Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 07/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Cusco Rest
5 days
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco: result, form and history
Comerciantes Unidos beat Cusco 3-1 in the Primera División on 7 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Cusco had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Comerciantes Unidos.
Cusco have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.53
X27%3.22
233%2.65
Double Chance
1X67%1.42
X260%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.73
No39%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.35 = 2.69
Over 1.581%1.29
Over 2.558%1.95
Over 3.535%3.40
Under 1.519%3.27
Under 2.542%1.80
Under 3.565%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.79
Over 9.546%2.22
Over 10.532%2.93
Under 8.541%1.92
Under 9.554%1.55
Under 10.568%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.4 = 5.2
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
26'F. CallejoAssist: L. Colitto
33'F. AlcedoFoul
49'L. Colitto INN. Silva out
61'M. P. Carpio Ferro INW. Ayovi out
68'A. FuentesFoul
72'Miguel Silveira INHerrera Joel out
72'J. Herrera INT. Salinas out
72'A. Rodriguez INJ. Olivares out
73'F. AlcedoAssist: W. Ayovi
76'J. RodriguezFoul
78'F. Callejo INJ. Tevez out
78'C. Diez IND. Soto out
84'I. ColmanFoul
86'M. SenAssist: R. Vilca
89'J. RodriguezFoul
89'J. RodriguezFoul
90'R. Vilca INP. Guzman out
90'M. Sen INE. M. Perez Azambuya out
90+5'N. Silva INC. Gamarra out
90+8'A. CossioAssist: J. Olivares
Lineups
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
4-1-4-1Coach: Alejandro OrfilaAvg ratingAvg rating
17M. Córdova
16F. Rojas
40F. Alcedo
6J. Rodríguez
15A. Cossio
4A. Arias
18A. Rodriguez
11J. Herrera
25R. Vilca
10M. Carpio
C9M. Sen
28P. Diaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
6A. Ampuero
3R. Lagos
55J. Carlos Montaño
22L. Colitto
14C. Diez
C10I. Colman
99M. Silveira
9F. CallejoComerciantes Unidos Substitutes
99José Charún
30Piero Guzmán90'for R. Vilca
19Daniel Lino
20José Parodi
28Óscar Pinto
14Thiago Salinas72'replaced by J. Herrera
8Wilter Ayoví61'for M. P. Carpio Ferro
50Jean Carlo Olivares
13Maximiliano Pérez90'for M. Sen
Cusco Substitutes
26Nicolás Silva49'for L. Colitto90+5'for C. Gamarra
13Andy Vidal
15Jose Bolivar
2Carlos Gamarra90+5'replaced by N. Silva
7José Miguel Manzaneda
16Oswaldo Valenzuela
88Diego Soto78'for C. Diez
11Juan Tévez78'for F. Callejo
77Joel Herrera72'for Miguel Silveira
Match Stats
Comerciantes UnidosCusco 42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total Passes455
257Passes Accurate374
79%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Comerciantes UnidosCusco1540Elo Rating 1628
1.65Attack 1.60
1.27Defense 1.91
23%Hit Rate 64%
18.0Shots per Game 13.5
7.2Shots on Target 4.3
5.2Corners per Game 3.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cusco- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Comerciantes Unidos1Wins · 14%Draws114%
Cusco5Wins · 72%
5Wins · 72%3.0Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
23/02/2026CuscoComerciantes Unidos31
13/10/2025CuscoComerciantes Unidos11
24/05/2025Comerciantes UnidosCusco12
14/09/2024CuscoComerciantes Unidos21
08/04/2024Comerciantes UnidosCusco01
25/09/2022Comerciantes UnidosCusco21
26/06/2022CuscoComerciantes Unidos32
Recent Form
Comerciantes Unidos0W5D5L
31/07/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos32
L26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
D11/06/2026
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos
Deportiva AgropecuariaComerciantes Unidos20
L31/05/2026
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos
Sport BoysComerciantes Unidos10
L25/05/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso00
D17/05/2026
ADTComerciantes Unidos
ADTComerciantes Unidos20
L10/05/2026Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar11
D03/05/2026
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos10
LCusco4W1D5L
02/08/2026Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UniversitarioCuscoCusco
Alianza AtleticoDeportivo GarcilasoCusco
CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
W25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
L19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
W29/06/2026CuscoCienciano
CuscoCienciano12
L22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
15/06/2026Deportivo BinacionalCusco43
LDeportivo GarcilasoCusco00
D30/05/2026ADTCusco
ADTCusco12
W27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
FlamengoCusco30
L24/05/2026Cusco
Atletico Grau
CuscoAtletico Grau10
W21/05/2026Cusco
Independiente Medellin
CuscoIndependiente Medellin23
LLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar 02/08/26
- Cienciano vs Universitario 03/08/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano 06/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 07/08/26
- Universitario vs Sporting Cristal 08/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs ADT 08/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau 08/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima 09/08/26
About the Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Comerciantes Unidos and Cusco in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Cusco are 5th and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 42-45, Cusco 46-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cusco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.