Doncaster vs Burton Albion Prediction

League OneEngland England · Regular Season - 10
Doncaster
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Burton Albion
Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster·Blair Harrison 10/10/2026
DoncasterDoncaster
1-0
Finished
Burton AlbionBurton Albion

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
Doncaster Rest
3 days
Burton Albion Rest
3 days

Doncaster vs Burton Albion: result, form and history

Doncaster beat Burton Albion 1-0 in the League One on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.69
X
25%3.95
2
22%4.53
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
47%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.1 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.88
Under 1.5
25%3.84
Under 2.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.49
Over 9.5
56%1.83
Over 10.5
45%2.35
Under 8.5
33%2.42
Under 9.5
44%1.87
Under 10.5
55%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

12'Jordan Thomas INT. Nixon out
39'Matthew DennisFoul
41'Owen BaileyFoul
45'Will Collar INToby Sibbick out
45+2'Leon AyindeAssist: Alfie May
70'Robbie GottsFoul
71'Matthew Dennis INGbemi Arubi out
71'Charlie Webster INKain Adom out
74'Brandon Hanlan INIsaac Hutchinson out
80'Leon Ayinde INHakeeb Adelakun out
80'Jack Armer INH. Araujo out
84'H. AraujoFoul
90'Hakeeb AdelakunTime wasting

Lineups

Doncaster
3-4-1-2Coach: G. McCann
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Bowyer
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.40
Tommy Simkin6.61T. Simkin
S. Grehan7.427S. Grehan
N. Byrne7.312N. Byrne
J. McGrath6.36J. McGrath
L. Ayinde8.111L. Ayinde
R. Gotts6.622R. Gotts
G. Broadbent7.28G. Broadbent
J. Thomas6.819J. Thomas
O. Bailey6.74O. Bailey
A. May6.710A. May
B. Hanlan6.59B. Hanlan
C. Addai5.734C. Addai
F. Delap7.326F. Delap
G. Evans6.412G. Evans
C. Tilt6.816C. Tilt
R. Borges Rodrigues6.717R. Borges Rodrigues
W. Collar6.314W. Collar
K. Chauke6.14K. Chauke
J. Armer6.03J. Armer
1818C. Vickers
C. Webster6.28C. Webster
M. Dennis6.519M. Dennis

Doncaster Substitutes

20D. Robinson
47H. Adelakun80'for Leon Ayinde90'6.3
42J. Clarke
15H. Clifton
50Dylan Hartley
21I. Hutchinson74'for Brandon Hanlan6.8
16T. Nixon12'for Jordan Thomas7.1

Burton Albion Substitutes

9G. Arubi71'for Matthew Dennis6.5
24Harvey Araujo80'for Jack Armer84'5.8
29Kain Adom71'replaced by Charlie Webster
32J. Kean
41Sulyman Krubally
6T. Sibbick45'for Will Collar6.6
20J. Sraha

Match Stats

DoncasterBurton Albion
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks12
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots20
1Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box16
7Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots10
7Fouls17
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
345Total Passes433
251Passes Accurate333
17Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

DoncasterDoncaster
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
1535Elo Rating 1557
1.03Attack 0.93
1.47Defense 2.18
37%Hit Rate 27%
13.0Shots per Game 15.4
2.7Shots on Target 4.7
5.4Corners per Game 6.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DoncasterDoncaster
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

DoncasterDoncaster3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Burton AlbionBurton Albion2Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

League One03/02/2026
Burton AlbionDoncaster
12
League One04/10/2025
DoncasterBurton Albion
11
League One23/04/2022
DoncasterBurton Albion
20
League One27/11/2021
Burton AlbionDoncaster
20
League One13/04/2021
DoncasterBurton Albion
03
League One19/12/2020
Burton AlbionDoncaster
13

Recent Form

DoncasterDoncaster
2W3D5L
06/10/2026
DoncasterLiverpool U21
10
W
19/09/2026
PeterboroughDoncaster
02
W
12/09/2026
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
10
L
08/09/2026
DoncasterHuddersfield
13
L
05/09/2026
DoncasterPlymouth
23
L
01/09/2026
DoncasterNotts County
11
D
29/08/2026
StevenageDoncaster
22
D
25/08/2026
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
13
L22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
Mansfield TownDoncaster
21
L
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
4W2D4L
06/10/2026
GrimsbyBurton Albion
2040
W
03/10/2026
Burton AlbionHuddersfield
13
L26/09/2026
PlymouthBurton Albion
01
W
22/09/2026
Burton AlbionNottingham Forest U21
3141
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
L
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
W
29/08/2026
Notts CountyBurton Albion
21
L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
4ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
6BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
14StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
16WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
4ReadingReading1325:1322
5Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
6BradfordBradford1310:822
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
13Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
14StevenageStevenage1115:1115
15Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
16WycombeWycombe1219:2315
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

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About the Doncaster vs Burton Albion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Doncaster and Burton Albion in the League One table

In the League One table, Burton Albion are 13th and Doncaster 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Doncaster 13-16, Burton Albion 18-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.