FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Prediction

FC ST. Gallen
3-4
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Thun
Kybunpark, St. Gallen·Luca Piccolo, Switzerland 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseHighGap+9.0%
FC ST. Gallen Rest
2 days
FC Thun Rest
2 days

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun: result, form and history

FC Thun beat FC ST. Gallen 4-3 in the Super League on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.62
X
23%4.33
2
22%4.50
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
45%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.36
No
44%2.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.14 = 3.01
Over 1.5
83%1.08
Over 2.5
60%1.32
Over 3.5
34%1.83
Under 1.5
17%6.78
Under 2.5
40%3.15
Under 3.5
66%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.27
Over 9.5
49%1.53
Over 10.5
41%1.90
Under 8.5
40%3.14
Under 9.5
51%2.33
Under 10.5
59%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3 = 5
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

9'B. Labeau
42'T. StrannegardFoul
45+2'N. SteffenDelay of game
46'D. Besio INL. Frokaj out
47'N. ReichmuthAssist: F. Dursun
48'L. FrokajAssist: A. Balde
51'L. GortlerUnsportsmanlike conduct
53'B. LabeauAssist: F. Dursun
58'F. DursunAssist: F. Saiz
61'F. Dursun INS. Lengen out
67'C. Witzig INN. Scherrer out
67'J. Stanic INC. Kleine-Bekel out
67'M. Stevanovic INE. Owusu out
72'N. Reichmuth INN. Maier out
72'B. Labeau INR. Braschi out
74'H. VandermerschFoul
75'N. ScherrerAssist: C. Okoroji
79'H. Vandermersch INC. Konietzke out
79'J. Roth INM. Kait out
79'M. Burki INL. Passavant out
90'L. DaschnerAssist: E. Owusu

Lineups

FC ST. Gallen
3-1-4-2Coach: Enrico Maassen
FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.91
Lawrence Ati Zigi5.21L. Ati Zigi
Joel Ruiz6.074J. Ruiz
Jozo Stanić6.34J. Stanić
Chima Okoroji6.036C. Okoroji
Mihailo Stevanović6.764M. Stevanović
Hugo Vandermersch6.328H. Vandermersch
Lukas GörtlerC6.916L. Görtler
Lukas Daschner7.610L. Daschner
Christian Witzig6.97C. Witzig
Diego Besio6.931D. Besio
Aliou Balde7.314A. Balde
Niklas Steffen7.31N. Steffen
Fabio Fehr6.247F. Fehr
Jan Bamert6.519J. Bamert
Nicolas Bürgy6.65N. Bürgy
Marco BürkiC6.623M. Bürki
Nils Reichmuth7.670N. Reichmuth
Fabio Saiz7.08F. Saiz
Justin Roth6.616J. Roth
Tom Strannegård6.318T. Strannegård
Brighton Labeau8.796B. Labeau
Furkan Dursun8.79F. Dursun

FC ST. Gallen Substitutes

25Lukas Watkowiak
3Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel67'for J. Stanic6.7
68Mostafa Heydari
20Leon Frokaj7.5
63Corsin Konietzke79'for H. Vandermersch6.3
47Enoch Owusu67'for M. Stevanovic6.9
70Nevio Scherrer67'for C. Witzig75'7.5

FC Thun Substitutes

25Tim Spycher
37Lucien Dähler
54Louis Passavant79'for M. Burki6.5
13Nassim Zoukit
21Dorian Derbaci
14Mattias Käit79'for J. Roth6.5
30Nico Maier72'for N. Reichmuth6.2
80Simon Lengen61'for F. Dursun6.6
20Riccardo Braschi72'for B. Labeau6.6

Match Stats

FC ST. GallenFC Thun
68%Ball Possession32%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
25Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal5
13Shots off Goal2
19Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots0
13Fouls17
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
466Total Passes222
356Passes Accurate123
76%Pass Accuracy55%

Team Comparison

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
FC ThunFC Thun
1659Elo Rating 1536
1.29Attack 1.02
1.73Defense 1.04
59%Hit Rate 0%
16.0Shots per Game 12.6
5.2Shots on Target 5.0
5.5Corners per Game 3.8
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
FC ThunFC Thun1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Super League17/05/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
11
Super League05/03/2026
FC ThunFC ST. Gallen
22
Super League13/12/2025
FC ThunFC ST. Gallen
02
Super League04/10/2025
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
12

Referee Profile

Luca Piccolo130 matches

5.26Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Piccolo5.26
Other referees4.88

5.26 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 90 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC ST. Gallen and FC Thun in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC ST. Gallen are 5th and FC Thun 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC ST. Gallen 19-22, FC Thun 24-34. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.