FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
FBC Melgar Rest
7 days
FC Cajamarca Rest
8 days
FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca: result, form and history
FC Cajamarca beat FBC Melgar 4-2 in the Primera División on 9 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: FBC Melgar had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for FC Cajamarca.
FBC Melgar tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.1 for FC Cajamarca.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
176%1.28
X18%5.10
26%9.80
Double Chance
1X94%1.05
X224%3.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.93
No53%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 0.72 = 2.85
Over 1.581%1.16
Over 2.563%1.55
Over 3.537%2.39
Under 1.519%4.67
Under 2.537%2.30
Under 3.563%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.4 = 9
Over 8.553%1.75
Over 9.538%2.13
Over 10.529%2.82
Under 8.547%1.95
Under 9.562%1.62
Under 10.571%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
10'J. Vidales
24'M. Arrasco(Penalty missed)
25'M. RasmussenAssist: M. Arrasco
39'M. RasmussenFoul
45+1'C. A. Correa FloresFoul
51'A. DeneumostierFoul
55'M. ArrascoAssist: C. Meza
57'C. Meza
59'M. Rasmussen INJ. Betancourt out
60'C. Bordacahar INJ. Caceres out
60'N. Cabanillas INM. Zegarra out
60'W. Tandazo INM. Portillo out
67'J. VidalesAssist: B. Cuesta
68'M. ArrascoDelay of game
68'C. A. Correa Flores INE. Aubert out
68'M. PortilloFoul
72'N. Quagliata INF. Zanelatto out
73'R. SuarezFoul
74'C. Meza
86'M. Arrasco INC. Gomez out
86'C. Meza INJ. Vega out
90+7'A. DeneumostierUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+8'M. LazoFoul
Lineups
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
4-4-2Coach: Rafael Ayala Gavilan CelsoAvg ratingAvg rating
21J. Cabezudo
33M. Lazo
5A. Deneumostier
3L. González
7C. Bordacahar
24W. Tandazo
25K. Minda
27N. Cabanillas
10N. Quagliata
11J. Vidales
C9B. Cuesta
12S. Aspajo
5R. Suárez
2A. Pósito
95Y. Vílchez
31S. Enciso
20C. Meza
C18J. Orejuela
13C. Correa
6M. Rasmussen
17B. Palacios
11M. ArrascoFBC Melgar Substitutes
12Carlos Cáceda
90Jesus Alcantar
8Lautaro Guzmán
77Franco Zanelatto72'for N. Quagliata
80Jhamir D'Arrigo
20Gian García
26Marcos Portillo60'for W. Tandazo68'
16Jefferson Caceres60'for C. Bordacahar
45Matías Zegarra60'for N. Cabanillas
FC Cajamarca Substitutes
3Jonathan Medina
44Carlos Gómez
14Arthur Gutiérrez
26Hairo Timaná
27Jonathan Betancourt
21John Vega86'for C. Meza
88Edson Aubert68'for C. A. Correa Flores
32Patrick Alegría
7Sebastien Pineau
Match Stats
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca 70%Ball Possession30%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
19Total Shots16
7Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box9
7Blocked Shots3
7Fouls16
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
475Total Passes211
405Passes Accurate150
85%Pass Accuracy71%
Team Comparison
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca1690Elo Rating 1426
1.98Attack 0.87
1.64Defense 0.80
42%Hit Rate 0%
14.9Shots per Game 12.9
6.2Shots on Target 5.1
5.4Corners per Game 3.1
2.1Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+263 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FBC Melgar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
FBC Melgar0Wins · 0%Draws00%
FC Cajamarca1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
21/02/2026FC CajamarcaFBC Melgar31
Recent Form
FBC Melgar4W5D1L
02/08/2026
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoFBC MelgarFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
W18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
L31/05/2026FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
W22/05/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar11
D16/05/2026FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC MelgarSport Huancayo41
W10/05/2026
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar11
DFC Cajamarca3W4D3L
01/08/2026FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
Deportivo GarcilasoFC CajamarcaFC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II CollegeFC Cajamarca
Deportivo Llacuabamba
FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo02
L27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
L17/07/2026FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College22
D26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
20/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
LFC CajamarcaDeportivo Llacuabamba11
D31/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
D15/05/2026FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal31
W08/05/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca12
W02/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC CajamarcaSport Boys32
WReferee Profile
5.31Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).
Cards come from 87 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UTC Cajamarca vs ADT 08/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau 08/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima 09/08/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua 09/08/26
- Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos 14/08/26
- Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College 15/08/26
- ADT vs Alianza Atletico 15/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar 15/08/26
About the FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FBC Melgar and FC Cajamarca in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: FBC Melgar are 3rd in the Primera División, while FC Cajamarca sit 17th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: FBC Melgar 54-37, FC Cajamarca 44-60. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FBC Melgar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FBC Melgar and FC Cajamarca have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.