Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction
Ireland · Regular Season - 33
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: the result in context
Derry City beat St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 in the Premier Division on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Derry City
Avg ratingAvg rating
13T. Norcott
24B. Lyons-Foster
4J. Stott
3P. McClean
19B. Fleming
15J. Clarke
17N. Twisk
14E. Chapman
12D. Burns
29T. Smith
21K. Santos
94J. Anang
4J. Redmond
2S. Hoare
24L. Turner
6J. Lennon
7Z. Elbouzedi
10K. Leavy
19B. Baggley
3A. Breslin
21A. Olusanya
9A. KeenaDerry City Substitutes
St Patrick's Athl. Substitutes
Match Stats
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl. Team Comparison
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Derry City- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
St Patrick's Athl.- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Derry City4Wins · 40%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
02/08/2026St Patrick's Athl.Derry City22/05/2026Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.16/03/2026St Patrick's Athl.Derry City29/08/2025Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.23/06/2025St Patrick's Athl.Derry City05/05/2025Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.03/03/2025St Patrick's Athl.Derry City25/10/2024St Patrick's Athl.Derry City
21/07/2024Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.17/05/2024St Patrick's Athl.Derry CityRecent Form
Derry City
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
Galway UnitedDerry CityDerry CityGalway United
WaterfordDerry City
ShelbourneDerry CityDerry City
DundalkDerry City
Shamrock Rovers
BohemiansDerry City
UCDDerry CityDerry City
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.ShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.WaterfordDrogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock RoversShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.Derry CityReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 54% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59:38 | +21 | 68 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:44 | +19 | 65 | WLWLW |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 55:31 | +24 | 60 | LDLLW |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52:50 | +2 | 49 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50:47 | +3 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 55:59 | -4 | 45 | WLDLL |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 54:61 | -7 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | LDLWD |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 40 | WLWLL |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28:66 | -38 | 25 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 28:66 | 25 |
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About the Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. forecast
The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division table
St Patrick's Athl. and Derry City are close in the Premier Division table, 3rd and 5th, with 12 points between them. League goal record so far: Derry City 50-47, St Patrick's Athl. 55-31. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.