FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern Prediction

FC ST. Gallen
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
FC Luzern
Kybunpark, St. Gallen·Alessandro Dudic, Switzerland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+1.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.52
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+14.8%
FC ST. Gallen Rest
2 days
FC Luzern Rest
7 days

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern: the result in context

FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern drew 2-2 in the Super League on 9 Aug 2026. FC ST. Gallen had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for FC Luzern.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Alessandro Dudic averages 5.38 cards a game, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.85
X
27%3.95
2
20%3.60
Double Chance
1X
80%1.27
X2
47%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.38
No
45%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.13 = 2.90
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.39
Over 3.5
34%1.95
Under 1.5
17%6.20
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
66%1.81
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
50%1.55
Over 10.5
41%1.86
Under 8.5
38%3.00
Under 9.5
50%2.29
Under 10.5
59%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
50%1.33
Over 4.5
31%1.72
Under 3.5
50%2.85
Under 4.5
69%2.00

Match Events

14'L. BertoneFoul
22'B. H. FreimannFoul
29'L. DaschnerFoul
38'L. SilvaFoul
45+3'L. Daschner
46'R. Dantas Fernandes IND. Mikolajewski out
46'D. MikolajewskiAssist: M. Di Giusto
52'L. FrokajFoul
55'H. Vandermersch INE. Owusu out
55'L. Daschner INA. Hunziker out
59'A. CiganiksFoul
64'S. Meyer INN. Toggenburger out
69'L. Frokaj INB. Fazliji out
79'L. Silva INM. Zimmermann out
79'O. Kabwit INA. Oehlers out
80'J. Stanic INC. Kleine-Bekel out
80'C. Witzig INC. Konietzke out
83'S. Knezevic INJ. Lofgren out
89'M. Di GiustoAssist: A. Oehlers
90+4'M. ZimmermannDelay of game
90+7'D. MikolajewskiFoul
90+11'L. Gortler(Penalty)

Lineups

FC ST. Gallen
3-5-2Coach: Enrico Maassen
FC Luzern
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorg Portmann
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.86
Lawrence Ati Zigi6.21L. Ati Zigi
Joel Ruiz6.574J. Ruiz
Jozo Stanić7.24J. Stanić
Chima Okoroji6.636C. Okoroji
Hugo Vandermersch6.628H. Vandermersch
Lukas GörtlerC7.916L. Görtler
Lukas Daschner8.010L. Daschner
Leon Frokaj6.720L. Frokaj
Mihailo Stevanović7.964M. Stevanović
Christian Witzig6.57C. Witzig
Aliou Balde7.314A. Balde
Simon Simoni9.21S. Simoni
Pius DornC6.920P. Dorn
Bung Hua Freimann6.513B. Hua Freimann
Stefan Knežević6.05S. Knežević
Rúben Dantas6.922R. Dantas
Leonardo Bertone6.76L. Bertone
Lucas Silva6.710L. Silva
Oscar Kabwit6.716O. Kabwit
Matteo Di Giusto7.311M. Di Giusto
Andrejs Cigaņiks6.914A. Cigaņiks
Sascha Meyer6.271S. Meyer

FC ST. Gallen Substitutes

25Lukas Watkowiak
68Mostafa Heydari
3Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel80'for J. Stanic6.5
63Corsin Konietzke80'for C. Witzig6.7
23Betim Fazliji69'replaced by L. Frokaj6.5
9Andrin Hunziker55'for L. Daschner7.0
31Diego Besio
47Enoch Owusu55'for H. Vandermersch6.9

FC Luzern Substitutes

63Raphael Radtke
21Loïc Lüthi
3Jesper Lofgren83'for S. Knezevic6.0
80Mio Zimmermann6.2
34Demir Xhemalija
7Aurelio Oehlers79'for O. Kabwit6.9
27Lars Villiger
19Daniel Mikołajewski46'for R. Dantas Fernandes46'90+7'7.9
15Nando Toggenburger64'for S. Meyer6.7

Match Stats

FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards6
24Total Shots12
11Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box9
9Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots4
7Fouls16
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves8
388Total Passes236
284Passes Accurate144
73%Pass Accuracy61%

Team Comparison

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
FC LuzernFC Luzern
1659Elo Rating 1596
1.29Attack 1.61
1.73Defense 0.95
59%Hit Rate 39%
16.0Shots per Game 22.0
5.2Shots on Target 6.0
5.5Corners per Game 7.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FC LuzernFC Luzern
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
FC LuzernFC Luzern4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League12/04/2026
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
22
Super League01/02/2026
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
22
Super League24/08/2025
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
01
Super League03/04/2025
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
11
Super League02/02/2025
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
20
Super League21/09/2024
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
23
Super League01/04/2024
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
11
Super League04/02/2024
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
10
Super League06/08/2023
FC ST. GallenFC Luzern
21
Super League20/05/2023
FC LuzernFC ST. Gallen
11

Recent Form

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
7W0D3L
06/08/2026
Sheriff TiraspolFC ST. Gallen
13
W
02/08/2026
FC VaduzFC ST. Gallen
23
W
30/07/2026
BenficaFC ST. Gallen
50
L
26/07/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Zurich
21
W
23/07/2026
FC ST. GallenBenfica
21
W
17/07/2026
FC ST. GallenNorwich
03
L
11/07/2026
LyonFC ST. Gallen
63
L
01/07/2026
FC WinterthurFC ST. Gallen
01
W
27/06/2026
FC ST. GallenSCR Altach
32
W
24/05/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC ST. Gallen
03
W
FC LuzernFC Luzern
6W1D3L
02/08/2026
FC SionFC Luzern
30
L
25/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Thun
13
L
18/07/2026
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
12
L
10/07/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Luzern
02
W
04/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Winterthur
32
W
27/06/2026
FC LuzernStade Lausanne-Ouchy
32
W
16/05/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
03
W
12/05/2026
FC LuzernFC Zurich
10
W
09/05/2026
FC LuzernServette FC
33
D
02/05/2026
LausanneFC Luzern
13
W

Referee Profile

Alessandro Dudic125 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alessandro Dudic5.38
Other referees4.80

5.38 cards a match, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).

Cards come from 90 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC ST. Gallen are 5th and FC Luzern 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC ST. Gallen 19-22, FC Luzern 19-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.