El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC Prediction

El Nacional
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Gualaceo SC
27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseHighGap-8.0%
El Nacional Rest
5 days
Gualaceo SC Rest
3 days

El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC: the result in context

El Nacional and Gualaceo SC drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro Serie B on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.97
X
25%3.38
2
45%2.10
Double Chance
1X
55%1.60
X2
70%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.60
No
40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.78 = 3.10
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.72
Over 3.5
36%2.78
Under 1.5
20%3.72
Under 2.5
42%1.95
Under 3.5
64%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+3'
56'

Team Comparison

El NacionalEl Nacional
Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC
1332Elo Rating 1497
1.80Attack 1.23
1.13Defense 2.05
17%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

El NacionalEl Nacional
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

El NacionalEl Nacional3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC4Wins · 45%
3.1Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Pro Serie B29/08/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
30
Liga Pro Serie B24/07/2026
El NacionalGualaceo SC
00
Liga Pro Serie B02/05/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
20
Liga Pro12/11/2023
El NacionalGualaceo SC
42
Liga Pro05/06/2023
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
34
Liga Pro Serie B07/10/2021
El NacionalGualaceo SC
42
Liga Pro Serie B11/08/2021
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
10
Liga Pro Serie B17/06/2021
El NacionalGualaceo SC
11
Liga Pro Serie B06/05/2021
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
10

Recent Form

El NacionalEl Nacional
2W1D7L
Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC
5W4D1L
24/10/2026
Gualaceo SCSanto Domingo
11
D
17/10/2026
LDU PortoviejoGualaceo SC
00
D
10/10/2026
Gualaceo SCCumbayá
11
D
03/10/2026
Gualaceo SC22 de Julio
42
W
27/09/2026
Santo DomingoGualaceo SC
01
W
25/09/2026
Gualaceo SCIndependiente del Valle
02
L
19/09/2026
Gualaceo SCLDU Portoviejo
00
D
10/09/2026
CumbayáGualaceo SC
01
W
04/09/2026
22 de JulioGualaceo SC
03
W
29/08/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
30
W

League Table

Liga Pro Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors22109328:16+1239DDWWW
2Atletico FCAtletico FC22911225:14+1138WDLWD
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre22910322:14+837DDLDW
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334LWLDD
5CuniburoCuniburo2287725:17+831DDWLL
6San AntonioSan Antonio22710524:21+331DWWWD
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2278719:16+329WDLLD
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo22610617:16+128DDWDL
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527WDDLW
10CumbayáCumbayá22511622:22026LDDDD
1122 de Julio22 de Julio22431510:31-2115LLLLL
12El NacionalEl Nacional22261415:32-1712DLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors2228:1639
2Atletico FCAtletico FC2225:1438
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre2222:1437
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2220:2334
5CuniburoCuniburo2225:1731
6San AntonioSan Antonio2224:2131
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2219:1629
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo2217:1628
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2217:2227
10CumbayáCumbayá2222:2226
1122 de Julio22 de Julio2210:3115
12El NacionalEl Nacional2215:3212

About the El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

El Nacional and Gualaceo SC in the Liga Pro Serie B table

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, Gualaceo SC are 7th and El Nacional 12th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: El Nacional 15-32, Gualaceo SC 19-16. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.