FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 9
FC Eindhoven
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven 03/10/2026
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
2-2
Finished
De GraafschapDe Graafschap

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-7.0%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
FC Eindhoven Rest
7 days
De Graafschap Rest
6 days

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: result, form and history

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap drew 2-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. De Graafschap tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.3 for FC Eindhoven.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.80
X
26%3.72
2
41%2.22
Double Chance
1X
59%1.61
X2
67%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.39
No
35%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.25 = 2.52
Over 1.5
81%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.40
Over 3.5
40%2.10
Under 1.5
19%6.00
Under 2.5
39%2.74
Under 3.5
60%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.33
Over 9.5
48%1.61
Over 10.5
37%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.83
Under 9.5
52%2.13
Under 10.5
63%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

22'Rayan·BuifrahiAssist: Raf van de Riet
24'Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
46'Bjorn van Zijl INgabriele finocchiaro out
53'gabriele finocchiaroAssist: Mark Diemers
60'Hugo Deenen INAmir Bryson out
60'Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff INThomas Kok out
60'Luc Netten INClint Essers out
68'Julian kania INKyano Kwint out
68'Mark Diemers INJorn Triep out
70'Kyano KwintAssist: Fedde De Jong
70'Xander Blomme INNiek Munsters out
72'Siegert BaartmansAssist: Guus Beaumont
77'Raf van de Riet
77'Rayan·Buifrahi
77'Nolan Martens
85'Donny Warmerdam INJoran Hardeman out
89'Kevin van Veen INantonio bazdaric out
90'gijs bolk

Lineups

FC Eindhoven
4-4-2Coach: Jan Poortvliet
De Graafschap
4-3-2-1Coach: T. Duivenvoorden
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.71
J. Borgmans6.21J. Borgmans
L. Netten5.717L. Netten
Predrag Jevtić6.74P. Jevtić
O. Renfrum6.644O. Renfrum
Raf van de Riet6.320R. van de Riet
R. Buifrahi8.128R. Buifrahi
G. Beaumont7.76G. Beaumont
X. Blomme6.48X. Blomme
H. Deenen6.17H. Deenen
K. van Veen6.49K. van Veen
Kevin Ferreira8.019K. Ferreira
T. Wieggers7.61T. Wieggers
J. Wieckhoff6.22J. Wieckhoff
Gijs Bolk5.614G. Bolk
R. Besselink6.83R. Besselink
N. Martens6.816N. Martens
D. Warmerdam6.68D. Warmerdam
K. Symons6.921K. Symons
M. Diemers7.723M. Diemers
F. de Jong7.010F. de Jong
Bjorn van Zijl5.97B. van Zijl
J. Kania6.59J. Kania

FC Eindhoven Substitutes

18Antonio Baždarić89'for Kevin van Veen6.0
10Lasse Abildgaard
13A. Bryson60'for Hugo Deenen6.8
22C. Essers60'for Luc Netten6.1
32M. Hoek
14N. Munsters70'for Xander Blomme6.1
5R. Boon
21A. Ozcan
31N. Janssen
30N. Fancito
27E. Eksi
23Gideon Constancia

De Graafschap Substitutes

17N. Kaninda
15T. Kok60'for Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff6.3
40Kyano Kwint68'for Julian kania70'7.9
22P. Reverson
5L. Schoppema
28J. Triep68'for Mark Diemers6.1
27N. Ahmeti-Grainca
31R. Jonkers
34Nic Hartgers
4J. Hardeman85'for Donny Warmerdam6.1
20Gabriele Finocchiaro46'for Bjorn van Zijl53'7.5
18Denzel Eijken

Match Stats

FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
41%Ball Possession59%
8Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots17
11Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
10Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
325Total Passes482
244Passes Accurate416
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1458Elo Rating 1517
1.88Attack 1.18
0.53Defense 1.83
23%Hit Rate 41%
14.1Shots per Game 14.4
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
3.3Corners per Game 5.7
2.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
De GraafschapDe Graafschap5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie03/04/2026
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
22
Eerste Divisie30/11/2025
De GraafschapFC Eindhoven
20
Eerste Divisie11/04/2025
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
10
Eerste Divisie06/09/2024
De GraafschapFC Eindhoven
20
Eerste Divisie19/01/2024
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
01
Eerste Divisie27/10/2023
De GraafschapFC Eindhoven
21
Eerste Divisie24/02/2023
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
04
Eerste Divisie11/12/2022
De GraafschapFC Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie13/05/2022
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
31
Eredivisie09/05/2022
De GraafschapFC Eindhoven
11

Recent Form

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
3W1D6L
26/09/2026
NAC BredaFC Eindhoven
42
L
18/09/2026
FC EindhovenEmmen
31
W
11/09/2026
FC EindhovenDordrecht
21
W
07/09/2026
Jong UtrechtFC Eindhoven
00
D
30/08/2026
FC EindhovenHeracles
13
L
21/08/2026
Den BoschFC Eindhoven
52
L
14/08/2026
FC EindhovenMVV
23
L10/08/2026
Jong AZFC Eindhoven
01
W
01/08/2026
SK BeverenFC Eindhoven
10
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
L
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
3W1D6L
27/09/2026
De GraafschapDen Bosch
10
W
20/09/2026
De GraafschapNAC Breda
12
L
11/09/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
12
W
04/09/2026
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50
L
29/08/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
14
L
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
L
09/08/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
11
D
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
L
25/07/2026
De GraafschapKifisia
42
W

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

Explore more predictions

This match

More Eerste Divisie matches

All predictions

About the FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie table

De Graafschap and FC Eindhoven are close in the Eerste Divisie table, 16th and 17th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: FC Eindhoven 16-25, De Graafschap 15-26. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.