FC OSS vs MVV Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 9
FC OSS
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
MVV
Frans Heesen Stadion, Os 03/10/2026
FC OSSFC OSS
4-1
Finished
MVVMVV

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
FC OSS Rest
6 days
MVV Rest
6 days

FC OSS vs MVV: the result in context

FC OSS beat MVV 4-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.25
X
27%3.46
2
32%2.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
59%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.37 = 3.11
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.68
Over 3.5
36%2.62
Under 1.5
20%4.20
Under 2.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
64%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.2 = 10
Over 8.5
67%1.33
Over 9.5
55%1.60
Over 10.5
45%2.02
Under 8.5
33%2.83
Under 9.5
45%2.11
Under 10.5
55%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

27'Toni VinogradacAssist: Robert Klaasen
39'Mauresmo HinokeAssist: Justin Mathieu
51'Mauresmo HinokeAssist: Justin Mathieu
53'Mauresmo HinokeAssist: Franslyn Nsingi
60'Mauresmo Hinoke INMaurilio de Lannoy out
68'Delano Asante INYael Liesdek out
68'Robert Klaasen INMika Luijendijk out
68'Noa El Hamdaoui INOnesime Zimuangana out
70'Franslyn Nsingi INAndy Visser out
70'K. Lubrano INJacey Pansa out
70'Justin Mathieu INJafar Bynoe out
76'Maurilio de LannoyAssist: Jacey Pansa
79'Richard van der Venne INLars Mol out

Lineups

FC OSS
4-3-3Coach: S. Ultee
MVV
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Jonker
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.45
M. Havekotte6.11M. Havekotte
I. Pata6.32I. Pata
L. Miguel6.23L. Miguel
D. Vianello6.923D. Vianello
Julian Kuijpers6.026J. Kuijpers
J. Mathieu7.211J. Mathieu
R. van der Venne6.410R. van der Venne
M. Esajas6.18M. Esajas
1818K. Lubrano
F. Nsingi7.119F. Nsingi
M. Hinoke9.717M. Hinoke
H. Wentges5.71H. Wentges
D. Asante5.821D. Asante
F. Dicke7.16F. Dicke
Sven Bouland5.922S. Bouland
S. Wegen6.717S. Wegen
E. Sierra6.318E. Sierra
R. Klaasen7.016R. Klaasen
N. El Hamdaoui6.624N. El Hamdaoui
O. Dumont6.110O. Dumont
L. Daneels6.77L. Daneels
T. Vinogradac7.99T. Vinogradac

FC OSS Substitutes

6M. Horemans
30S. Jansen
21Thomas Cox
4Q. Jansen
24Jay Kuiper
28L. Mol79'for Richard van der Venne6.2
25J. Pansa70'replaced by K. Lubrano6.9
16D. Remie
9Andy Visser70'for Franslyn Nsingi6.7
33L. Zonneveld
27M. de Lannoy60'for Mauresmo Hinoke76'7.5
5Jafar Howard Bynoe70'for Justin Mathieu6.5

MVV Substitutes

11T. Verheijen
12S. van der Heijden
27Naïm Matoug
25Yael Liesdek68'replaced by Delano Asante
14M. Kuipers
29O. Zimuangana68'for Noa El Hamdaoui6.4
13S. Timmers
19Mika Luijendijk68'replaced by Robert Klaasen
31Yanis Bourard

Match Stats

FC OSSMVV
32%Ball Possession68%
3Corner Kicks7
9Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots3
18Fouls16
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
255Total Passes550
163Passes Accurate471
16Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

FC OSSFC OSS
MVVMVV
1498Elo Rating 1454
2.28Attack 1.22
1.23Defense 0.46
36%Hit Rate 14%
13.3Shots per Game 9.8
4.7Shots on Target 2.8
5.4Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC OSSFC OSS
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MVVMVV
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC OSSFC OSS3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
MVVMVV5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie24/04/2026
MVVFC OSS
02
Eerste Divisie08/08/2025
FC OSSMVV
40
Eerste Divisie10/01/2025
FC OSSMVV
10
Eerste Divisie27/09/2024
MVVFC OSS
22
Eerste Divisie22/12/2023
MVVFC OSS
20
Eerste Divisie10/11/2023
FC OSSMVV
01
Eerste Divisie10/02/2023
MVVFC OSS
51
Eerste Divisie07/10/2022
FC OSSMVV
01
Eerste Divisie06/05/2022
FC OSSMVV
01
Eerste Divisie03/12/2021
MVVFC OSS
11

Recent Form

FC OSSFC OSS
2W1D7L
26/09/2026
EmmenFC OSS
10
L18/09/2026
FC OSSDordrecht
30
W
11/09/2026
VVV VenloFC OSS
31
L
04/09/2026
VitesseFC OSS
21
L
28/08/2026
FC OSSJong Utrecht
21
W
24/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC OSS
10
L
15/08/2026
FC VolendamFC OSS
30
L07/08/2026
FC OSSNAC Breda
12
L
01/08/2026
GenkFC OSS
31
L
25/07/2026
Almere City FCFC OSS
22
D
MVVMVV
6W1D3L
26/09/2026
MVVHelmond Sport
20
W
18/09/2026
WaalwijkMVV
61
L
11/09/2026
MVVAlmere City FC
04
L
06/09/2026
MVVRoda
11
D
28/08/2026
Jong AZMVV
12
W
25/08/2026
KRC Genk IIMVV
60
L
21/08/2026
MVVFC Volendam
10
W14/08/2026
FC EindhovenMVV
23
W09/08/2026
MVVJong Utrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
MVVPatro Eisden
5141
W

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the FC OSS vs MVV forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC OSS and MVV in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, MVV are 10th and FC OSS 14th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: FC OSS 19-20, MVV 16-27. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.