FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun Prediction

FC Basel 1893
4-2
Finished
HT 2-0
FC Thun
St. Jakob-Park, Basel·Luca Cibelli, Switzerland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
FC Basel 1893 Rest
7 days
FC Thun Rest
2 days

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun: result, form and history

FC Basel 1893 beat FC Thun 4-2 in the Super League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Referee Luca Cibelli averages 5.58 cards a game, 0.71 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.79
X
28%4.03
2
28%3.77
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
56%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.35 = 2.78
Over 1.5
78%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.40
Over 3.5
32%2.05
Under 1.5
22%5.65
Under 2.5
42%2.70
Under 3.5
68%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.35
Over 9.5
64%1.61
Over 10.5
52%2.00
Under 8.5
26%2.92
Under 9.5
36%2.16
Under 10.5
48%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%1.45
Over 4.5
44%1.95
Under 3.5
38%2.47
Under 4.5
56%1.76

Match Events

4'A. SowAssist: K. Olaigbe
31'A. SowAssist: L. Leroy
38'N. ReichmuthFoul
46'N. Zoukit INJ. Roth out
46'S. Lengen INM. Gutbub out
53'Z. CelarAssist: A. Sow
54'N. Reichmuth INN. Maier out
60'K. Olaigbe INP. Otele out
60'L. Thorell INX. Shaqiri out
61'F. FehrFoul
67'F. Fehr INM. Heule out
73'L. StewartAssist: M. Gutbub
74'L. Stewart INB. Labeau out
75'Z. Celar ING. Koloto out
75'X. ShaqiriAssist: A. Sow
88'L. LeroyFoul
89'B. Omeragic INJ. Harder out
89'M. Cisse INN. Vouilloz out
90+1'B. LabeauAssist: D. Derbaci
90+2'J. RothFoul

Lineups

FC Basel 1893
4-3-3Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner
FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.26
Mirko Salvi5.713M. Salvi
Keigo Tsunemoto7.06K. Tsunemoto
Flavius DaniliucC6.524F. Daniliuc
Akpe Victory6.955A. Victory
Moussa Cissé6.629M. Cissé
Leo Leroy6.322L. Leroy
Bećir Omeragić7.04B. Omeragić
Ludwig Thorell7.08L. Thorell
Asane Sow10.018A. Sow
Žan Celar7.79Ž. Celar
Kazeem Olaigbe7.511K. Olaigbe
Niklas Steffen5.31N. Steffen
Lucien Dähler5.737L. Dähler
Nicolas Bürgy6.55N. Bürgy
Jan BamertC6.219J. Bamert
Fabio Fehr5.647F. Fehr
Nils Reichmuth5.970N. Reichmuth
Fabio Saiz6.28F. Saiz
Nassim Zoukit6.713N. Zoukit
Dorian Derbaci6.321D. Derbaci
Layton Stewart7.211L. Stewart
Simon Lengen6.080S. Lengen

FC Basel 1893 Substitutes

49Renato Widmer D'Autilia
3Nicolas Vouilloz89'for M. Cisse
5Metinho
10Xherdan Shaqiri60'for L. Thorell75'7.2
7Philip Otele60'for K. Olaigbe6.6
44Jonas Harder89'for B. Omeragic
14Andrej Bačanin
37Giacomo Koloto75'for Z. Celar6.9
23Albian Ajeti

FC Thun Substitutes

25Tim Spycher
17Ashvin Balaruban
27Michael Heule67'for F. Fehr6.5
16Justin Roth46'for N. Zoukit90+2'6.2
78Valmir Matoshi
52Adam Ilic
96Brighton Labeau74'for L. Stewart90+1'7.3
30Nico Maier54'for N. Reichmuth6.3
33Marc Gutbub46'for S. Lengen6.3

Match Stats

FC Basel 1893FC Thun
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots5
10Fouls15
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
391Total Passes426
310Passes Accurate343
79%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
FC ThunFC Thun
1568Elo Rating 1536
1.42Attack 1.02
1.64Defense 1.04
37%Hit Rate 0%
14.2Shots per Game 12.6
2.8Shots on Target 5.0
4.6Corners per Game 3.8
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18932Wins · 50%
Draws00%
FC ThunFC Thun2Wins · 50%
3.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Super League02/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
31
Super League18/04/2026
FC ThunFC Basel 1893
31
Super League01/02/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
12
Super League13/09/2025
FC ThunFC Basel 1893
13

Recent Form

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
3W2D5L
01/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Lausanne
01
L
25/07/2026
Servette FCFC Basel 1893
01
W
18/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Juventus
00
D
11/07/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
22
D
08/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Yverdon Sport
03
L
26/06/2026
RapperswilFC Basel 1893
03
W
17/05/2026
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
40
L
14/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen
13
L
10/05/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893
30
L
02/05/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
31
W
FC ThunFC Thun
2W3D5L
06/08/2026
FC ThunVikingur Reykjavik
30
W
01/08/2026
FC ThunBSC Young Boys
06
L
28/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebFC Thun
3222
L
25/07/2026
FC LuzernFC Thun
13
W
21/07/2026
FC ThunDinamo Zagreb
11
D
11/07/2026
FC ThunWaldhof Mannheim
12
L
11/07/2026
FC ThunSV Elversberg
11
D
17/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
11
D
14/05/2026
FC ThunBSC Young Boys
38
L
10/05/2026
FC SionFC Thun
20
L

Referee Profile

Luca Cibelli155 matches

5.58Cards per match
5.23Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Cibelli5.58
Other referees4.87

5.58 cards a match, 0.71 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun in the Super League table

FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun are close in the Super League table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: FC Basel 1893 18-22, FC Thun 24-34. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.