Den Bosch vs Dordrecht Prediction

Den Bosch
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dordrecht
Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Den Bosch Rest
6 days
Dordrecht Rest
7 days

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht: the result in context

Den Bosch and Dordrecht drew 1-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dordrecht have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.91
X
24%3.92
2
30%3.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.29
X2
55%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.33
No
33%3.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.3 = 3.09
Over 1.5
86%1.06
Over 2.5
68%1.33
Over 3.5
47%1.85
Under 1.5
14%6.80
Under 2.5
32%3.22
Under 3.5
53%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
67%1.23
Over 9.5
55%1.43
Over 10.5
43%1.74
Under 8.5
33%3.45
Under 9.5
45%2.52
Under 10.5
57%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

52'Wang Bohao INSheddy Barglan out
53'Senne VugtsFoul
55'Senne VugtsAssist: ayoub ouarghi
62'Dario Sits
62'Dario Sits INjoey bie de out
62'Senne Vugts INSiginhio Gerardo-Felicia out
71'Jeffry Fortes INEmian-Johar Semedo out
71'Silvan Bröker INLorenzo Hoffman out
71'Jack de Vries INJari Kruijff De out
77'nicolas rossi INLucas Gardenier out
81'Beni Christophe Mpanzu
82'Kevin Monzialo(Penalty)
90'ayoub ouarghi INAdil Lechkar out

Lineups

Den Bosch
4-3-3Coach: Bart Schreuder
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1Coach: Paul Nuijten
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.55
P. van de Merbel6.21P. van de Merbel
Jeffry Fortes6.522J. Fortes
Silvan Broker7.325S. Broker
S. Maas6.63S. Maas
M. Laros7.133M. Laros
H. Eikelboom6.818H. Eikelboom
Devon Decorte6.410D. Decorte
Wang Bohao6.416W. Bohao
J. De Vries6.511J. De Vries
S. Karlsson Grach6.39S. Karlsson Grach
K. Monzialo7.38K. Monzialo
T. Coremans6.528T. Coremans
J. van Aken6.422J. van Aken
J. Pinas6.54J. Pinas
S. Henderikx6.93S. Henderikx
C. Mpanzu6.15C. Mpanzu
Senne Vugts7.18S. Vugts
L. Riccio6.16L. Riccio
N. Rossi6.211N. Rossi
M. Vetkal6.721M. Vetkal
A. Ouarghi7.610A. Ouarghi
D. Šits6.377D. Šits

Den Bosch Substitutes

66R. van Balsfoort
27L. Hoffman71'for Silvan Bröker
2S. Barglan52'for Wang Bohao6.7
55G. Hessels
21F. Murre
17E. Semedo71'for Jeffry Fortes6.6
7G. Sille
56Jari De Kruijff
41K. de Rooij
4J. van Heertum

Dordrecht Substitutes

44B. Hardley
15Y. M'Bemba
29Siginho Gerardo62'for Senne Vugts6.5
2A. Lechkar90'for ayoub ouarghi6.4
13Dean Hogervorst
51Lucas Gardenier77'replaced by nicolas rossi
1Finn Oldenstam
16L. Román
23L. Woudenberg
9J. de Bie6.5

Match Stats

Den BoschDordrecht
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots7
12Fouls21
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
383Total Passes343
313Passes Accurate265
20Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Den BoschDen Bosch
DordrechtDordrecht
1499Elo Rating 1441
1.36Attack 1.36
1.93Defense 0.89
42%Hit Rate 37%
14.4Shots per Game 11.5
4.2Shots on Target 3.4
6.5Corners per Game 5.9
1.4Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Den BoschDen Bosch
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DordrechtDordrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Den BoschDen Bosch2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
DordrechtDordrecht6Wins · 60%
4.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie23/01/2026
DordrechtDen Bosch
32
Eerste Divisie12/09/2025
Den BoschDordrecht
33
Eerste Divisie12/04/2025
DordrechtDen Bosch
40
Eerste Divisie01/12/2024
Den BoschDordrecht
23
Eerste Divisie29/03/2024
Den BoschDordrecht
03
Eerste Divisie27/10/2023
DordrechtDen Bosch
51
Eerste Divisie17/03/2023
Den BoschDordrecht
31
Eerste Divisie09/09/2022
DordrechtDen Bosch
21
Eerste Divisie08/04/2022
Den BoschDordrecht
30
Eerste Divisie22/10/2021
DordrechtDen Bosch
33

Recent Form

Den BoschDen Bosch
4W1D5L
27/09/2026
De GraafschapDen Bosch
10
L
18/09/2026
Den BoschHelmond Sport
21
W
13/09/2026
FC VolendamDen Bosch
20
L
07/09/2026
Jong PSV U21Den Bosch
31
L
28/08/2026
Den BoschVitesse
14
L
21/08/2026
Den BoschFC Eindhoven
52
W
14/08/2026
HeraclesDen Bosch
32
L
08/08/2026
Den BoschAlmere City FC
11
D
31/07/2026
Den BoschAl-Fayha
20
W
24/07/2026
Den BoschLusail City
21
W
DordrechtDordrecht
2W2D6L
25/09/2026
DordrechtAlmere City FC
32
W
18/09/2026
FC OSSDordrecht
30
L
11/09/2026
FC EindhovenDordrecht
21
L
05/09/2026
DordrechtJong AZ
36
L
28/08/2026
FC VolendamDordrecht
61
L
21/08/2026
DordrechtRoda
01
L
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D
07/08/2026
DordrechtJong Ajax
21
W
01/08/2026
DordrechtRSC Anderlecht II
02
L
25/07/2026
DordrechtAl Khaleej Saihat
22
D

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

About the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Den Bosch and Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Den Bosch are 13th and Dordrecht 18th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Den Bosch 18-21, Dordrecht 16-31. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Den Bosch have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.