UTC Cajamarca vs ADT Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.46
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
UTC Cajamarca Rest
6 days
ADT Rest
5 days
UTC Cajamarca vs ADT: the result in context
UTC Cajamarca and ADT drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.15
X28%3.25
225%3.25
Double Chance
1X75%1.30
X253%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.78
No47%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 0.96 = 2.44
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.548%1.96
Over 3.526%3.45
Under 1.529%3.25
Under 2.552%1.76
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.9 = 9.1
Over 8.553%1.82
Over 9.539%2.27
Over 10.529%3.00
Under 8.547%1.91
Under 9.561%1.55
Under 10.571%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
11'Marco Aldair Rodríguez INHernán Rengifo out
21'Goal cancelledAdolfo Muñoz
22'Gilmar ParedesFoul
26'Adolfo MuñozFoul
45'Goal cancelledDavid Camacho
57'David Dioses INAbdiel Arroyo out
68'Jeremy CanelaAssist: Jhojan Garcilazo
72'Francesco Cavagna INCarlos Junior Huerto out
72'Luis Garro INLuis Arce out
76'Hernán Rengifo INSaid Peralta out
78'Arquímedes FigueraFoul
80'Dylan Caro INMarlon de Jesús out
85'Jeremy Canela INLeonardo Rugel out
85'Jonathan Bauman INJair Reyes out
88'Orlando NuñezArgument
90+1'Said PeraltaFoul
90+9'Ignacio BarriosViolent conduct
90+9'Joaquin PereyraViolent conduct
90+15'Goal confirmedMarlon de Jesús
90+18'Marcos Lliuya(Penalty)
90+19'Juan ValenciaFoul
Lineups
UTC CajamarcaADT
Coach: Francisco UsucarUTC Cajamarca Starting XI
29Ignacio BarriosC90+9'
17Luis Garro72'replaced by Luis Arce
3Manuel Ganoza
6Francesco Cavagna72'replaced by Carlos Junior Huerto
13Dylan Caro80'replaced by Marlon de Jesús
16Arquímedes Figuera78'
22David Camacho
35Gilmar Paredes22'
8David Dioses57'replaced by Abdiel Arroyo
19Adolfo Muñoz26'
10Marcos Lliuya90+18'
Avg rating
ADT Starting XI
30Juan Valencia90+19'
6Ángel Ojeda
99Joaquin Pereyra90+9'
44Horacio Benincasa
59Orlando Nuñez88'
26Jhojan Garcilazo
15Josué Alvino
16Luis PérezC
80Jeremy Canela68'85'replaced by Leonardo Rugel
22Marco Aldair Rodríguez11'replaced by Hernán Rengifo
32Jonathan Bauman85'replaced by Jair Reyes
Avg rating
UTC Cajamarca Substitutes
11Abdiel Arroyo57'for David Dioses
5Carlos Junior Huerto72'for Francesco Cavagna
88Luis Arce72'for Luis Garro
9Marlon de Jesús80'for Dylan Caro
21Ricardo Bettocchi
7Jhosep Nuñez
18Santiago Gálvez
ADT Substitutes
9Hernán Rengifo11'for Marco Aldair Rodríguez76'for Said Peralta
24Said Peralta76'replaced by Hernán Rengifo90+1'
3Leonardo Rugel85'for Jeremy Canela
2Jair Reyes85'for Jonathan Bauman
33Carlos Solis
31Jerry Navarro
28Jhair Soto
27Alexander Hidalgo
25Sinclair García
Match Stats
UTC CajamarcaADT 68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
16Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box7
12Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots5
9Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
478Total Passes233
419Passes Accurate174
88%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
UTC CajamarcaADT1434Elo Rating 1491
1.32Attack 0.96
1.49Defense 1.68
27%Hit Rate 27%
13.5Shots per Game 18.9
5.6Shots on Target 6.1
3.2Corners per Game 4.7
2.5Cards per Game 4.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UTC Cajamarca- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
ADT- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
UTC Cajamarca2Wins · 22%Draws445%
ADT3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%2.4Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
22/02/2026ADTUTC Cajamarca22
16/09/2025ADTUTC Cajamarca31
20/04/2025UTC CajamarcaADT01
20/08/2024UTC CajamarcaADT11
16/03/2024ADTUTC Cajamarca21
28/08/2023ADTUTC Cajamarca00
08/04/2023UTC CajamarcaADT10
20/10/2022UTC CajamarcaADT22
19/06/2022ADTUTC Cajamarca12
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca2W4D4L
02/08/2026
CuscoUTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca
CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
L26/07/2026UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
L12/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
Deportiva Agropecuaria
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria41
W26/06/2026UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
15/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
WDeportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca22
D31/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca22
D23/05/2026UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys00
D17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca20
L08/05/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca12
LADT3W1D6L
02/08/2026ADTDeportivo GarcilasoSport BoysADTADT
Universitario
Sport HuancayoADT
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
L25/07/2026Sport BoysADT20
L18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
L10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
26/06/2026CiencianoADT23
WSport HuancayoADT10
L19/06/2026ADT
Alianza Universidad
ADTAlianza Universidad31
W12/06/2026
MinasADT
MinasADT00
D30/05/2026ADTCusco
ADTCusco12
L24/05/2026
Sporting CristalADT
Sporting CristalADT21
L17/05/2026ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
ADTComerciantes Unidos20
WReferee Profile
5.87Cards per match
5.43Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
34.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.87 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano 06/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 07/08/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco 07/08/26
- Universitario vs Sporting Cristal 08/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau 08/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima 09/08/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua 09/08/26
- FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca 09/08/26
About the UTC Cajamarca vs ADT forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UTC Cajamarca and ADT in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, ADT are 15th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: UTC Cajamarca 36-55, ADT 33-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.