmes
1582Elo Rating 1520
0.73Attack 0.82
2.36Defense 2.31
36%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
QuilmesQuilmes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
QuilmesQuilmes4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional05/04/2026
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
21
Primera Nacional21/06/2025
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
22
Primera Nacional16/02/2025
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
20
Primera Nacional13/10/2024
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
30
Primera Nacional26/05/2024
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
11
Primera Nacional27/08/2023
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
10
Primera Nacional16/04/2023
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
02
Primera Nacional08/10/2022
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
10
Primera Nacional22/08/2021
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
10
Primera Nacional11/04/2021
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
21

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Maipu and Quilmes in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Deportivo Maipu are 7th and Quilmes 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Maipu 43-34, Quilmes 32-30. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.