FC Luzern vs Lausanne Prediction

FC Luzern
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lausanne
Thermoplan Arena, Luzern·Sandro Schärer, Switzerland 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
FC Luzern Rest
6 days
Lausanne Rest
7 days

FC Luzern vs Lausanne: result, form and history

FC Luzern beat Lausanne 1-0 in the Super League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.97
X
29%3.80
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
55%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.44
No
41%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.32 = 3.09
Over 1.5
84%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.47
Over 3.5
32%2.20
Under 1.5
16%5.13
Under 2.5
41%2.50
Under 3.5
68%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.24
Over 9.5
53%1.39
Over 10.5
43%1.60
Under 8.5
36%3.58
Under 9.5
47%2.80
Under 10.5
57%2.20
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

3'M. Di Giusto
21'O. CustodioFoul
22'T. OwusuFoul
39'K. SowFoul
46'T. Fredricson IND. Ngonzo out
58'S. Kone INS. Traore out
58'N. Butler-Oyedeji INE. Molebe out
65'M. Zimmermann INL. Silva out
69'L. BertoneFoul
71'J. Roche INS. N'Diaye out
73'F. MolletFoul
76'O. JannehFoul
83'B. H. Freimann INS. Knezevic out
83'O. Kabwit INS. Meyer out
84'F. Mollet INA. Ajdini out
90+2'M. Di Giusto INS. Wyss out
90+2'D. Mikolajewski INN. Toggenburger out

Lineups

FC Luzern
4-4-2Coach: Jorg Portmann
Lausanne
4-2-3-1Coach: Luka Elsner
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.54
Karlo Letica7.530K. Letica
Pius DornC7.920P. Dorn
Bung Hua Freimann7.213B. Hua Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann6.946B. Meng Freimann
Andrejs Cigaņiks7.314A. Cigaņiks
Tyron Owusu6.724T. Owusu
Mio Zimmermann6.980M. Zimmermann
Leonardo Bertone7.26L. Bertone
Matteo Di Giusto7.711M. Di Giusto
Oscar Kabwit6.916O. Kabwit
Daniel Mikołajewski6.519D. Mikołajewski
Melvin Mastil7.390M. Mastil
Brandon Soppy6.62B. Soppy
Tyler Fredricson6.63T. Fredricson
Abdou Karim Sow6.271A. Karim Sow
Morgan Poaty6.718M. Poaty
Jamie Roche7.08J. Roche
Olivier CustodioC6.310O. Custodio
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji6.311N. Butler-Oyedeji
Sekou Kone6.280S. Kone
Florent Mollet6.391F. Mollet
Omar Janneh6.378O. Janneh

FC Luzern Substitutes

10Lucas Silva65'replaced by M. Zimmermann6.7
1Simon Simoni
5Stefan Knežević83'replaced by B. H. Freimann
22Rúben Dantas
21Loïc Lüthi
29Levin Winkler
17Sandro Wyss
15Nando Toggenburger90+2'for D. Mikolajewski
71Sascha Meyer83'for O. Kabwit

Lausanne Substitutes

5Dircssi Ngonzo46'for T. Fredricson6.6
9Enzo Molebe58'for N. Butler-Oyedeji6.9
17Seydou Traore58'for S. Kone6.3
47Papa Souleymane N'Diaye71'for J. Roche
1Thomas Castella
22Thomas Cordier
6Theo Bergvall
20Hamza Abdallah
7Alban Ajdini84'for F. Mollet

Match Stats

FC LuzernLausanne
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls19
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
389Total Passes432
295Passes Accurate327
76%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

FC LuzernFC Luzern
LausanneLausanne
1596Elo Rating 1491
1.61Attack 1.60
0.95Defense 1.73
39%Hit Rate 23%
22.0Shots per Game 12.3
6.0Shots on Target 3.7
7.1Corners per Game 6.9
1.5Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuzernFC Luzern
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LausanneLausanne
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC LuzernFC Luzern5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
LausanneLausanne0Wins · 0%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League02/05/2026
LausanneFC Luzern
13
Super League22/03/2026
FC LuzernLausanne
40
Super League21/12/2025
LausanneFC Luzern
04
Super League19/10/2025
FC LuzernLausanne
22
Super League11/05/2025
FC LuzernLausanne
11
Super League30/03/2025
LausanneFC Luzern
14
Super League19/01/2025
LausanneFC Luzern
00
Super League05/10/2024
FC LuzernLausanne
22
Super League15/05/2024
LausanneFC Luzern
02
Super League07/04/2024
FC LuzernLausanne
00

Recent Form

FC LuzernFC Luzern
6W1D3L
16/08/2026
BuochsFC Luzern
03
W
09/08/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
22
D
02/08/2026
FC SionFC Luzern
30
L
25/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Thun
13
L
18/07/2026
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
12
L
10/07/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Luzern
02
W
04/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Winterthur
32
W
27/06/2026
FC LuzernStade Lausanne-Ouchy
32
W
16/05/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
03
W
12/05/2026
FC LuzernFC Zurich
10
W
LausanneLausanne
5W2D3L
14/08/2026
Kosova NeuchatelLausanne
06
W
08/08/2026
LausanneBSC Young Boys
22
D
01/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Lausanne
01
W
29/07/2026
Saint EtienneLausanne
40
L
25/07/2026
LausanneGrasshoppers
11
D
18/07/2026
LausanneYverdon Sport
30
W
11/07/2026
LausanneNeuchatel Xamax FC
12
L
11/07/2026
LausanneBreitenrain
21
W
08/07/2026
FlamengoLausanne
20
L
04/07/2026
LausanneÉtoile Carouge
10
W

Referee Profile

Sandro Schärer197 matches

4.56Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sandro Schärer4.57
Other referees4.64

4.57 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.64).

Cards come from 170 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano11101034:9+2531WWWWD
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1174035:18+1725WWWDD
3FC SionFC Sion1171324:17+722WLDWW
4FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
5FC ZurichFC Zurich1152420:23-317WWDWD
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931142517:20-314DLLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1133518:24-612LLWLD
9FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
10FC ThunFC Thun1131719:30-1110LLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne111377:17-106LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1134:931
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1135:1825
3FC SionFC Sion1124:1722
4FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
5FC ZurichFC Zurich1120:2317
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931117:2014
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1118:2412
9FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
10FC ThunFC Thun1119:3010
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne117:176
Relegation

About the FC Luzern vs Lausanne forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Luzern and Lausanne in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC Luzern are 8th and Lausanne 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Luzern 18-24, Lausanne 7-17. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.