FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske Prediction

FC Midtjylland
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Sonderjyske
MCH Arena, Herning·Morten Krogh 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+1.1%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
FC Midtjylland Rest
2 days
Sonderjyske Rest
5 days

FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske: the result in context

FC Midtjylland and Sonderjyske drew 2-2 in the Superliga on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Midtjylland have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.31
X
16%5.50
2
13%7.58
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
28%3.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.45 + 0.96 = 3.41
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
68%1.40
Over 3.5
47%2.00
Under 1.5
14%6.48
Under 2.5
32%2.88
Under 3.5
53%1.77
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.42
Over 9.5
60%1.73
Over 10.5
49%2.17
Under 8.5
29%2.60
Under 9.5
40%2.00
Under 10.5
51%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%1.95
Over 4.5
24%2.90
Under 3.5
58%1.78
Under 4.5
76%1.38

Match Events

2'Anders BergholtAssist: Marcus Bundgaard
24'Maxime SoulasOG
28'Ousmane DiaoFoul
35'Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg INRasmus Vinderslev out
45'Ousmane Diao INRasmus Kristensen out
45+3'Rasmus VinderslevDissent
50'Mike TullbergDissent
56'Anders BergholtAssist: Stefan Velkov
57'Pedro Bravo INDenil Castillo out
60'Sefer EminiFoul
67'Sefer Emini INAndreas Oggesen out
67'Anders Bergholt INTobias Klysner Breuner out
67'Victor Bak Jensen INJulius Emefile out
67'Kjell-Arik Wätjen INCho Gue-sung out
70'Mohamed CherifFoul
78'Sofus Johannesen
78'Alexander Munksgaard INBrynjar Ingi Bjarnason out
78'Mohamed Cherif INMatthew Hoppe out
86'Andreas OggesenTime wasting
89'Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonFoul

Lineups

FC Midtjylland
3-4-1-2Coach: M. Tullberg
Sonderjyske
4-3-3Coach: S. Poulsen
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.41
O. Ejeheri6.230O. Ejeheri
A. Maxsø6.82A. Maxsø
O. Diao6.24O. Diao
M. Bech7.022M. Bech
S. Johannesen8.227S. Johannesen
P. Billing6.98P. Billing
P. Bravo6.319P. Bravo
V. Bak Jensen6.555V. Bak Jensen
K. Wätjen6.129K. Wätjen
M. Rajović6.59M. Rajović
F. Etim6.790F. Etim
M. Bundgaard6.916M. Bundgaard
A. Munksgaard6.13A. Munksgaard
M. Soulas5.812M. Soulas
S. Velkov7.321S. Velkov
P. Kristensen6.019P. Kristensen
A. Hoeg6.117A. Hoeg
M. Olesen6.310M. Olesen
S. Emini6.47S. Emini
M. Haidara6.28M. Haidara
O. De Rosario6.211O. De Rosario
A. Pedersen9.128A. Pedersen

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

15B. Dje Bi Dje
21D. Castillo57'for Pedro Bravo6.3
10Cho Gue-Sung67'for Kjell-Arik Wätjen6.6
20Hong Hyun-Seok
18S. Iheanacho
5R. Kristensen45'for Ousmane Diao6.6
60M. Ugboh
17M. Uhre
38J. Emefile67'for Victor Bak Jensen6.4

Sonderjyske Substitutes

14T. Haltvik
9M. Hoppe78'for Mohamed Cherif6.5
20T. Klysner67'for Anders Bergholt6.1
22A. Oggesen67'for Sefer Emini86'5.9
24N. Shinton
26B. Tambedou
6R. Vinderslev35'for Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg45+3'5.9
33J. Christensen
25B. Bjarnason78'for Alexander Munksgaard89'5.8

Match Stats

FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards5
21Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
9Fouls20
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
447Total Passes271
357Passes Accurate180
19Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
1777Elo Rating 1486
1.84Attack 1.57
0.26Defense 0.54
59%Hit Rate 34%
14.3Shots per Game 12.1
4.6Shots on Target 4.8
3.0Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+291 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.41 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
SonderjyskeSonderjyske3Wins · 30%
4.4Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga26/07/2026
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
23
Superliga23/04/2026
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
12
Superliga04/04/2026
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
22
Superliga23/11/2025
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
21
Superliga28/07/2025
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
62
Superliga20/10/2024
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
32
Superliga24/08/2024
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
32
Superliga24/10/2021
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
32
Superliga13/08/2021
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
02
DBU Pokalen15/04/2021
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
31

Referee Profile

Morten Krogh164 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Morten Krogh4.13
Other referees4.02

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).

Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen14102229:12+1732WWDDL
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1495029:17+1232DWWWW
3ViborgViborg1482422:13+926WWLLW
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1465326:18+823WLDDD
5BrondbyBrondby1471623:21+222LWWLW
6OdenseOdense1445516:19-317LWDWD
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1444623:23016LLWDD
8AarhusAarhus1436519:21-215WLWDW
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1436518:24-615WLDLD
10LyngbyLyngby1425719:29-1011LWLDL
11Randers FCRanders FC1432914:27-1311LLLDL
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1423919:33-149DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1429:1232
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1429:1732
3ViborgViborg1422:1326
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1426:1823
5BrondbyBrondby1423:2122
6OdenseOdense1416:1917
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1423:2316
8AarhusAarhus1419:2115
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1418:2415
10LyngbyLyngby1419:2911
11Randers FCRanders FC1414:2711
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1419:339
Relegation

About the FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Midtjylland and Sonderjyske in the Superliga table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Midtjylland are 2nd in the Superliga, while Sonderjyske sit 12th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Midtjylland 29-17, Sonderjyske 19-33. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.