FC Zurich vs FC Luzern Prediction

FC Zurich
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
FC Luzern
Letzigrund, Zurich·Nico Gianforte 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
FC Zurich Rest
6 days
FC Luzern Rest
7 days

FC Zurich vs FC Luzern: the result in context

FC Zurich beat FC Luzern 2-1 in the Super League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. FC Luzern tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.3 for FC Zurich.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.60
X
26%3.72
2
37%2.38
Double Chance
1X
63%1.53
X2
63%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%1.33
No
26%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.59 = 3.14
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
69%1.36
Over 3.5
48%1.92
Under 1.5
14%6.50
Under 2.5
31%2.88
Under 3.5
52%1.81
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 5.2 = 11.1
Over 8.5
75%1.25
Over 9.5
65%1.46
Over 10.5
54%1.79
Under 8.5
25%3.40
Under 9.5
35%2.48
Under 10.5
46%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

25'Bung Meng FreimannFoul
26'Philippe Paulin Keny(Penalty)
49'Miguel ReichmuthFoul
52'Bung Meng FreimannOG
56'Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira INLevin Winkler out
57'Tyron Owusu INNando Toggenburger out
64'Livano Comenencia INMohamed Bangoura out
64'Kevin Spadanuda INNevio Emanuele Di Giusto out
71'Oscar Kabwit TshikombAssist: Matteo Di Giusto
72'Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb INAurelio Oehlers out
72'Mio Zimmermann INRúben Dantas Fernandes out
79'Philippe Paulin KenyFoul
89'Leandro Schödler INValon Berisha out

Lineups

FC Zurich
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Koller
FC Luzern
4-2-2-2Coach: J. Portmann
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.42
11S. Huber
4747D. Lichtenstein
L. Kamberi7.12L. Kamberi
A. Hack7.742A. Hack
S. Walker6.344S. Walker
L. Schodler6.921L. Schodler
K. Spadanuda6.217K. Spadanuda
M. Reichmuth6.038M. Reichmuth
L. Comenencia6.18L. Comenencia
U. Emmanuel6.711U. Emmanuel
P. Keny7.519P. Keny
K. Letica7.630K. Letica
P. Dorn5.920P. Dorn
B. Freimann4.813B. Freimann
B. Freimann4.846B. Freimann
A. Cigaņiks5.714A. Cigaņiks
Mio Zimmermann6.280M. Zimmermann
T. Owusu6.124T. Owusu
Lucas Ferreira5.610L. Ferreira
M. Di Giusto7.711M. Di Giusto
O. tshikomb8.216O. tshikomb
D. Mikołajewski6.819D. Mikołajewski

FC Zurich Substitutes

18M. Bangoura64'for Livano Comenencia6.5
23V. Berisha89'for Leandro Schödler6.4
14N. Di Giusto64'for Kevin Spadanuda6.4
48D. Ihendu
13H. Lindner
49D. Ramić
4J. Segura
46J. Stiel
43N. Volken

FC Luzern Substitutes

27L. Villiger
15N. Toggenburger57'for Tyron Owusu6.5
1S. Simoni
7A. Oehlers72'for Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb6.3
21L. Lüthi
5S. Knežević
9A. Grbić
22R. Fernandes72'for Mio Zimmermann6.3
29Levin Winkler56'for Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira6.4

Match Stats

FC ZurichFC Luzern
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots28
6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal10
8Shots Inside Box19
5Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots12
7Fouls13
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
357Total Passes471
269Passes Accurate367
12Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FC ZurichFC Zurich
FC LuzernFC Luzern
1532Elo Rating 1596
1.77Attack 1.61
1.58Defense 0.95
61%Hit Rate 39%
14.2Shots per Game 22.0
4.9Shots on Target 6.0
4.3Corners per Game 7.1
0.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC ZurichFC Zurich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC LuzernFC Luzern
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC ZurichFC Zurich4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
FC LuzernFC Luzern3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League12/05/2026
FC LuzernFC Zurich
10
Super League14/02/2026
FC ZurichFC Luzern
14
Super League08/11/2025
FC ZurichFC Luzern
32
Super League03/08/2025
FC LuzernFC Zurich
11
Super League15/03/2025
FC ZurichFC Luzern
32
Super League26/01/2025
FC LuzernFC Zurich
31
Super League01/09/2024
FC ZurichFC Luzern
11
Super League18/02/2024
FC LuzernFC Zurich
01
Super League10/12/2023
FC ZurichFC Luzern
11
Super League01/10/2023
FC LuzernFC Zurich
14

Recent Form

FC LuzernFC Luzern
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
01
W
10/10/2026
FC LuganoFC Luzern
40
L
03/10/2026
SC FreiburgFC Luzern
42
L
19/09/2026
FC LuzernGrasshoppers
51
W
13/09/2026
FC LuzernFC Basel 1893
24
L
05/09/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Luzern
33
D
02/09/2026
FC LuzernFC Vaduz
21
W
29/08/2026
Servette FCFC Luzern
11
D
22/08/2026
FC LuzernLausanne
10
W
16/08/2026
BuochsFC Luzern
03
W

Referee Profile

Nico Gianforte117 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.45Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nico Gianforte4.98
Other referees4.77

4.98 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC Zurich vs FC Luzern forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Zurich and FC Luzern in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC Zurich are 4th and FC Luzern 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Zurich 25-26, FC Luzern 19-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.